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Options and Washington in Iraq: soft solutions are not enough
Mon Aug 04 2014 04:18 | (Voice of Iraq)
It is time for the United States to stop waiting for the good choices can be solved quickly and problems in the Middle East, and recognizes the fact that the face of the chaos in the Middle East and North Africa that can not see a real stable before a decade at least. There are no good options and quick and easy it can be to avoid this fact or the fact that the United States need to choose among alternatives uncomfortable.
Can not be for the United States to continue to wait, or hopes to solve the negotiations and soft power replace concrete actions, or to lead from behind the scenes. It should be more effective in dealing with issues such as Iraq and the growing strength of Daash and not to leave the pass and turning points is parked waiting for Godot.
This turning point has arrived in Iraq, the United States and all its allies face a serious threat from Islamist militants Daash a private group that threatens the establishment of a state in the eastern and western Iraq. Obama administration did not announce the results of its study of options for action in Iraq, which ended with them several weeks ago. It is very clear that any option includes increasing the effectiveness of the Iraqi security forces and focus on the use of air power and missiles the U.S. will take weeks or months, and it is clear also that this will increase fueling a civil war sparked by the actions of Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki between Sunnis and Shiites.
Big Threat
Quite frankly, the al-Maliki poses a threat to the unity of Iraq and to stability in the Gulf region and the interests of the U.S. strategy parallels the threat Daash; Since the inconclusive results of the elections of March 2010, Maliki began to push the country into civil war, and antagonize the Kurds and the transition to a tyrant without mercy in dealing with Sunni Arabs. Over days and increased his tyranny, and began to hamper the development of the security forces in an effort to make them loyal to him and to be used against the Sunnis and other peaceful opponents, where the vice president was forced to flee the country and make the courts pass on at least three death sentences against him. Furthermore he was expelled VIP Sunni and other bribes in order to support them, creating the structure of corruption and bribery and fear made the May 2014 elections joke comic when he ran for a third term after he promised to the contrary. During the past few days may have used the Iraqi security forces to arrest Riad dentex - Chairman of the Baghdad Provincial Council - for a temporary period. These actions brought Iraq into civil war, and the fact is reflected in the increasing number of casualties since mid-2011, reports in the U.S. and the British and United Nations reports on human rights violations at the hands of security forces.
Not Tstol Daash on gray and Fallujah, Mosul, and most of the western regions, because of its strength, and but because al-Maliki has been destroyed and ruined his security forces in his quest to build his authority and establish a government based on the support of Shiites exclusively, and because he failed to use oil revenues for the benefit of the country, and dealing with peaceful protests by sending the army and police to suppress them. We have earned Daash because Maliki claimed depends more and more on the advice and support of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, and ruled out the rest of the Arab countries, and built close ties with the Assad regime with the support of Iran. Moreover, the failure of al-Maliki in all aspects of governance and economic development, and did not reconcile with the Kurds, and the foundations of the government established by the organization Transparency International ranked the worst government 17 out of 177 countries in the world in terms of corruption in 2013. What made it so much worse than Saddam's government in the area of governance and economy.
Prevent third mandate
The practical problem for the United States is that al-Maliki may be at a distance of days to get a third term despite the objections of Sunni and Kurdish opposition and the supreme authority of the moderate Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani. Serious risk is that al-Maliki could get on another four years in power - is what makes the country's unification efforts extremely difficult and even impossible, then it is difficult for the United States to use its military power against Daash without interfering in the civil war on behalf of al-Maliki and Iran.
U.S. options when the departure of al-Maliki
The United States has important choices if they left al-Maliki. Although the Obama administration did not reveal the results of its work in Iraq, it seems to consider the following steps:
- More efforts strongest advisory and training with the option of deploying special forces in the field calmly.
- To speed up the processing of weapons and materials of the Iraqi security forces will be allowed to defeat Daash and other Sunni factions - including attack helicopters and a series of systems can also be used against the population.
- The use of American air power from bases close or from aircraft carriers against Daash and other military targets for extremists.
- Study Options increased advisory role for the United States to help Iraq in the development of the rule of the actor with the option to encourage powerful form of federalism - and support a strong Kurdish region or a Kurdish state in the case of split Iraq.
- To seek support from Jordan, Saudi Arabia and Turkey to curtail the ability of Daash to work and cut the external sources of funding and the closure of the border and provide better support and training to Iraqi forces.
- The unification of U.S. efforts in Iraq with efforts to increase pressure on Daash and the Assad regime in Syria, and treatment operations in Iraq as part of a broader policy in dealing with Syria, Daash, Iraq, and Iran.
