Abadi succeeded in the most difficult tasks
18/10/2017 12:00 am [rtl] Carpets horses * / magazine Forn Pulse translation / Anis al - Saffar in the era of the sultry day of the month of July gathered in the city of Mosul , the center of a crowd of people cheering and chanting pleasure by editing the city. The sun was falling and the children were dancing and waving Iraqi flag while the older boys were taking pictures of the Silvie and their eyes were looking across the Tigris to where the fierce battle to liberate the Old City was coming to an end. A line of armored cars appeared and walked past the crowd before it stopped abruptly, and then a white SUV drove up shaded glass to the side pavement. At the moment the guards surrounded the armed men with automatic weapons. The crowd was silent and looked curious. Some of them seemed hesitant and exchanged signals to leave the place while others stood on their heads and cuddled their necks for a better vision. The last of a similar line signed by their eyes was a day that swept through the city of Mosul three years ago, but these cars carry the Iraqi flag, not the flag of the black gang. Iraqi Prime Minister Haider al-Abbadi appeared wearing a black field uniform with a baseball cap on his head. Then the crowd moved in like a wave approaching and the people cheered and sang welcome, while waving them with his hand and his security guards doing their utmost to stop the creeping crowd at the end. The guards were buzzing around them because the sounds of bullets and explosions were still heard across the river, and they had nothing to estimate how close the potential danger was. Their faces, in their neurotic expressions, were quite different with the relaxed face of the prime minister. Since 2003, no other Iraqi politician has received such hospitality from the people of Mosul, Haider al-Abadi. That was one indication of the growing number of signs that Abadi was beginning to succeed in a mission that might be the most difficult and impossible in the world. On Sunday, the Iraqi prime minister ordered the federal armed forces to redeploy in the military bases and oil facilities in Kirkuk, which was abandoned in June 2014 in the face of the attack launched by the organization "Daash" and later controlled by the Kurdistan Regional Government. The movement was a bold response to Erbil's controversial referendum process by calling on residents of the region to vote for independence. Despite some sporadic clashes, the situation ended with the restoration of control by the federal government over Kirkuk, reinforcing Abbadi's reputation as a successful leader with a crucial decision in the face of extremely difficult circumstances. To be prime minister of Iraq means, among other things, fighting the war against the "da'ash" and preventing the country from being exploited by the regional and international forces as an arena for proxy wars and exerting strenuous efforts to keep the salaries of employees and retirees in progress and prevent corruption from gnawing the infrastructure, The various trends and the spectator who are racing to take control of even parts of the state to transfer them to their own feudal or their parties. The fact that Abadi has achieved all this success since 2014, and even the ability to resist and continue throughout this period, was a delightful surprise for many Iraqis. The challenge now facing Abadi is to transform what he has achieved in good faith into a force that will win his re-election next year so that he can continue his battle to achieve political reform in Iraq. Certainly, a justified assertion, of course, that Abadi put himself in the next election campaign as a leader to succeed in his country and dragged him away from the brink of abyss. During this month, the prime minister declared victory in Hawija, the last town in northern Iraq that was held up by a "call." The successes in the battlefields have resulted in improved security across the country, where Baghdad has seen the lowest rate of terrorist attacks since 2003. In Iraq's western Anbar province, security has improved to a degree that allowed the reopening of the highway between Baghdad and Amman and the border crossing with Jordan. Will be freed from defeating the "Da'ash" by the end of this year to return all Iraqi territory under the control of the government. Abadi is also credited with his success in foreign policy, where he skillfully placed Iraq on the international stage by emphasizing Iraq's neutrality in the midst of geopolitical conflicts raging in the region. His visit to Saudi Arabia this year was a major sign in Iraqi-Saudi relations. No other Iraqi leaders have made such a visit in decades. Relations between the two countries have long been hostile. Iraqis have long accused the Saudis of supporting al Qaeda in Iraq . Today, the two countries have come to live as part of a temporary settlement in which the Saudis accept Iraq's continued alliance with Iran while the Iraqi side is willing to open up to its Arab neighbor. Abadi also succeeded in curbing the influence of other countries in Iraq by insisting that the Iraqi army and the units trained by the US-led coalition, such as the anti-terrorist apparatus, should take command of the operations. Abadi also distanced himself from the war in Syria, Has repeatedly said that Iraq will not join any axis or front of the Middle East. This budget was a difficult issue for any prime minister, but Abadi managed to move it forward. The prime minister can also boast that he has managed to steer Iraq through a major financial crisis that has hit the country with the collapse of oil prices. Through a combination of measures including cutting costs, increasing oil exports, bond sales and asking for IMF money, Abadi has managed to lower inflation and keep the government functioning despite a costly war. This stability has been optimistic about the future as oil production is expected to continue to break its record high as GDP returns to the upside. It seems that the return of relations between Iraq and Saudi Arabia has begun to attract a considerable volume of foreign investment, while companies from Europe, the United States, China and South Korea have previously initiated to increase activity in Iraq. This year, Britain started funding a $ 13 billion export program over a 10-year period, and the likes of the United Nations and the World Bank continue to offer billions of dollars a year in aid and funding. On the other hand, the Abbadi government is making great strides in overcoming the humanitarian crisis in the country. So far, more than 2 