6:47:13 02/06/2016 |(Voice of Iraq) - Twilight News linked the future of Iraq, most of the other Arab states, the fate of the so-called organized "Islamic state." In June 2014, militants regulation dominated the vast expanses of the country, including Mosul, Iraq's second largest city , without having to face real resistance.and is currently the expulsion progressive organization from Iraq a matter of time, and that was a long time. the liberalization of the areas occupied by the militants in a day or two it takes several months for the extracted with difficulty. If this process continues and defeated the insurgents, the cohesion of Iraq - if happened - will be decided by the party that expelled by identity, and how to fill the power vacuum in those areas.slow progressenables the militants to organize the state control easily on strongholds of Sunni Arabs because its population has been marginalized, largely due to the policies and practices of sectarian government in Baghdad dominated by Shiite Arabs under the rule of Nuri al-Maliki who left finally took office in August / August 2014.since then, insufficient effort has been made to promote national reconciliation and make Sunnis, who were strong minority under Saddam Hussein, feel that they are partners in a national project. did not enact legislation to enable year through the transfer of security responsibilities and finance to their provinces. The action is not taken to curb the persecution of former members of the Baath Party, which spearheaded Saddam Hussein, was arbitrary arrests and detentions campaign stop, nor is it than complain about the year.while progress is slow progress for the expulsion of the "Islamic state", many believe that victory military alone is not enough.he warned a senior Iraqi diplomat that "the political reconciliation are not met, we will organize the state back again within five years."We have such a thing has happened before, and it is not a long time. Thus, the historical lesson exist.There has been expelled al-Qaeda, the militant group that preceded the state organization in Iraq, Anbar province, east of Iraq in 2006, after the lure of local tribes to change the grade and fighting alongside US forces and the Iraqi army against the militants. The edit city process gray for the second time evidence of the ability of Iraqi regular forces to defeat the state regulation , but promises of employment and empowerment provided by the government in Baghdad for the year did not materialize.And increased Maliki's policies from the wrath of the year to the extent that these areas become ripe period for the return of insurgents from Syria, which had taken refuge in it. It seems that the United States, which has about a military 3500 between trainers and advisers to Iraqi forces on the ground, fully aware that military force is not enough to confront militants . Col. Steve Warren, a spokesman for the alliance, which the United States led against the state organization, said, "we can not Nstmraly the same approach." he added, "we need good governance, and peaceful settlement of the situation in Syria, and other matters must be met."None of these items are available on the ground in Iraq to date, but the fight against the ongoing organization, and is expected to be brisk.challenge militias There is a strong feeling that the United States pays towards a great military victory, such as recovery of Mosul, perhaps tenderness city announced by the organization as his capital in Syria, even added to the legacy of President Barack Obama, who leaves office in January next year. but even if this ambitious project is successful, it could lead any move to eradicate the state regulation of the region to the serious damage that has not on a sound footing.the residents of the city of Mosul, totaling about two million people, almost all belong to the Sunni sect.perhaps still some residents believe that state regulation, which is believed to have 85 percent of its fighters, Iraqi, is a condom them shield from the Baghdad government, dominated by Shiites and backed by Iran. but even without this occurrence If the city were destroyed or occupied by those who do not belong, such as the Kurds or Shiite militias or Iraqi armed forces supported by the United States, this may be as sowing the seeds of further discontent and rebellion. so far, he sent the success of military moves against state regulation of mixed indicators .destroyed gray completely displaced all its inhabitants during the editing processand when the regular Iraqi army collapsed easily against militants regulation in Mosul in June 2014, was the popular crowd, a motley group was assembled quickly and is not a court of Shi'ite militants irregulars, is to prevent militants organization from reaching Baghdad. it also made "popular crowd" rows in the process of "liberation" of Diyala, northeast of the capital forces, the first Iraqi province purified to a large extent from the militants. And cooperation with the crowd the popular forces of affiliations variety of Kurds, Sunnis and Shiites, and others.And set off calls at the moment, a year after the liberation of Diyala, Sunni families to return to the province to live under the protection of armed Shiite factions. And organized a celebration in the recent period the return of hundreds of Sunni families to one Iraq cities dominated by state regulation earlier and freed later, to welcome them in the presence of a senior Iraqi military leaders and Sunni tribal leaders. but there was no doubt that the star of the concert is Hadi