Dec 30, 1397 - 05:15
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The secretary-general of the Sharafan Center, in an account of the days when the Central Bank's absence led to currency tension, emphasizes that Herat and Sulaimaniyah should not determine the Tehran exchange rate; he believes that there is no leap for the exchange rate.
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] - The Economic Group - Mahboubeh Fakori: The currency market has been relaxing for a few weeks, and traders whose businesses have been suspended for several months by issuing government directives have now re-rolled their stores. The market is calm and market leaders in the market for bank lending. Other non-bank currency exchanges, although still subject to restrictions for their operation, believe that the presence of the central bank as one of the foreign exchange market players has increased since the turbulent market months. Reza Torkashvand, general secretary of the Rotary Corporation, said that the turmoil in the first half of the year was due to the absence of a central bank in the market, which is now resolved. He was in conversation with the [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.], The latest state of the foreign exchange market, central bank policies, the existence of unauthorized exchanges and the sale of export currency, the vacancy of the central bank directives for the full management of the foreign exchange market and currency signals in the 1998 budget.
* [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] : Considering the relatively quiet conditions of the foreign exchange market, what measures have been taken operationally, the foreign exchange market saw stability and stability, and what do you think about the future of the months to the end of the year?
- Reza Torkashvand: How many factors have caused the turmoil of the foreign exchange market in the last few months, perhaps the most important of them was the reduction of the supply of money to the lowest possible or even near zero in the market, and this, coupled with the high demand, caused a bad situation for the market. , But more important than these two factors was the stimulation of the demand that took place in the foreign exchange market, which led to the prevailing demand for precautionary measures in the market, in such a way that people felt insecure about their assets and therefore were quick to pursue assetsMake their own. The pressure exerted by foreign rival governments along with the expected inflation in the people and the tensions market. In these circumstances, the adoption of new central bank decisions made the currency market balanced and stabilized, meaning that the head of state allowed the Central Bank to provide the conditions for any person to enter the country at any rate; This restriction has been removed, especially for stockholders, and they have been able to import any currency they can. Accordingly, currency injections were made to the market, and, of course, the problems that had arisen from some of the neighboring currency exchanges were removed by new decisions, which accelerated the entry of foreign exchange into the market. Meanwhile, Iran's foreign trade, especially in the field of oil and petrochemicals, during the past weeks, has reassured the currency market and created a space that partly mitigates the inflammation of the market. Of course, the Central Bank also had an effective presence in the foreign exchange policy of the country. Indeed, the central bank, which was previously absent in the market, entered the market with permission from the head of state, and provided the currency at a time when it was felt that the price might Rise and shake again, it's affected. Of course, the presence of the central bank in the market was not a market maker, but as a player and actor in the market, and created the necessary controls. In the meantime, one should not ignore another factor in the management of the foreign exchange market; it was the frustration of the people of the price fluctuations that contributed to price stability. In the last few months, when people were tired and tired of exchange rate fluctuations, their frustration had a psychological effect on the market and helped restore the market. Indeed, in the first phase, although people may feel satisfied with purchasing currency and personal profit, but over time, when the inflationary effect of the currency was evaporated and the price of goods rose, this sense of color satisfaction was lost and people noticed That this profit is not real, and the multiplier of the profits earned must be spent on inflation caused by an increase in the exchange rate. As a result, fatigue and disillusionment dominated the market. Meanwhile, we have repeatedly emphasized that it is good for people to trade, whose profits do not lead to other people's involvement.
Over the past weeks, the central bank, which had previously been absent from the market, entered the market with permission from the head of state and was affected by supplying the currency at a time when it was felt that the price might rise and shock again. Of course, the presence of the central bank in the market did not act as a market maker, but as a market actor and actor and created the necessary controls.* For months of tension in the foreign exchange market, many people are still worried about the return of price fluctuations. How much could it be hoped that these other currency jumps would not return to the market, and should we meet the preconditions?
- In the short term, the currency exchange will not return to the market; the exchange rate in the market indicates the status of the value of the national currency of the country; therefore, if the domestic and foreign policies of the country applied by the government are calculated, it is planned and wisely and the government Can manage the situation and compete; it works well. However, the system and the government must come out against external impulses; in the face of foreign issues affecting the foreign exchange market, the responses are in such a way that there is a sound sense of it; If such preconditions are met, we can hope that in the next three to four years, there will be no tension in the exchange rate, and if we plan, then there will be no tension after that .
* What were the preconditions that were said to be more in line with political preconditions, what are the economic considerations?
-The economic preconditions are that we have to reach a point of equilibrium in the currency debate in the country that produces economical imports. If production grows, investment will flourish; however, existing barriers should be eliminated. These barriers are now high and conditions should be facilitated. On the other hand, barriers to exports should also be taken to help export, while barriers to the import of raw materials and machinery should also be removed. In return for the boom of production, employment will be created and the enthusiasm and enthusiasm will increase, so the market will be stable. In economics, we had a subject at the beginning of the revolution as a substructure and superstructure; this is the basis of many economic affairs; as in a family, if the father of the family is employed and has sufficient income for the administration of the family, the family's money, apart from the cost , Is saved and deposited in the bank or the purchase of goods to the community; then, each person, if it has a productive work, will expand it. So we need social peace in economic debates so that people feel safe that if they invest, tomorrow their capital will not be lost. Economic security has a well-defined social model that eliminating barriers to production and exports, as well as supporting employment activities, are issues that lead to a continual relaxation of the society. If one knows that he buys a commodity at a specified price this year, he will buy it at the same rate next year, he will not have the time to buy more, so he will be a person with a reasonable economic behavior - now people's behavior in the area Economics is an emotional and greedy behavior - in this situation, surplus money goes into active investment and does not go into the coin and currency market, because in such a situation, the person is confident that the dollar and coin will not increase in price; so it will give the money to Increases the quality of life; or develops their work. These are the preconditions that, if implemented in the community, we will see the stability of the foreign exchange market, as well as deconstruction in international relations. We are under the pressure of the great powers in the economic sphere, and this pressure has been created by the neighbors and the trans-regional powers..
* Free market traders, are they still suffering poisonous competitors such as unauthorized exchanges? Can one part of this calm relate to the inactivity of unauthorized exchangers and the lack of dealers?