- Try to target Daash and other strikes in Iraq affect the strength and capabilities in Syria.
The problem in all of these steps is that they require U.S. recognition clear that the enemy of our enemy is our friend, and the American desire to work in this recognition.
Facing the United States and its allies have four sets of enemies in the area of intervention in Iraq are: Daash and other violent extremist separatist factions; Maliki and Shiite extremist groups; Assad and his supporters; and the Revolutionary Guards in Iran - who currently plays a dominant role in framing the work in Iraq.
Is no longer the United States, only limited options to work in Syria, and you have to give precedence to the 5 +1 negotiations in dealing with Iran. But with that could distinguish between dealing with Daash and the threat of broader Sunni extremism, and could use its military support for Iraq in the promotion of reform and the establishment of a national government to maintain a certain degree of unity - with or without federal, and to show that the U.S. ally crucial and effectively without the use of force, as happened in Afghanistan and Iraq.
Conditional offer of assistance
If it wants the United States to take the lead actually, it has to act now to enforce the issue on Maliki. It should not try to impose commander in Iraq, but can you explain that kind of assistance that Iraq needs now is to help the conditional, meaning that the Iraq-Maliki not to grant a third term or consider replacements Feziein.
Success means pushing for an Iraqi government and a genuine national involving powerful voices of Sunni Arabs and Kurds. It means that U.S. efforts to strengthen and rebuild the Iraqi security forces are not meant to provide assistance to Shiite militias, but the founding forces and truly national and professional offers real opportunities for the year in addition to the Kurds and Shiites. It means that the United States work with the new Iraqi government to determine the role of the Iranian and other foreign roles so that they can not compromise on the independence of Iraq.
These are all policies that have already been endorsed by the United States, but nonetheless, the U.S. action is not enough, as the United States should play a downright cruel and explain to all Iraqis immediately that any new mandate to prevent the owners of U.S. assistance. At the same time, the United States should make clear that it will provide military support real and not half-solutions. Iraq's use it to show that the security partnership is not a partnership and a silent but can be really effective partnership. I've lost the United States time to do make critical in Syria when Assad was weak, as it avoids a bang and whimper in Afghanistan through her departure, and it seems that it is not able to determine the meaning of rebalancing in Asia is reassuring with its allies. But this time the U.S. administration that actually behave.
all: the International Center for Strategic Studies
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
Mon Aug 04 2014 04:18 | (Voice of Iraq)
It is time for the United States to stop waiting for the good choices can be solved quickly and problems in the Middle East, and recognizes the fact that the face of the chaos in the Middle East and North Africa that can not see a real stable before a decade at least. There are no good options and quick and easy it can be to avoid this fact or the fact that the United States need to choose among alternatives uncomfortable.
Can not be for the United States to continue to wait, or hopes to solve the negotiations and soft power replace concrete actions, or to lead from behind the scenes. It should be more effective in dealing with issues such as Iraq and the growing strength of Daash and not to leave the pass and turning points is parked waiting for Godot.
This turning point has arrived in Iraq, the United States and all its allies face a serious threat from Islamist militants Daash a private group that threatens the establishment of a state in the eastern and western Iraq. Obama administration did not announce the results of its study of options for action in Iraq, which ended with them several weeks ago. It is very clear that any option includes increasing the effectiveness of the Iraqi security forces and focus on the use of air power and missiles the U.S. will take weeks or months, and it is clear also that this will increase fueling a civil war sparked by the actions of Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki between Sunnis and Shiites.
Big Threat
Quite frankly, the al-Maliki poses a threat to the unity of Iraq and to stability in the Gulf region and the interests of the U.S. strategy parallels the threat Daash; Since the inconclusive results of the elections of March 2010, Maliki began to push the country into civil war, and antagonize the Kurds and the transition to a tyrant without mercy in dealing with Sunni Arabs. Over days and increased his tyranny, and began to hamper the development of the security forces in an effort to make them loyal to him and to be used against the Sunnis and other peaceful opponents, where the vice president was forced to flee the country and make the courts pass on at least three death sentences against him. Furthermore he was expelled VIP Sunni and other bribes in order to support them, creating the structure of corruption and bribery and fear made the May 2014 elections joke comic when he ran for a third term after he promised to the contrary. During the past few days may have used the Iraqi security forces to arrest Riad dentex - Chairman of the Baghdad Provincial Council - for a temporary period. These actions brought Iraq into civil war, and the fact is reflected in the increasing number of casualties since mid-2011, reports in the U.S. and the British and United Nations reports on human rights violations at the hands of security forces.