al-Amiri, who represents the organization "Badr" backed by Iran his leadership a raw essential to PDF crowd, with full control to maintain the whole, despite the presence of army and police forces.in the neighboring province of Salahuddin, predominantly Sunni, see the same scene is located in Diyala. In Tikrit, the capital of the province, the birthplace of Saddam Hussein, it is likely that about 80 percent of the Sunni population had returned to the city. But they are now living under the banners and placards Shiite militias, which are still there, with the charges of stealing cars and kidnapping people seeking ransom against them, it phenomena spread in the areas they control.despite the attempts to form a "Sunni crowd" in Tikrit, see Sunnis forces resent the conditions that these militias that make up the Shiite-dominated, what drives them to want to join.different model says a senior Sunni politicians "the Shiite militias are spread all over the place while the militia, a Sunni one in Baghdad does not exist, or Diyala, and Salah al-Din."He added that "this makes the state regulation of the Sunni militant group the only one in the country."but this model does not apply to the last blow to the organization, which took over the capital of Anbar province city of Ramadi last month. and plunged the city of Ramadi, a stronghold of the year, in the hands of state regulation last May after the Iraqi army collapsed again. it was not edit gray, this time led by Shiite militias, but was there are backed by air strikes from the coalition that the United States led against militants regulation by government forces. the forces that brought the heaviest blows of the organization is the forces of "anti-terrorism" Iraq's US-trained and receive orders directly from the Iraqi Prime Minister. it was for the Iraqi army and police prominent role in edit gray as well as the prominent role played by Sunnis fighters in the process.he praised Lt. Gen. Sean MacFarland, commander of the coalition led by the United States, the performance of the participants in the liberation of Ramadi, saying he was "no room for doubt that the liberation of Ramadi has been a shift in this campaign point." the forces "fighting terrorism" the greatest credit for the expulsion of state regulation of gray and added that "the enemy of me heavy casualties, Iraqi security forces and has proven to be able to defeat (Daash), even when they are available to the enemy all the readiness of the defense features in urban areas."and suggested that the balance process regular on the balance Shiite militia forces, despite recent alleged to have played a major role in securing the bases from which the attack."mobilization of the nation"and reinforced gray attitude of Iraqi Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi, who is facing a crisis.the Abadi begging for support even from the sons of his own party, the Shiite Dawa Party . And seen widely among Sunnis, Shiites and Kurds as weak and irresolute and lacking the leadership capabilities that make it able to confront the militias. There was another side to the process of liberalization of Ramadi, as the right of the city's destruction on a large scale as well as the displacement of the population entirely in the attack. He said one of the politicians enraged Sunnis on the situation that the city "completely destroyed, and left all its inhabitants as well as meet them badly treated, on suspicion of being sympathetic to the state regulation."He added that people "in the cities of Mosul and Fallujah (which is controlled by the organization in Anbar province) will be wondering what made ? military operations have no value unless people feel that they are citizens of the first class. " He continued," unless there is an internal rejection from the people of Mosul, people will feel that this is not Iraq's army, but the army killed more than a year. "If not available feeling among the population of the areas controlled by state regulation, it will be difficult to repeat the achievement of the equation that liberated the city again in Mosul. it took liberation of the city of subsidized Btiran coalition government forces about seven months while the connector space tenfold.the leader of the Badr Organization, Hadi al-Amiri said "No army, no police, no crowd, no clan can edit Mosul if each of them worked in isolation from the other." he added, "we must work together as a team, in coordination with the Peshmerga forces to mobilize the whole nation for the defeat of state regulation."but he did not mention Air Alliance, which showed the importance of his role in the campaign.analysts say that the Iraqis would be required to foreign ground troops. It is clear that US military leaders, although they Ktomin, want to accelerate the elimination of regulation, and they have not ruled out sending more ground troops.In the absence of serious moves toward national reconciliation, a member of the government's liberalization of Mosul process felt necessary to achieve national unity.He added that " reconciliation is not making progress, and the only way to achieve it is the defeat of state regulation in Mosul. understanding will continue to look at the organization as a protector for them as long as government forces and the popular crowd continued on the current situation. " he pointed out that the only way to victory, reconciliation and new leaders are victory over the organization in Mosul. Jim Muir BBC News [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
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