-The number of unauthorized currency exchanges is currently very low. The principle is the government's measures in the field of currency. 90 percent of the currency is at the disposal of the government. We have oil, petrochemicals, heavy metal and steel industries, which provide 90% of the country's currency, and so 90% of the country's currency is at the disposal of the state, but the issue is about ten percent of the private sector currency that can take the market floor. , Although unauthorized exchanges are a topic that has been debated for years; but it's a compassionate look in the system, and we have not seen a strong intention over the past years to control unauthorized currency exchanges. The name and address of the unauthorized currency exchanges are clear and there are also places and police forces; officials with a decisive decision can close the door of unauthorized currency exchange. The issue is wider than such encounters. My complaint of the press, the media and the media is that they are always giving people a wrong address. So much media are misleading addresses that even fear that judiciary officials will also be affected by these wrong media addresses. The fact is that during these years, whenever a decision was made to increase the exchange rate, supply has been cut off by the central bank and then discontinued, which naturally causes turbulence in the market and increases its rate and stabilization at a higher point. . Meanwhile, given that traders are at the forefront of the foreign exchange market, routine arrests have also been arrested and may also be sentenced to lengthy imprisonments, but the question is whether, after this custody, the government will exchange the exchange rate Returns the previous point? If you do this, it's great and great The fact is that during these years, whenever a decision was made to increase the exchange rate, supply has been cut off by the central bank and then discontinued, which naturally causes turbulence in the market and increases its rate and stabilization at a higher point. . Meanwhile, given that traders are at the forefront of the foreign exchange market, routine arrests have also been arrested and may also be sentenced to lengthy imprisonments, but the question is whether, after this custody, the government will exchange the exchange rate Returns the previous point? If you do this, it's great and great The fact is that during these years, whenever a decision was made to increase the exchange rate, supply has been cut off by the central bank and then discontinued, which naturally causes turbulence in the market and increases its rate and stabilization at a higher point. . Meanwhile, given that traders are at the forefront of the foreign exchange market, routine arrests have also been arrested and may also be sentenced to lengthy imprisonments, but the question is whether, after this custody, the government will exchange the exchange rate Returns the previous point? If you do this, it's great and great Meanwhile, given that traders are at the forefront of the foreign exchange market, routine arrests have also been arrested and may also be sentenced to lengthy imprisonments, but the question is whether, after this custody, the government will exchange the exchange rate Returns the previous point? If you do this, it's great and great Meanwhile, given that traders are at the forefront of the foreign exchange market, routine arrests have also been arrested and may also be sentenced to lengthy imprisonments, but the question is whether, after this custody, the government will exchange the exchange rate Returns the previous point? If you do this, it's great and great.In this situation, the government should return the currency to four thousand tomans. Other than this, the wrong address given by the media has brought the work to the fore that all the faults and mistakes that have arisen in the foreign exchange market have been thrown around. We propose that we close ourselves as the focusing center, but the exchange rate will be returned to 3,600 to 4,000 USD so that the people feel relaxed and comfortable. It is decided in the macro system and the two people are arrested, the address is false. The fact is, the motive is for profit in the human race. Now one follows this profit in the spiritual dimension and one in the material dimension. I have an example in this area, which I have made several times. When you take sugar sugar from one side of the room to the other, if two sugar pieces are dropped on the ground in an unintentional or deliberate way on the ground, surely a few ants are gathered together. Even if the house is clean, the ants still gather around these sugars. These ants are the same brothels, so you should not allow a candy to fall on the ground so that they gather together..
Although unauthorized exchanges have been debated for years, there is a compassionate look on them, and we did not see the strong will to deal with them. The names and addresses of these unauthorized currency exchanges are also known and also have places and police forces. Therefore, officials with a decisive decision can close the door of unauthorized currency exchange.I disagree with you a little bit about the media that the wrong address on the market They are currencies to arrest the offenders. Anyway In the foreign exchange market and the media, the media may produce field reports at any rate, but the principle of the event, as you yourself mentioned, is affected by macro policies.Many times, the media warned that the central bank had abandoned its previous management and did not play the role of marketing, and many of the events that took place in the foreign exchange market were influenced by the behavior of some banks and bank and non-bank currency exchanges in the market. Of course, in addition to an error in the media in terms of information, media debate in the recent issue was very cautious .
- Anyway, I have to study this matter more precisely and more .
* You mentioned in your speech that the central bank had no market-oriented role in recent currency developments. Do you believe that another central bank is not a market maker in the foreign exchange market?
- It's better if not marketable. We have been persuading for years to discover where the price finds out. This is a question for all people.
* Always one of the most commonly asked questions. How should the mechanism really be implemented?
