Ramzy Mardini: the United States to intervene quickly in Iraq

Ramzy Mardini: the United States to intervene quickly in Iraq




18-05-2013 12:55 PM




Western News
- Long

considered a Fellow of the Iraqi Institute for Strategic Studies, said the situation in Iraq now ايشبه crises that used the country traffic out, and perhaps lead to a civil war will bring results form the nature of community relations, so the United States to intervene quickly and effectively effort diplomat with all the Iraqi parties.

said Ramsey Mardini, in an article published in the Middle East Voices of the Voice of America, said that the month of April saw the tenth anniversary of what is described by Lebanese writer as 'the anniversary of the fall of Baghdad', and a third local elections in the era of post-Saddam a first elections at all without the presence of U.S. troops and the passage of seven years, the emergence of Nuri al-Maliki, is known as a relatively prime minister of Iraq.

said Mardini that 'with it, and after a period of low levels of violence and relatively well round another election for the experience emerging democracy in Iraq, but the country is now entering the most turbulent stages since sliding into civil war (2005-2007) during the peak of the insurgency. ' He believed that 'the Iraqi political scene today perhaps on the verge of slipping back into an era of sectarian violence, which requires the formulation of a new political framework to rearrange the community relations'.
said Mardini that 'disputes over power and sovereignty between the Baghdad government, dominated by Shiites and provinces that dominates the Year central and northern Iraq have caused tensions brewing for years. '

and sees Lebanese writer that 'in the midst of the most political disputes is consolidating the prime minister of power gradually.'

and see Mardini said 'Today, there is no end in sight or how can this situation escalate toward the outbreak of civil war again. ' He explains that 'the usual course of the Iraqi crisis was spirally: as a certain incident occurs; conflicts arise with the escalation of rhetoric; and finally it comes to its peak;, but the trigger stop at the end. It then gradually dissipate the crisis with the survival of unresolved conflicts'. But Mardini believes that 'it does not seem the case now.'

Mardini continued that 'the critical level of stability provided by the psychological impact of the presence of American troops is now, and the most sexually attracted to this situation is that the fatigue of war identifies signs Khvute currently clearly. These factors were that cool the hottest situation in Iraq, produces an impact imparts character peacefully on the Iraqi political scene troubled and keeps on crises in a spiral instead of escalation. '

But when it withdrew U.S. forces from Iraq in December of the year 2011, as seen Mardini, ' It was clear that a new and dangerous phase in Iraqi politics will follow the withdrawal '.

Lebanese writer adds' it seems that Iraq is suffering from the weight of the system overload. فسياسته fragile emerging not built to maintain current levels of internal and external pressures. Not only because tensions reached new highs due to local construction disputes unresolved, but because it is exacerbated by the dynamics of the unusual and unstable in the region in the wake of the Arab Spring. '

continued Mardini, explaining that 'the rise of Sunni Islamists in the Middle East and the war in the prosecution department in neighboring Syria has increased the infrastructure sectarian hardening, and expanded the fears of the Shiites and the arrogance of the Sunnis in Iraq, and this mixture risk coined accounts political players the wrong reckless in both sides'.

pointed Mardini that 'it is not strange in post-conflict countries that slip again and return to war civil, especially when the collapse agreements power-sharing or they get used valid for parties shared out '.

said Maddena that 'too early to talk about whether the wave of bloody clashes take Iraq into a spiral of sectarian conflict again; The worst scenario is two wars civil wars neighboring Syria and Iraq Tgeraan time simultaneously along the fault lines of sectarianism, and this outcome, the United States has the interest of severe preventable '.

saw Mardini that 'despite the fact that its influence declined over the years, but the United States remains external force only one that can communicate with all parties. It may be the Turks and the Iranians are strong at the local level, but there are limits Tiom in the national arena and restrict sectarian circles of influence. It is without a political leader of the Kurdish president of Iraq, Jalal Talabani, in the political scene, the Kurds are not in a position to play a mediating role between Shiites and Sunnis, and the United States will not be able to rely on any Iraqi to prepares them effectively and quickly diplomatic efforts are necessary. '

and proposes Mardini that 'instead of the Declaration of condemnation of bloody confrontations and risk selection camp, which acceded to, the United States establish a slope in front of the escalation of the vortex that draws the crisis now to the point of no return. It should be from Washington to demonstrate quickly willingness to play a leading role in the collection of the Iraqi parties together for talks under the auspices of '.
recognizes Mardini said 'no guarantees of course, in this procedure, but that this proposal may provide a mechanism for Iraqi leaders to get rid of the track devastating moment. Any attempt will require strong private discussions and individually with all Iraqi parties and with the highest levels of the U.S. government (especially the U.S. president), and they can be announced later. '

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