Despite the difficulty of the "40 deputies barrier", Al-Sadr's initiative is a "way out for the Iraq

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[size=52]Despite the difficulty of the "40 deputies barrier", Al-Sadr's initiative is a "way out for the Iraqi political blockage".[/size]

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The leader of the Sadrist movement, Muqtada al-Sadr, and a number of his deputies
[size=45]At the end of the month of Ramadan, the deadline for the leader of the Iraqi Sadrist movement, Muqtada al-Sadr, expired for his political rivals (the Shiite framework) to form a parliamentary majority that would qualify them to nominate a government in the country, about seven months after the “early” parliamentary elections were held in the country.[/size]
[size=45]With the end of the deadline, the leader of the current presented a new initiative represented in giving the “independent deputies” the opportunity to form a coalition that stipulated that it contain at least 40 deputies, and said that he would give them the opportunity to nominate a government, which he pledged to vote on, and not to participate in it as ministers.[/size]
[size=45]Days after Al-Sadr announced the new initiative, the political debate in Iraq escalated over the possibility of achieving the condition of 40 deputies, especially as there are doubts about the possibility of independents achieving this, given that there are different views among the independents about what Al-Sadr proposes.[/size]
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[size=45]And the Iraqi political analyst, Muhammad Al-Maamouri, says that "Al-Sadr's initiative that he put forward constitutes a possible way out of the current political impasse."[/size]
[size=45]Al-Maamouri added to Al-Hurra website that “the ball is now in the court of the independents, after the framework has proven its inability to form a majority or even open dialogues,” stressing that “the threshold of forty seats stipulated by Al-Sadr will force the independents to be one bloc, and will open more dialogues. between them, and this in itself is a positive thing.”[/size]
[size=45]Al-Maamouri concludes by saying that "the independents must now prove their ability to form a government, and to overcome any differences that may be between them."[/size]
[size=45]But this task may not be so easy, especially since the independents are divided into small parliamentary blocs, most of which emerged as a result of the October demonstrations that toppled the government of Adel Abdul-Mahdi in 2019.[/size]
[size=45]And the Iraqi political analyst, Muhammad Nana`, says that "it is difficult at this moment to predict the nature of the independents' responses collectively."[/size]
[size=45]The independents in the Iraqi parliament are divided into three groups according to affiliation, according to Nanaa, who says that part of the independents “sympathize with the Shiite coordination framework, and if they entered the elections independently, and another part are independents who belong to small blocs such as Emtada and the New Generation may be closer to the coalition.” Al-Sadr-Kurdish (Saving a Homeland) from others, and a third part is far from the two big blocs.”[/size]
[size=45]According to Nana'a, the three groups of Iraqi independents "are far from reaching 40 seats, if they do not ally themselves with each other."[/size]
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The Sadrist bloc won 73 seats in the Iraqi parliament
[size=45]The largest coalition of independents “For the People” is formed from the Emtada and the New Generation blocs, and it has 18 deputies, while Nanaa tells Al-Hurra that there are 17 “independents” who are close to the coordination framework.[/size]
[size=45]The local news agency, [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] , quoted an official spokesman for the "New Generation" coalition as saying that "Al-Sadr's initiative is not directed at the bloc because it refused to participate in the government from the beginning."[/size]
[size=45]This may mean that "the barrier of 40 deputies is not possible," according to observers.[/size]
[size=45]Nanaa adds to Al-Hurra that "Al-Sadr's initiative is not serious, because he cannot actually hand them over the prime ministership, nor can he hand them over positions of influence he has obtained."[/size]
[size=45]Nana’ asserts that “the extent to which al-Sadr or the framework is able to win over the independents is a complex matter, because the current trends of the independents cannot change easily, even though the Sadr alliance is closer to winning the independents.”[/size]
[size=45]Iraqi political analyst, Al-Fadl Ahmed, who is close to a number of Iraqi parliamentary independent blocs, says that "the real question is not about the independents' ability to gather 40 deputies, but rather is it in their interest to enter into an alliance with Al-Sadr?"[/size]
[size=45]Al-Fadl added to Al-Hurra website that “the experience of the October and independents is new and lacks experience in the field of state administration, as well as a sober political organization, so it is expected that this shortage within the “House of Independents” will lead to the failure of the supposed independent government.”[/size]
[size=45]Al-Fadl says, "It is logical to place the responsibility on the shoulders of the parties that have ruled the country for the past 19 years, and not the experience of the independents and the Octoberists, who are meant to bear the people's anger on behalf of the forces that managed the scene after 2003."[/size]
[size=45]He added that "the terms of the relationship between al-Sadr and the independents are not equal, as he will have more influence over them than their influence over him through his bloc, and this is something that he will likely dictate what he wants from them without taking responsibility for the failure of their supposed government."[/size]
[size=45]About 50 Iraqi deputies won as independents or within new political blocs, most notably the New Generation and Extension, and the Kanon Sunrise Alliance (6 deputies).[/size]
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