- We have been insisting and asking for years, and there have been letters with the central bank and competent authorities that should be clear about the currency market, both in terms of remittance and cash. The supplier and the bidder are clearly identifiable and the large sales, buyer and seller, and their sources of supply are clear. That is, the money from which Rial account is transferred to the Rial account is also to be identified. Bring everything on the circle to see everyone. This process should be a theater, not a cinema where editing and cutting are done. Everything must be transparent, so we have repeatedly stated that let the central bank be one of the factors that are present in this market. Allow the central bank to act as an agent on this issue and, if supply is high, to buy the currency, or if the supply is low, the currency will be offered. Whether we want or do not want the central bank to sell the dollar. The point here is that you have an economy in which the government is the largest consumer, meaning that in the last year's budget, about 92% of the budget is current and only 6 to 7% of development, that is, disaster. Namely, a state as the father of the family has weighed 400 kilograms, and whatever income is, he must eat himself to survive and continue his life, and his little children should be amazed. In this state of affairs, there is also a source in the name of oil that sells it, so it naturally turns oil into rials and gives the employee and worker the right to pay his current income. So we can not say that we have not bought a currency. Part of government revenue also comes from taxes, taxes, taxes, and crimes and income rows, but government spending is infinite; as a result, the government must sell the currency. Since the currency entered the Iranian economy, the currency government has been sold and this has happened. You suppose that 100 billion dollars of currency enters a country where there has not been any specific economic and productive activity in that society, so annual $ 100 billion in liquidity increases, which in its essence has inflation, unless this liquidity towards investment Be guided. Suppose that Iran had a refinery in the world's 100 countries and its fuel and gas were provided by Iran, then one could not boycott us. The refinery on the other side of the world belonged to Iran and imported its crude from Iran and turned it into materials that, in addition to supplying it, exports were made to other countries of the world. This is not the case, of course, the international space has not allowed us, so whether we want or not, we should bring the currency from the sale of oil and exports to the country, and the central bank should sell it. Therefore, it should play a role in this area, though sometimes it is intense and sometimes dilute. The same should be managed, and the currency at the disposal of the central bank should be marketed to a specific order. If a particular order is given to this currency, it can be arranged in a transparent market. This price discovery should not be done in the neighboring markets or the floor of our market. We want to set the price, Herat, Dubai and Sulaimaniyah. While, if there is a clear market in this area, we will set the rate there with the criterion of supply and demand, and we do not need neighboring markets. Therefore, the central bank should be managed in that market and it should help the market. Of course, there may be problems at the beginning of work, but it will be balanced in the long run as in other countries of the world. If a particular order is given to this currency, it can be arranged in a transparent market. This price discovery should not be done in the neighboring markets or the floor of our market. We want to set the price, Herat, Dubai and Sulaimaniyah. While, if there is a clear market in this area, we will set the rate there with the criterion of supply and demand, and we do not need neighboring markets. Therefore, the central bank should be managed in that market and it should help the market. Of course, there may be problems at the beginning of work, but it will be balanced in the long run as in other countries of the world. If a particular order is given to this currency, it can be arranged in a transparent market. This price discovery should not be done in the neighboring markets or the floor of our market. We want to set the price, Herat, Dubai and Sulaimaniyah. While, if there is a clear market in this area, we will set the rate there with the criterion of supply and demand, and we do not need neighboring markets. Therefore, the central bank should be managed in that market and it should help the market. Of course, there may be problems at the beginning of work, but it will be balanced in the long run as in other countries of the world. While, if there is a clear market in this area, we will set the rate there with the criterion of supply and demand, and we do not need neighboring markets. Therefore, the central bank should be managed in that market and it should help the market. Of course, there may be problems at the beginning of work, but it will be balanced in the long run as in other countries of the world. While, if there is a clear market in this area, we will set the rate there with the criterion of supply and demand, and we do not need neighboring markets. Therefore, the central bank should be managed in that market and it should help the market. Of course, there may be problems at the beginning of work, but it will be balanced in the long run as in other countries of the world..
When the central bank does not have a serious presence in the market that adjusts prices, Herat, Dubai, and Sulaimaniyah will discover the price, while if there is a clear market in this area, there will be a setup rate with its supply and demand criteria, We do not need neighboring markets.* Is the effective rate of 5700 Toman considered in the budget for the currency reasonable and does not endanger the free market?
- Still, the defined rate is not clear. It should be seen in the bill, which figure is considered for budget 98 .
* Part of the expenses should be paid at a rate of 4200 USD, and the other part will be considered at Nima rates. My question is, is the 5700 USD rate can give a signal to the currency market?
- If the dollar's rate in the budget of 98 is closed at eight thousand USD, the market signal will be 20% higher than the government's price. The market also tends to behave like this: if the dollar is considered to be eight thousand dollars in the budget, the market price of the work is $ 1,000. If the 5700 is considered, this gap will increase. So all the efforts we have from government officials is to plan realities in order to determine the exchange rate in the budget, and we also have the same request from the parliament to treat the budget in the same way. Populist behavior should not be the rule for determining the exchange rate in a budget or any other program. The logic of the economy, its future, the creation of employment and the infrastructure debate of the economy must be the decisive criterion. It should not be a populist act, and the government must also act logically. In fact, the government should pay attention to the fact that at any cost, if there is a gap, there is a point of the formation of rents and corruption. Whenever the government drops between the dollar's rate on a free-market budget, it accepts that corruption causes it to operate in that space. If you want to remove corruption so that it's reasonably priced, wise, and real, then you should not be too expensive. We have repeatedly said that the government is in a position to offer direct subsidies and goods to the people, so that the price of the dollar will be real and interchangeable with the entire nation, directly and indirectly, to the vulnerable, and to subsidize Give people from origin. We treat emotional economics. Economics is not an organization like the Relief Committee to look at everyone with an emotional behavior, the economy demands a logical behavior. The economy has to go some way that everyone has a reasonable attitude to buy goods. Free money should not be given as it destroys society. If the dollar is set at $ 5700, make sure that the market reaction is not a reaction to that rate; naturally, if the government raises the price and sees that the market is falling, it can have a budget amendment. I'm telling you right now and I'm asking you to publish it, with a budget of 5700 USD in the sense of rent and corruption. The gap between the price of the state and the free market of the currency, that is, rents for optometrists that can exploit this rate. The government should not do this; it should set a close-to-market rate, and if it is seen that in the future, it can reduce the market rate, and the market is balanced, and the desire for a lower rate, it will issue a two-law bill to the parliament And reduce the exchange rate in the budget. Of course, I do not think that this happens If the dollar is set at $ 5700, make sure that the market reaction is not a reaction to that rate; naturally, if the government raises the price and sees that the market is falling, it can have a budget amendment. I'm telling you right now and I'm asking you to publish it, with a budget of 5700 USD in the sense of rent and corruption. The gap between the price of the state and the free market of the currency, that is, rents for optometrists that can exploit this rate. The government should not do this; it should set a close-to-market rate, and if it is seen that in the future, it can reduce the market rate, and the market is balanced, and the desire for a lower rate, it will issue a two-law bill to the parliament And reduce the exchange rate in the budget. Of course, I do not think that this happens If the dollar is set at $ 5700, make sure that the market reaction is not a reaction to that rate; naturally, if the government raises the price and sees that the market is falling, it can have a budget amendment. I'm telling you right now and I'm asking you to publish it, with a budget of 5700 USD in the sense of rent and corruption. The gap between the price of the state and the free market of the currency, that is, rents for optometrists that can exploit this rate. The government should not do this; it should set a close-to-market rate, and if it is seen that in the future, it can reduce the market rate, and the market is balanced, and the desire for a lower rate, it will issue a two-law bill to the parliament And reduce the exchange rate in the budget. Of course, I do not think that this happens I'm telling you right now and I'm asking you to publish it, with a budget of 5700 USD in the sense of rent and corruption. The gap between the price of the state and the free market of the currency, that is, rents for optometrists that can exploit this rate. The government should not do this; it should set a close-to-market rate, and if it is seen that in the future, it can reduce the market rate, and the market is balanced, and the desire for a lower rate, it will issue a two-law bill to the parliament And reduce the exchange rate in the budget. Of course, I do not think that this happens I'm telling you right now and I'm asking you to publish it, with a budget of 5700 USD in the sense of rent and corruption. The gap between the price of the state and the free market of the currency, that is, rents for optometrists that can exploit this rate. The government should not do this; it should set a close-to-market rate, and if it is seen that in the future, it can reduce the market rate, and the market is balanced, and the desire for a lower rate, it will issue a two-law bill to the parliament And reduce the exchange rate in the budget. Of course, I do not think that this happens The government should not do this; it should set a close-to-market rate, and if it is seen that in the future, it can reduce the market rate, and the market is balanced, and the desire for a lower rate, it will issue a two-law bill to the parliament And reduce the exchange rate in the budget. Of course, I do not think that this happens The government should not do this; it should set a close-to-market rate, and if it is seen that in the future, it can reduce the market rate, and the market is balanced, and the desire for a lower rate, it will issue a two-law bill to the parliament And reduce the exchange rate in the budget. Of course, I do not think that this happens.
