[size=35][size=35]Study: The probability of drought occurring in Iraq and Syria has increased 25 times[/size]
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2023-11-08 | 07:36
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A study by the World Weather Association (WWA) network, which analyzes the link between weather factors and climate change, confirmed that high temperatures resulting from climate change have “increased the probability of drought occurring by 25 times in Syria and Iraq, and 16 times in Iran.” .
The study also talks about the role of “years of conflict and political instability” in paralyzing countries’ ability to cope with drought, causing a “humanitarian catastrophe.”
Under the current circumstances, there is an increased risk that “these periods of drought will become a regular occurrence, and will occur at least once a decade.”
The network's experts explained that "the drought would not have occurred without climate change caused mainly by the burning of oil, gas and coal."
This study covers the period between July 2020 and June 2023, in two regions that were very vulnerable to the repercussions of climate change, namely Iran and the region of the basin of the Tigris and Euphrates rivers, which originate in Turkey and pass through Syria and Iraq. The statement published alongside the study indicated that “these
two The two regions are currently experiencing a “severe drought” according to the American Drought Monitoring Scale.
The study explained that “climate change caused by human activity has increased the severity of this drought,” adding: “If the world temperature were 1.2 degrees Celsius lower (that is, what it was before... “The Industrial Revolution... it wouldn't have been this severe."
In this context, Frederic Otto, a climate scientist at the[url=https://www.alsumaria.tv/Entity/321072797/%D9%85%D8%B9%D9%87%D8%AF %D8%BA%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%86%D8%AB%D8%A7%D9%85/ar/]grantham institute[/url]at Imperial College in London, said, “After a good rate of rain and harvest in 2020, three years passed in which rains were weak and temperatures were high, which led to a drought that had severe repercussions.” “On access to water...for agriculture.”
During an online press climate conference, scientist[url=https://www.alsumaria.tv/Entity/4041453915/%D9%85%D8%AD%D9%85%D8%AF %D8%B1%D8%AD%D9%8A%D9%85%D9%8A/ar/]Mohammad Rahimi[/url]from Iran's[url=https://www.alsumaria.tv/Entity/728107851/%D8%AC%D8%A7%D9%85%D8%B9%D8%A9 %D8%B3%D9%85%D9%86%D8%A7%D9%86/ar/]Semnan University[/url]called for "better resource management."
He said: “In our region, we have never had much rain, and this is normal. But what is new is the rise in temperatures.”
The expert participating in this study continued: “We lose a large portion of rain due to evaporation, and if the temperature rises further in the coming years, we can expect more evaporation and plant transpiration.” He added: "I'm not very optimistic for the future."
In Iraq, which is one of the largest oil producers in the world, as well as in Syria, which was devastated by war, residents often feel the repercussions of climate change and drought, which especially affects the poorest communities.
Agricultural production has declined significantly in recent years in both countries, especially in areas that were previously rich in wheat. In addition, the decline in river levels and their pollution has also affected the fishing profession.
As of September 2022, drought has caused the displacement of about two million people in Syria who live in rural areas, according to the study. In Iran, water shortages are causing “tensions” with neighboring countries, and the decline in harvests has led to a rise in food prices.
In Iraq, where the number of people displaced by climate change is in the tens of thousands, the level of tensions resulting from water distribution is also high. In a country with a population of 43 million people, one in five Iraqis lives in an area suffering from water shortages, according to a United Nations report.
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As for long periods of drought, they will no longer be a “rare event,” according to experts, as drought seasons “may occur at least once every ten years in[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]And[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]And twice every ten years[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
Experts warned that “the hypothesis of a drought may double” if global warming increases by an additional two degrees above what it was in the pre-industrial revolution period, which may happen in the coming decades unless fossil fuels are quickly abandoned, according to the study .
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2023-11-08 | 07:36
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A number of experts confirmed in a study, today, Wednesday, that climate warming has led to a “severe and continuing drought” in recent years in Iraq, Syria, and Iran.
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A study by the World Weather Association (WWA) network, which analyzes the link between weather factors and climate change, confirmed that high temperatures resulting from climate change have “increased the probability of drought occurring by 25 times in Syria and Iraq, and 16 times in Iran.” .
The study also talks about the role of “years of conflict and political instability” in paralyzing countries’ ability to cope with drought, causing a “humanitarian catastrophe.”
Under the current circumstances, there is an increased risk that “these periods of drought will become a regular occurrence, and will occur at least once a decade.”
The network's experts explained that "the drought would not have occurred without climate change caused mainly by the burning of oil, gas and coal."
This study covers the period between July 2020 and June 2023, in two regions that were very vulnerable to the repercussions of climate change, namely Iran and the region of the basin of the Tigris and Euphrates rivers, which originate in Turkey and pass through Syria and Iraq. The statement published alongside the study indicated that “these
two The two regions are currently experiencing a “severe drought” according to the American Drought Monitoring Scale.
The study explained that “climate change caused by human activity has increased the severity of this drought,” adding: “If the world temperature were 1.2 degrees Celsius lower (that is, what it was before... “The Industrial Revolution... it wouldn't have been this severe."
In this context, Frederic Otto, a climate scientist at the[url=https://www.alsumaria.tv/Entity/321072797/%D9%85%D8%B9%D9%87%D8%AF %D8%BA%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%86%D8%AB%D8%A7%D9%85/ar/]grantham institute[/url]at Imperial College in London, said, “After a good rate of rain and harvest in 2020, three years passed in which rains were weak and temperatures were high, which led to a drought that had severe repercussions.” “On access to water...for agriculture.”
During an online press climate conference, scientist[url=https://www.alsumaria.tv/Entity/4041453915/%D9%85%D8%AD%D9%85%D8%AF %D8%B1%D8%AD%D9%8A%D9%85%D9%8A/ar/]Mohammad Rahimi[/url]from Iran's[url=https://www.alsumaria.tv/Entity/728107851/%D8%AC%D8%A7%D9%85%D8%B9%D8%A9 %D8%B3%D9%85%D9%86%D8%A7%D9%86/ar/]Semnan University[/url]called for "better resource management."
He said: “In our region, we have never had much rain, and this is normal. But what is new is the rise in temperatures.”
The expert participating in this study continued: “We lose a large portion of rain due to evaporation, and if the temperature rises further in the coming years, we can expect more evaporation and plant transpiration.” He added: "I'm not very optimistic for the future."
In Iraq, which is one of the largest oil producers in the world, as well as in Syria, which was devastated by war, residents often feel the repercussions of climate change and drought, which especially affects the poorest communities.
Agricultural production has declined significantly in recent years in both countries, especially in areas that were previously rich in wheat. In addition, the decline in river levels and their pollution has also affected the fishing profession.
As of September 2022, drought has caused the displacement of about two million people in Syria who live in rural areas, according to the study. In Iran, water shortages are causing “tensions” with neighboring countries, and the decline in harvests has led to a rise in food prices.
In Iraq, where the number of people displaced by climate change is in the tens of thousands, the level of tensions resulting from water distribution is also high. In a country with a population of 43 million people, one in five Iraqis lives in an area suffering from water shortages, according to a United Nations report.
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
As for long periods of drought, they will no longer be a “rare event,” according to experts, as drought seasons “may occur at least once every ten years in[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]And[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]And twice every ten years[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
Experts warned that “the hypothesis of a drought may double” if global warming increases by an additional two degrees above what it was in the pre-industrial revolution period, which may happen in the coming decades unless fossil fuels are quickly abandoned, according to the study .
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