Not Tstol Daash on gray and Fallujah, Mosul, and most of the western regions, because of its strength, and but because al-Maliki has been destroyed and ruined his security forces in his quest to build his authority and establish a government based on the support of Shiites exclusively, and because he failed to use oil revenues for the benefit of the country, and dealing with peaceful protests by sending the army and police to suppress them. We have earned Daash because Maliki claimed depends more and more on the advice and support of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, and ruled out the rest of the Arab countries, and built close ties with the Assad regime with the support of Iran. Moreover, the failure of al-Maliki in all aspects of governance and economic development, and did not reconcile with the Kurds, and the foundations of the government established by the organization Transparency International ranked the worst government 17 out of 177 countries in the world in terms of corruption in 2013. What made it so much worse than Saddam's government in the area of governance and economy.
Prevent third mandate
The practical problem for the United States is that al-Maliki may be at a distance of days to get a third term despite the objections of Sunni and Kurdish opposition and the supreme authority of the moderate Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani. Serious risk is that al-Maliki could get on another four years in power - is what makes the country's unification efforts extremely difficult and even impossible, then it is difficult for the United States to use its military power against Daash without interfering in the civil war on behalf of al-Maliki and Iran.
U.S. options when the departure of al-Maliki
The United States has important choices if they left al-Maliki. Although the Obama administration did not reveal the results of its work in Iraq, it seems to consider the following steps:
- More efforts strongest advisory and training with the option of deploying special forces in the field calmly.
- To speed up the processing of weapons and materials of the Iraqi security forces will be allowed to defeat Daash and other Sunni factions - including attack helicopters and a series of systems can also be used against the population.
- The use of American air power from bases close or from aircraft carriers against Daash and other military targets for extremists.
- Study Options increased advisory role for the United States to help Iraq in the development of the rule of the actor with the option to encourage powerful form of federalism - and support a strong Kurdish region or a Kurdish state in the case of split Iraq.
- To seek support from Jordan, Saudi Arabia and Turkey to curtail the ability of Daash to work and cut the external sources of funding and the closure of the border and provide better support and training to Iraqi forces.
- The unification of U.S. efforts in Iraq with efforts to increase pressure on Daash and the Assad regime in Syria, and treatment operations in Iraq as part of a broader policy in dealing with Syria, Daash, Iraq, and Iran.
- Try to target Daash and other strikes in Iraq affect the strength and capabilities in Syria.
The problem in all of these steps is that they require U.S. recognition clear that the enemy of our enemy is our friend, and the American desire to work in this recognition.
Facing the United States and its allies have four sets of enemies in the area of intervention in Iraq are: Daash and other violent extremist separatist factions; Maliki and Shiite extremist groups; Assad and his supporters; and the Revolutionary Guards in Iran - who currently plays a dominant role in framing the work in Iraq.
Is no longer the United States, only limited options to work in Syria, and you have to give precedence to the 5 +1 negotiations in dealing with Iran. But with that could distinguish between dealing with Daash and the threat of broader Sunni extremism, and could use its military support for Iraq in the promotion of reform and the establishment of a national government to maintain a certain degree of unity - with or without federal, and to show that the U.S. ally crucial and effectively without the use of force, as happened in Afghanistan and Iraq.
Conditional offer of assistance
If it wants the United States to take the lead actually, it has to act now to enforce the issue on Maliki. It should not try to impose commander in Iraq, but can you explain that kind of assistance that Iraq needs now is to help the conditional, meaning that the Iraq-Maliki not to grant a third term or consider replacements Feziein.
Success means pushing for an Iraqi government and a genuine national involving powerful voices of Sunni Arabs and Kurds. It means that U.S. efforts to strengthen and rebuild the Iraqi security forces are not meant to provide assistance to Shiite militias, but the founding forces and truly national and professional offers real opportunities for the year in addition to the Kurds and Shiites. It means that the United States work with the new Iraqi government to determine the role of the Iranian and other foreign roles so that they can not compromise on the independence of Iraq.
These are all policies that have already been endorsed by the United States, but nonetheless, the U.S. action is not enough, as the United States should play a downright cruel and explain to all Iraqis immediately that any new mandate to prevent the owners of U.S. assistance. At the same time, the United States should make clear that it will provide military support real and not half-solutions. Iraq's use it to show that the security partnership is not a partnership and a silent but can be really effective partnership. I've lost the United States time to do make critical in Syria when Assad was weak, as it avoids a bang and whimper in Afghanistan through her departure, and it seems that it is not able to determine the meaning of rebalancing in Asia is reassuring with its allies. But this time the U.S. administration that actually behave.
all: the International Center for Strategic Studies
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
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