The gap between government and free market prices, that is, rents for optometrists, could exploit this rate. The government should not do this; it should set a close-to-market rate, and if it is seen that in the future, it can reduce the market rate, and the market is balanced, and the desire for a lower rate, it will issue a two-law bill to the parliament And reduce the exchange rate in the budget* Some exchanges claim that there is no attraction in buying the export currency, as they should sell the currencies in the service headings. How can exporters be locked up in exchange offices, both of which are relieved of the return on foreign exchange earnings, and that exchange traders will go ahead with their economic routine?
- This is a fact in the foreign exchange market that the government sees the definition of export-free return as a capital outflow. However, the reality in society is whether we want or not. According to various statistics, we have four to six million Iranian immigrants abroad. As many things are reversed in our country, the issue of immigration and the value of it works for us the opposite. In other countries, when the workforce is deployed, the country enters the country along with that currency, while in Iran, when a force leaves the country as a migrant, the currency will leave the country behind it. This means that not only does the currency not return, but here, the individual is supported by the family as long as he is a student and receives the currency from Iran. Afterwards, the property is here, or the inheritance that has come to him is also out of the country. These are the bitter facts that exist in society. The government should clarify these obligations and clearly define and define the two-to-ten thousand dollar rates in the two headlines of the Central Bank. When asked, a student can receive $ 12-15,000 a year from the state government, a student who has gone through higher education to a university-defined ministry of science, and has also completed his casework at the Ministry of Science, so training He has accepted the university and his field of study, and he has accepted the course, in which case he will file a case for him and he will be entitled to receive the currency. However, a few percent of Iranian students abroad will study through the Ministry of Science, but their number Not much. A high percentage of students who go abroad When asked, a student can receive $ 12-15,000 a year from the state government, a student who has gone through higher education to a university-defined ministry of science, and has also completed his casework at the Ministry of Science, so training He has accepted the university and his field of study, and he has accepted the course, in which case he will file a case for him and he will be entitled to receive the currency. However, a few percent of Iranian students abroad will study through the Ministry of Science, but their number Not much. A high percentage of students who go abroad When asked, a student can receive $ 12-15,000 a year from the state government, a student who has gone through higher education to a university-defined ministry of science, and has also completed his casework at the Ministry of Science, so training He has accepted the university and his field of study, and he has accepted the course, in which case he will file a case for him and he will be entitled to receive the currency. However, a few percent of Iranian students abroad will study through the Ministry of Science, but their number Not much. A high percentage of students who go abroad But a few percent of Iranian students abroad, through the Ministry of Science, are studying, but their number is not high. A high percentage of students who go abroad But a few percent of Iranian students abroad, through the Ministry of Science, are studying, but their number is not high. A high percentage of students who go abroad The Trends are free to study, while their assignments are unclear. Even the families living on the water, who own property in Iran, lease their property and live abroad, so the capital they are in Iran does not set off, and the government, of course, can not say that the exit of the currency The result of the profits or sales of these assets is the withdrawal of capital. I repeat this over and over again that the withdrawal of capital is, in reality, the manpower that goes out of the country and no longer returns to the country. The principle of capital, that is, the manpower has been removed, each of the people who leave the country, have a great deal of value. A person who accepts the risk of immigration is a creative entrepreneur who goes away from the government. While the money goes behind these people, it must be standardized and allow the person to withdraw part of his property in a decent manner, under the supervision of the central bank. If this permission is not given by the responsible authorities and the politician, there will be two things to happen. If the issuer does not want to enter the market, if you allow the seller to buy the currency from the export, and the small remittances of $ 5-10 thousand People need to get out of this place, from where the export currency is handed over. Or, the person has not done anything at all, but the other side of the water has some foreign exchange reserves that are not too low among the Iranians; then if a person plans to bring that currency to Iran, the central bank can take measures to take that currency. If this is not done, an issuer can not trade in a government mechanism and the government will not be able to access this currency. However, a sharecropper purchases a currency from export, or it should consume 23 dollars in expenditures, which is very much needed, or that Sarraf should supply the currency at Nima. Therefore, if you want to buy at free-rate and sell at a free rate, there is no attraction for a currency exchange and the importer will not appreciate this rate. So, as long as you keep petrochemicals at a low price, Nima is not charming
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* [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] : Considering the relatively quiet conditions of the foreign exchange market, what measures have been taken operationally, the foreign exchange market saw stability and stability, and what do you think about the future of the months to the end of the year?
