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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

Welcome to the Neno's Place!

Neno's Place Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality


Neno

I can be reached by phone or text 8am-7pm cst 972-768-9772 or, once joining the board I can be reached by a (PM) Private Message.

Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

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    New violence puts Iraq on the brink of 2006

    Rocky
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    • Post n°1

    New violence puts Iraq on the brink of 2006 Empty New violence puts Iraq on the brink of 2006

    Post by Rocky Thu 22 Aug 2013, 4:38 am

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    08/21/13 Analysis (obelisk) Weekly

    BAGHDAD / obelisk: After a series of recent bombings can be emphasized that the security situation is completely down to what it was in 2004 and 2005.

    Return to these two years require Mrahah factors that were influential, positively and negatively, in the level of security and stormy violence in the country at that time and compare them as similar to those factors now.

    In those years was the primary force in the eruption of violence is al-Qaeda, led by Jordanian Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, to the side of other small factions.

    Parallel to this force was essential military and intelligence in the face of the rule is the American forces, hand strength was then in the process of conformation of the army and police.

    Al Qaeda depends in those years are based in its suicide (jihadists) Arabs and Muslims from non-Iraqis, while the Iraqis make up an incubator for the organization and guide him in its operations and bond logistical and intelligence to him, in addition to carry out attacks is suicide.

    In return for this, the al-Qaeda, led by now Iraq is (Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi) depends mainly on a new generation of effectives to him, they are in the vast majority, of the Iraqis, while diminished in proportion to the number of foreign fighters in it, and this explains the shrinking number of operations and replaced by suicide car bomb left in a public place.

    In those years was the movement of the organization conducted a basis from Syria to Iraq under the supervision of the Syrian intelligence services, while continuing the movement is now a two-way between Iraq and Syria targeted to undermine the security of the two countries and taking advantage of the weakness evident in the control of the borders wide by the governments of Iraq and Syria alike.

    Stated goal direct for the organization in his early years in Iraq was to fight the American occupation, and appends this goal (lackeys of the occupier) is a metaphor for the Iraqi authorities and employees in government departments, while the practice of the targets rule is gatherings dense civilian Shiites in the areas of geographic Shiites make an absolute majority where, and this was going on within the preset position to blow up sectarian strife did not hesitate with her organization on the tongue of its leader, al-Zarqawi, then to say that the events of the sectarian strife is the most appropriate opportunity to sustain the momentum of the work of al-Qaeda in Iraq.

    But the goal of the organization now changed to the focus on (Safavid fight), a euphemism for Iraqi Shiites, dropping the ongoing political process in the country.

    As she Baghdad, then Hilla, degree first two yard-organizing processes, with separate operations and far between in other provinces, the rule is now working to be present, Btfjeratha, in more than one province, the accounts of the early years of the provinces safe, with a continued focus on Baghdad strategic and tactical calculations, so the importance of the violent event, both socially and in the media, as the capital and the center of the federal government and its hybrid nature and the importance of that in planning for the division.

    He graduated from the equation confrontation now American power, military and intelligence, after the end of the occupation and the withdrawal of troops and recognizes the Iraqis responsibility of the country at all levels, to be Iraqi forces alone and the potential of the Iraqi state in direct confrontation with al-Qaeda and allied with him, the organization is assumed that a stalker by the international community Where and be active within the crowd of international anti-terrorism.

    Iraqi forces, the army and police, look in terms of numbers and will be eligible to roll back regulation, but the continuation of the organization and his return this density is associated with many factors including the weak capacity of intelligence, which is the means crucial to grab the lead and the first, and thus preventing the efforts of Iraqi forces to react next to the by the organization, not to mention the non-completion of processing kit and not combat the development level of coordination between and between them and the forces backing and intelligence community.

    Internal political environment now and the regional environment, exception of Syria, and its relationship with Iraq, has not changed much from what it was in those years, two Baitan do not encourage much in providing climate optimistic about an end to violence and terrorism in Iraq.

    As failed (Awakening) in the end completely to the presence of Al Qaeda in places of influence in Iraq, turning the organization into the cells dormant, the state has failed is the other in the development of the work of the Awakening, during the years (Astraanha) of duty combat, from the tasks of war to the tasks of intelligence and political help follow-up and eradicate dormant cells, and helps in creating political and social stability certainly contributes to the prevention of life factors for al-Qaeda.

    We ended the violence in 2004 and 2005 to a more tragic by the year 2006, and the outbreak of violence and contrast, which put the country in front of the most dangerous fate he suffered dragged to major disasters.

    It will be the tasks and functions of the state and forces society actors, various Atnyate, is to prevent access to the current wave of violence is similar to a situation after the Samarra bombing of a Shi'ite and the explosion of domestic violence at the time.

    Al-Qaeda still finds opportunity in the rupture of the social fabric, and the duty of society that fortifies himself about this goal devastating, and will not be fortified without the participation of social actors in order to preserve life, as it will not be possible without the reviews are real and sound and faithful to the problems of the political situation of side and fill the gaps in the security effort combat and intelligence on the other.

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