- Reza Torkashvand: How many factors have caused the turmoil of the foreign exchange market in the last few months, perhaps the most important of them was the reduction of the supply of money to the lowest possible or even near zero in the market, and this, coupled with the high demand, caused a bad situation for the market. , But more important than these two factors was the stimulation of the demand that took place in the foreign exchange market, which led to the prevailing demand for precautionary measures in the market, in such a way that people felt insecure about their assets and therefore were quick to pursue assetsMake their own. The pressure exerted by foreign rival governments along with the expected inflation in the people and the tensions market. In these circumstances, the adoption of new central bank decisions made the currency market balanced and stabilized, meaning that the head of state allowed the Central Bank to provide the conditions for any person to enter the country at any rate; This restriction has been removed, especially for stockholders, and they have been able to import any currency they can. Accordingly, currency injections were made to the market, and, of course, the problems that had arisen from some of the neighboring currency exchanges were removed by new decisions, which accelerated the entry of foreign exchange into the market. Meanwhile, Iran's foreign trade, especially in the field of oil and petrochemicals, during the past weeks, has reassured the currency market and created a space that partly mitigates the inflammation of the market. Of course, the Central Bank also had an effective presence in the foreign exchange policy of the country. Indeed, the central bank, which was previously absent in the market, entered the market with permission from the head of state, and provided the currency at a time when it was felt that the price might Rise and shake again, it's affected. Of course, the presence of the central bank in the market was not a market maker, but as a player and actor in the market, and created the necessary controls. In the meantime, one should not ignore another factor in the management of the foreign exchange market; it was the frustration of the people of the price fluctuations that contributed to price stability. In the last few months, when people were tired and tired of exchange rate fluctuations, their frustration had a psychological effect on the market and helped restore the market. Indeed, in the first phase, although people may feel satisfied with purchasing currency and personal profit, but over time, when the inflationary effect of the currency was evaporated and the price of goods rose, this sense of color satisfaction was lost and people noticed That this profit is not real, and the multiplier of the profits earned must be spent on inflation caused by an increase in the exchange rate. As a result, fatigue and disillusionment dominated the market. Meanwhile, we have repeatedly emphasized that it is good for people to trade, whose profits do not lead to other people's involvement.
Over the past weeks, the central bank, which had previously been absent from the market, entered the market with permission from the head of state and was affected by supplying the currency at a time when it was felt that the price might rise and shock again. Of course, the presence of the central bank in the market did not act as a market maker, but as a market actor and actor and created the necessary controls.* For months of tension in the foreign exchange market, many people are still worried about the return of price fluctuations. How much could it be hoped that these other currency jumps would not return to the market, and should we meet the preconditions?
- In the short term, the currency exchange will not return to the market; the exchange rate in the market indicates the status of the value of the national currency of the country; therefore, if the domestic and foreign policies of the country applied by the government are calculated, it is planned and wisely and the government Can manage the situation and compete; it works well. However, the system and the government must come out against external impulses; in the face of foreign issues affecting the foreign exchange market, the responses are in such a way that there is a sound sense of it; If such preconditions are met, we can hope that in the next three to four years, there will be no tension in the exchange rate, and if we plan, then there will be no tension after that .
* What were the preconditions that were said to be more in line with political preconditions, what are the economic considerations?
-The economic preconditions are that we have to reach a point of equilibrium in the currency debate in the country that produces economical imports. If production grows, investment will flourish; however, existing barriers should be eliminated. These barriers are now high and conditions should be facilitated. On the other hand, barriers to exports should also be taken to help export, while barriers to the import of raw materials and machinery should also be removed. In return for the boom of production, employment will be created and the enthusiasm and enthusiasm will increase, so the market will be stable. In economics, we had a subject at the beginning of the revolution as a substructure and superstructure; this is the basis of many economic affairs; as in a family, if the father of the family is employed and has sufficient income for the administration of the family, the family's money, apart from the cost , Is saved and deposited in the bank or the purchase of goods to the community; then, each person, if it has a productive work, will expand it. So we need social peace in economic debates so that people feel safe that if they invest, tomorrow their capital will not be lost. Economic security has a well-defined social model that eliminating barriers to production and exports, as well as supporting employment activities, are issues that lead to a continual relaxation of the society. If one knows that he buys a commodity at a specified price this year, he will buy it at the same rate next year, he will not have the time to buy more, so he will be a person with a reasonable economic behavior - now people's behavior in the area Economics is an emotional and greedy behavior - in this situation, surplus money goes into active investment and does not go into the coin and currency market, because in such a situation, the person is confident that the dollar and coin will not increase in price; so it will give the money to Increases the quality of life; or develops their work. These are the preconditions that, if implemented in the community, we will see the stability of the foreign exchange market, as well as deconstruction in international relations. We are under the pressure of the great powers in the economic sphere, and this pressure has been created by the neighbors and the trans-regional powers..
* Free market traders, are they still suffering poisonous competitors such as unauthorized exchanges? Can one part of this calm relate to the inactivity of unauthorized exchangers and the lack of dealers?
-The number of unauthorized currency exchanges is currently very low. The principle is the government's measures in the field of currency. 90 percent of the currency is at the disposal of the government. We have oil, petrochemicals, heavy metal and steel industries, which provide 90% of the country's currency, and so 90% of the country's currency is at the disposal of the state, but the issue is about ten percent of the private sector currency that can take the market floor. , Although unauthorized exchanges are a topic that has been debated for years; but it's a compassionate look in the system, and we have not seen a strong intention over the past years to control unauthorized currency exchanges. The name and address of the unauthorized currency exchanges are clear and there are also places and police forces; officials with a decisive decision can close the door of unauthorized currency exchange. The issue is wider than such encounters. My complaint of the press, the media and the media is that they are always giving people a wrong address. So much media are misleading addresses that even fear that judiciary officials will also be affected by these wrong media addresses. The fact is that during these years, whenever a decision was made to increase the exchange rate, supply has been cut off by the central bank and then discontinued, which naturally causes turbulence in the market and increases its rate and stabilization at a higher point. . Meanwhile, given that traders are at the forefront of the foreign exchange market, routine arrests have also been arrested and may also be sentenced to lengthy imprisonments, but the question is whether, after this custody, the government will exchange the exchange rate Returns the previous point? If you do this, it's great and great The fact is that during these years, whenever a decision was made to increase the exchange rate, supply has been cut off by the central bank and then discontinued, which naturally causes turbulence in the market and increases its rate and stabilization at a higher point. . Meanwhile, given that traders are at the forefront of the foreign exchange market, routine arrests have also been arrested and may also be sentenced to lengthy imprisonments, but the question is whether, after this custody, the government will exchange the exchange rate Returns the previous point? If you do this, it's great and great The fact is that during these years, whenever a decision was made to increase the exchange rate, supply has been cut off by the central bank and then discontinued, which naturally causes turbulence in the market and increases its rate and stabilization at a higher point. . Meanwhile, given that traders are at the forefront of the foreign exchange market, routine arrests have also been arrested and may also be sentenced to lengthy imprisonments, but the question is whether, after this custody, the government will exchange the exchange rate Returns the previous point? If you do this, it's great and great Meanwhile, given that traders are at the forefront of the foreign exchange market, routine arrests have also been arrested and may also be sentenced to lengthy imprisonments, but the question is whether, after this custody, the government will exchange the exchange rate Returns the previous point? If you do this, it's great and great Meanwhile, given that traders are at the forefront of the foreign exchange market, routine arrests have also been arrested and may also be sentenced to lengthy imprisonments, but the question is whether, after this custody, the government will exchange the exchange rate Returns the previous point? If you do this, it's great and great.In this situation, the government should return the currency to four thousand tomans. Other than this, the wrong address given by the media has brought the work to the fore that all the faults and mistakes that have arisen in the foreign exchange market have been thrown around. We propose that we close ourselves as the focusing center, but the exchange rate will be returned to 3,600 to 4,000 USD so that the people feel relaxed and comfortable. It is decided in the macro system and the two people are arrested, the address is false. The fact is, the motive is for profit in the human race. Now one follows this profit in the spiritual dimension and one in the material dimension. I have an example in this area, which I have made several times. When you take sugar sugar from one side of the room to the other, if two sugar pieces are dropped on the ground in an unintentional or deliberate way on the ground, surely a few ants are gathered together. Even if the house is clean, the ants still gather around these sugars. These ants are the same brothels, so you should not allow a candy to fall on the ground so that they gather together..
Although unauthorized exchanges have been debated for years, there is a compassionate look on them, and we did not see the strong will to deal with them. The names and addresses of these unauthorized currency exchanges are also known and also have places and police forces. Therefore, officials with a decisive decision can close the door of unauthorized currency exchange.I disagree with you a little bit about the media that the wrong address on the market They are currencies to arrest the offenders. Anyway In the foreign exchange market and the media, the media may produce field reports at any rate, but the principle of the event, as you yourself mentioned, is affected by macro policies.Many times, the media warned that the central bank had abandoned its previous management and did not play the role of marketing, and many of the events that took place in the foreign exchange market were influenced by the behavior of some banks and bank and non-bank currency exchanges in the market. Of course, in addition to an error in the media in terms of information, media debate in the recent issue was very cautious .
- Anyway, I have to study this matter more precisely and more .
* You mentioned in your speech that the central bank had no market-oriented role in recent currency developments. Do you believe that another central bank is not a market maker in the foreign exchange market?
- It's better if not marketable. We have been persuading for years to discover where the price finds out. This is a question for all people.
* Always one of the most commonly asked questions. How should the mechanism really be implemented?
- We have been insisting and asking for years, and there have been letters with the central bank and competent authorities that should be clear about the currency market, both in terms of remittance and cash. The supplier and the bidder are clearly identifiable and the large sales, buyer and seller, and their sources of supply are clear. That is, the money from which Rial account is transferred to the Rial account is also to be identified. Bring everything on the circle to see everyone. This process should be a theater, not a cinema where editing and cutting are done. Everything must be transparent, so we have repeatedly stated that let the central bank be one of the factors that are present in this market. Allow the central bank to act as an agent on this issue and, if supply is high, to buy the currency, or if the supply is low, the currency will be offered. Whether we want or do not want the central bank to sell the dollar. The point here is that you have an economy in which the government is the largest consumer, meaning that in the last year's budget, about 92% of the budget is current and only 6 to 7% of development, that is, disaster. Namely, a state as the father of the family has weighed 400 kilograms, and whatever income is, he must eat himself to survive and continue his life, and his little children should be amazed. In this state of affairs, there is also a source in the name of oil that sells it, so it naturally turns oil into rials and gives the employee and worker the right to pay his current income. So we can not say that we have not bought a currency. Part of government revenue also comes from taxes, taxes, taxes, and crimes and income rows, but government spending is infinite; as a result, the government must sell the currency. Since the currency entered the Iranian economy, the currency government has been sold and this has happened. You suppose that 100 billion dollars of currency enters a country where there has not been any specific economic and productive activity in that society, so annual $ 100 billion in liquidity increases, which in its essence has inflation, unless this liquidity towards investment Be guided. Suppose that Iran had a refinery in the world's 100 countries and its fuel and gas were provided by Iran, then one could not boycott us. The refinery on the other side of the world belonged to Iran and imported its crude from Iran and turned it into materials that, in addition to supplying it, exports were made to other countries of the world. This is not the case, of course, the international space has not allowed us, so whether we want or not, we should bring the currency from the sale of oil and exports to the country, and the central bank should sell it. Therefore, it should play a role in this area, though sometimes it is intense and sometimes dilute. The same should be managed, and the currency at the disposal of the central bank should be marketed to a specific order. If a particular order is given to this currency, it can be arranged in a transparent market. This price discovery should not be done in the neighboring markets or the floor of our market. We want to set the price, Herat, Dubai and Sulaimaniyah. While, if there is a clear market in this area, we will set the rate there with the criterion of supply and demand, and we do not need neighboring markets. Therefore, the central bank should be managed in that market and it should help the market. Of course, there may be problems at the beginning of work, but it will be balanced in the long run as in other countries of the world. If a particular order is given to this currency, it can be arranged in a transparent market. This price discovery should not be done in the neighboring markets or the floor of our market. We want to set the price, Herat, Dubai and Sulaimaniyah. While, if there is a clear market in this area, we will set the rate there with the criterion of supply and demand, and we do not need neighboring markets. Therefore, the central bank should be managed in that market and it should help the market. Of course, there may be problems at the beginning of work, but it will be balanced in the long run as in other countries of the world. If a particular order is given to this currency, it can be arranged in a transparent market. This price discovery should not be done in the neighboring markets or the floor of our market. We want to set the price, Herat, Dubai and Sulaimaniyah. While, if there is a clear market in this area, we will set the rate there with the criterion of supply and demand, and we do not need neighboring markets. Therefore, the central bank should be managed in that market and it should help the market. Of course, there may be problems at the beginning of work, but it will be balanced in the long run as in other countries of the world. While, if there is a clear market in this area, we will set the rate there with the criterion of supply and demand, and we do not need neighboring markets. Therefore, the central bank should be managed in that market and it should help the market. Of course, there may be problems at the beginning of work, but it will be balanced in the long run as in other countries of the world. While, if there is a clear market in this area, we will set the rate there with the criterion of supply and demand, and we do not need neighboring markets. Therefore, the central bank should be managed in that market and it should help the market. Of course, there may be problems at the beginning of work, but it will be balanced in the long run as in other countries of the world..
When the central bank does not have a serious presence in the market that adjusts prices, Herat, Dubai, and Sulaimaniyah will discover the price, while if there is a clear market in this area, there will be a setup rate with its supply and demand criteria, We do not need neighboring markets.* Is the effective rate of 5700 Toman considered in the budget for the currency reasonable and does not endanger the free market?
- Still, the defined rate is not clear. It should be seen in the bill, which figure is considered for budget 98 .
* Part of the expenses should be paid at a rate of 4200 USD, and the other part will be considered at Nima rates. My question is, is the 5700 USD rate can give a signal to the currency market?
- If the dollar's rate in the budget of 98 is closed at eight thousand USD, the market signal will be 20% higher than the government's price. The market also tends to behave like this: if the dollar is considered to be eight thousand dollars in the budget, the market price of the work is $ 1,000. If the 5700 is considered, this gap will increase. So all the efforts we have from government officials is to plan realities in order to determine the exchange rate in the budget, and we also have the same request from the parliament to treat the budget in the same way. Populist behavior should not be the rule for determining the exchange rate in a budget or any other program. The logic of the economy, its future, the creation of employment and the infrastructure debate of the economy must be the decisive criterion. It should not be a populist act, and the government must also act logically. In fact, the government should pay attention to the fact that at any cost, if there is a gap, there is a point of the formation of rents and corruption. Whenever the government drops between the dollar's rate on a free-market budget, it accepts that corruption causes it to operate in that space. If you want to remove corruption so that it's reasonably priced, wise, and real, then you should not be too expensive. We have repeatedly said that the government is in a position to offer direct subsidies and goods to the people, so that the price of the dollar will be real and interchangeable with the entire nation, directly and indirectly, to the vulnerable, and to subsidize Give people from origin. We treat emotional economics. Economics is not an organization like the Relief Committee to look at everyone with an emotional behavior, the economy demands a logical behavior. The economy has to go some way that everyone has a reasonable attitude to buy goods. Free money should not be given as it destroys society. If the dollar is set at $ 5700, make sure that the market reaction is not a reaction to that rate; naturally, if the government raises the price and sees that the market is falling, it can have a budget amendment. I'm telling you right now and I'm asking you to publish it, with a budget of 5700 USD in the sense of rent and corruption. The gap between the price of the state and the free market of the currency, that is, rents for optometrists that can exploit this rate. The government should not do this; it should set a close-to-market rate, and if it is seen that in the future, it can reduce the market rate, and the market is balanced, and the desire for a lower rate, it will issue a two-law bill to the parliament And reduce the exchange rate in the budget. Of course, I do not think that this happens If the dollar is set at $ 5700, make sure that the market reaction is not a reaction to that rate; naturally, if the government raises the price and sees that the market is falling, it can have a budget amendment. I'm telling you right now and I'm asking you to publish it, with a budget of 5700 USD in the sense of rent and corruption. The gap between the price of the state and the free market of the currency, that is, rents for optometrists that can exploit this rate. The government should not do this; it should set a close-to-market rate, and if it is seen that in the future, it can reduce the market rate, and the market is balanced, and the desire for a lower rate, it will issue a two-law bill to the parliament And reduce the exchange rate in the budget. Of course, I do not think that this happens If the dollar is set at $ 5700, make sure that the market reaction is not a reaction to that rate; naturally, if the government raises the price and sees that the market is falling, it can have a budget amendment. I'm telling you right now and I'm asking you to publish it, with a budget of 5700 USD in the sense of rent and corruption. The gap between the price of the state and the free market of the currency, that is, rents for optometrists that can exploit this rate. The government should not do this; it should set a close-to-market rate, and if it is seen that in the future, it can reduce the market rate, and the market is balanced, and the desire for a lower rate, it will issue a two-law bill to the parliament And reduce the exchange rate in the budget. Of course, I do not think that this happens I'm telling you right now and I'm asking you to publish it, with a budget of 5700 USD in the sense of rent and corruption. The gap between the price of the state and the free market of the currency, that is, rents for optometrists that can exploit this rate. The government should not do this; it should set a close-to-market rate, and if it is seen that in the future, it can reduce the market rate, and the market is balanced, and the desire for a lower rate, it will issue a two-law bill to the parliament And reduce the exchange rate in the budget. Of course, I do not think that this happens I'm telling you right now and I'm asking you to publish it, with a budget of 5700 USD in the sense of rent and corruption. The gap between the price of the state and the free market of the currency, that is, rents for optometrists that can exploit this rate. The government should not do this; it should set a close-to-market rate, and if it is seen that in the future, it can reduce the market rate, and the market is balanced, and the desire for a lower rate, it will issue a two-law bill to the parliament And reduce the exchange rate in the budget. Of course, I do not think that this happens The government should not do this; it should set a close-to-market rate, and if it is seen that in the future, it can reduce the market rate, and the market is balanced, and the desire for a lower rate, it will issue a two-law bill to the parliament And reduce the exchange rate in the budget. Of course, I do not think that this happens The government should not do this; it should set a close-to-market rate, and if it is seen that in the future, it can reduce the market rate, and the market is balanced, and the desire for a lower rate, it will issue a two-law bill to the parliament And reduce the exchange rate in the budget. Of course, I do not think that this happens.
The gap between government and free market prices, that is, rents for optometrists, could exploit this rate. The government should not do this; it should set a close-to-market rate, and if it is seen that in the future, it can reduce the market rate, and the market is balanced, and the desire for a lower rate, it will issue a two-law bill to the parliament And reduce the exchange rate in the budget* Some exchanges claim that there is no attraction in buying the export currency, as they should sell the currencies in the service headings. How can exporters be locked up in exchange offices, both of which are relieved of the return on foreign exchange earnings, and that exchange traders will go ahead with their economic routine?
- This is a fact in the foreign exchange market that the government sees the definition of export-free return as a capital outflow. However, the reality in society is whether we want or not. According to various statistics, we have four to six million Iranian immigrants abroad. As many things are reversed in our country, the issue of immigration and the value of it works for us the opposite. In other countries, when the workforce is deployed, the country enters the country along with that currency, while in Iran, when a force leaves the country as a migrant, the currency will leave the country behind it. This means that not only does the currency not return, but here, the individual is supported by the family as long as he is a student and receives the currency from Iran. Afterwards, the property is here, or the inheritance that has come to him is also out of the country. These are the bitter facts that exist in society. The government should clarify these obligations and clearly define and define the two-to-ten thousand dollar rates in the two headlines of the Central Bank. When asked, a student can receive $ 12-15,000 a year from the state government, a student who has gone through higher education to a university-defined ministry of science, and has also completed his casework at the Ministry of Science, so training He has accepted the university and his field of study, and he has accepted the course, in which case he will file a case for him and he will be entitled to receive the currency. However, a few percent of Iranian students abroad will study through the Ministry of Science, but their number Not much. A high percentage of students who go abroad When asked, a student can receive $ 12-15,000 a year from the state government, a student who has gone through higher education to a university-defined ministry of science, and has also completed his casework at the Ministry of Science, so training He has accepted the university and his field of study, and he has accepted the course, in which case he will file a case for him and he will be entitled to receive the currency. However, a few percent of Iranian students abroad will study through the Ministry of Science, but their number Not much. A high percentage of students who go abroad When asked, a student can receive $ 12-15,000 a year from the state government, a student who has gone through higher education to a university-defined ministry of science, and has also completed his casework at the Ministry of Science, so training He has accepted the university and his field of study, and he has accepted the course, in which case he will file a case for him and he will be entitled to receive the currency. However, a few percent of Iranian students abroad will study through the Ministry of Science, but their number Not much. A high percentage of students who go abroad But a few percent of Iranian students abroad, through the Ministry of Science, are studying, but their number is not high. A high percentage of students who go abroad But a few percent of Iranian students abroad, through the Ministry of Science, are studying, but their number is not high. A high percentage of students who go abroad The Trends are free to study, while their assignments are unclear. Even the families living on the water, who own property in Iran, lease their property and live abroad, so the capital they are in Iran does not set off, and the government, of course, can not say that the exit of the currency The result of the profits or sales of these assets is the withdrawal of capital. I repeat this over and over again that the withdrawal of capital is, in reality, the manpower that goes out of the country and no longer returns to the country. The principle of capital, that is, the manpower has been removed, each of the people who leave the country, have a great deal of value. A person who accepts the risk of immigration is a creative entrepreneur who goes away from the government. While the money goes behind these people, it must be standardized and allow the person to withdraw part of his property in a decent manner, under the supervision of the central bank. If this permission is not given by the responsible authorities and the politician, there will be two things to happen. If the issuer does not want to enter the market, if you allow the seller to buy the currency from the export, and the small remittances of $ 5-10 thousand People need to get out of this place, from where the export currency is handed over. Or, the person has not done anything at all, but the other side of the water has some foreign exchange reserves that are not too low among the Iranians; then if a person plans to bring that currency to Iran, the central bank can take measures to take that currency. If this is not done, an issuer can not trade in a government mechanism and the government will not be able to access this currency. However, a sharecropper purchases a currency from export, or it should consume 23 dollars in expenditures, which is very much needed, or that Sarraf should supply the currency at Nima. Therefore, if you want to buy at free-rate and sell at a free rate, there is no attraction for a currency exchange and the importer will not appreciate this rate. So, as long as you keep petrochemicals at a low price, Nima is not charming
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» 1291 projects stuck in Iraq.. achievements on paper and ruins on the ground!
Yesterday at 4:53 am by Rocky
» Violated Childhood.. Iraq suffers from the absence of law and the continuation of the cycle of viole
Yesterday at 4:52 am by Rocky
» Chinese Ambassador: We are determined to provide support to Iraq regarding armament and developing m
Yesterday at 4:50 am by Rocky
» Activating electronic services in the presidencies of the courts of appeal
Yesterday at 4:49 am by Rocky
» Trump threatens to turn Iran's largest cities into rubble.. Iraqi expert explains
Yesterday at 4:47 am by Rocky
» Parliamentary Finance Delegation Visits Kurdistan.. Salaries, Oil and Ports Files on the Table of Ba
Yesterday at 4:46 am by Rocky
» Iraqi bank achieves “achievement” in electronic transactions
Yesterday at 4:44 am by Rocky
» State of Law: The coming days are fateful for America and its interests in the region
Yesterday at 4:35 am by Rocky
» Iraq announces sending 75 tons of medical aid to Lebanon by air
Yesterday at 4:34 am by Rocky
» Economist reveals reasons for the return of the dollar's rise in Iraq
Yesterday at 4:33 am by Rocky
» Conflict escalates in the Middle East, warning of Iraq slipping deeper into confrontation
Yesterday at 4:31 am by Rocky
» Labor announces the direct transfer of 12 thousand beneficiaries to contracts in the Ministry of Int
Yesterday at 4:29 am by Rocky
» Faeq Zidane: The jurisdiction of law and judiciary is a constitutional and legal jurisdiction
Yesterday at 4:27 am by Rocky
» Iraq signs with Jordan the second amendment to the electricity sales contract
Yesterday at 4:26 am by Rocky
» US-Gulf meeting stresses importance of Iraq's respect for Kuwait's sovereignty
Yesterday at 4:24 am by Rocky
» New information about "the arrival of 40,000 Iraqi and Yemeni fighters to the Golan"... and Assad is
Yesterday at 4:21 am by Rocky
» 71,000 barrels per day.. Iraqi oil exports decreased last month
Yesterday at 4:20 am by Rocky
» Does the “Right to Information” Law restrict freedoms? Why weren’t journalists involved in its formu
Yesterday at 4:18 am by Rocky
» Zidane: The judiciary considers issues of a political nature imposed by the constitution and the law
Yesterday at 4:15 am by Rocky
» Engineers apply new tech to model deadly brain tumors
Thu 26 Sep 2024, 9:28 am by Bama Diva
» Iraqi banks cause citizens to “reluctantly” take out loans to purchase solar energy systems for home
Thu 26 Sep 2024, 5:11 am by Rocky
» What are the reasons behind the "weakness" of imports of goods from Iraq?
Thu 26 Sep 2024, 5:09 am by Rocky
» Iran announces exporting $4 billion worth of technical engineering services to Iraq
Thu 26 Sep 2024, 5:07 am by Rocky
» Social Protection: Red tape hinders access to support, Ministry of Labor adopts new initiatives
Thu 26 Sep 2024, 5:03 am by Rocky
» Parliamentary Committee: There are people controlling investment in Iraq
Thu 26 Sep 2024, 5:01 am by Rocky