million internally displaced persons have returned to their areas, leaving 2 million people displaced. Recent military victories hold the prospect of rebuilding Iraq's policy, reforming its policies and preventing groups from "re-emerging" in the future. In the liberated areas, where successive Iraqi governments and the US military have suffered both insurgencies, today's mostly Sunni population is welcoming Iraqi security forces. Cities such as Falluja and Mosul are also being rebuilt and their residents returned with the support of national and international actors. More than 1,000 rehabilitation projects are currently active in 23 liberated areas as a result of this cooperation. In predominantly Sunni areas, Abadi has high levels of support for any other prime minister. He may be the only politician who can visit any city in Iraq and receive people with warmth and welcome. Abadi witnessed the emergence of a base of supporters who support his nationalist anti-sectarian tendencies and who prefer to form an alliance with him that transcends ethnicity and sectarianism over traditional alliances based on identity. Abadi, despite all the successes Iraq has achieved, will remain vulnerable to serious challenges over the coming weeks and months. First, the standoff over Kirkuk has revealed that the independence referendum by the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) is capable of sparking a future conflict over control over disputed areas. There is a serious danger that Turkey and Iran will intervene, so Abadi must work hard to defend the federal authority in the region in order to prove that Iraq is not moving towards disintegration, and it must pledge to the Kurdish citizens to protect against the consequences of any conflict. The second challenge is the continued dependence of Iraq on its oil exports to get the largest share of its revenues, which means that any new drop in oil prices will damage the economic recovery is just emerging. Iraq should accelerate the pace of economic and financial reforms so that it can keep pace with population growth and increasing demand for oil. Thirdly, the hidden "da'ash" cells may have been preparing to launch a wave of terrorist attacks, a development that could have led to a deterioration in security and anger at government failures. Perhaps the most important challenge facing Abadi is the systemic corruption endemic in Iraq, which continues to grovel in any gain achieved until it falls. The parliamentary system in force in this country makes any elected president, prime minister or chairman of the House of Representatives have to rely on a large number of parties to obtain the required number of votes. On the other hand, each party expects to allocate ministerial positions or positions as influential. After that, those who have held senior positions in this way will only be able to support their parties with more appointments, extortion and other forms of corruption available to them without accountability. This situation would weaken confidence in the government and divert large amounts of money and economic interests into the pockets of ruling elites, their supporters and supporters. Addressing this dilemma is a huge task that the most powerful governments can not, but they seem insurmountable because of the deceptive nature of Iraqi politics. The Iraqi government operates through alliances of rival enemies or adversaries, a recipe that makes progress incredibly difficult and slow. But there have been calls to form a government of technocrats headed by Abadi himself, and this may free him and open his hands to impose the required reforms, but the big parties oppose this solution. Although Abadi has gained support and support at both the public and international levels, his rivals have proven that they will not hesitate to prevent his success, and that they are ready to move to the point of paralyzing parliament. The media platforms, traditional and digital, are open to opponents and opponents in order to woven through them the theories of conspiracy and false news and the rhetoric of emotions as they see it, as if all the suffering suffered by Iraq is the prime minister's fault. There is even a parliamentary bloc that is dominant in parliament and is constantly pursuing its government with provocation, isolating ministers and undermining the reforms achieved in an attempt to weaken its position. In the summer of 2015, massive demonstrations began calling on Abadi to put an end to the political interests gained. Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani also demanded that the scourge of corruption be struck with "an iron fist." But these moves were met with a unified opposition by the political class, status. The local and national Iraqi elections, due in April 2018, may result in a world of changes in the electoral landscape, and their results could strike the political system with a violent jolt as voters turn to candidates who have played a role in the campaign against "Da'ash." Abadi will pick up some of the fruit from this atmosphere without doubt, but will also be captured by leaders in the popular mobilization forces, paramilitary groups composed mostly of Shiite volunteers, and to these forces attributed the most pride in repelling the attack "dashing" on Baghdad and the southern provinces in 2014. The greatest share in the quilt of Abadi in his attempt to remain prime minister for a second term is his reputation as a hand-held person, and this reputation is not among Iraqis only. It is certain that the international community is willing to see the stability achieved by Abadi continue for several more years. "We want Abadi to stay and we will do everything in our power to support him," one Western diplomat told me. However, Abadi also needs international support, and at the top of that need is alleviating Iraq's financial distress and improving the level of its government administration. On the economic front there has been good progress now, but more can be done in terms of encouraging foreign investment, dropping debt and boosting trade. The international community should provide more assistance to the Iraqis in order to develop their institutions and organizations and, most importantly, fight and prevent corruption. This community can also help to spread the pattern of efficient local governance, including the Kurdistan region, and ensure that Iraq's resources are properly distributed and accountable. All of this will serve to defuse tensions over Kirkuk and lead to greater confidence in the negotiations between the federal government and the local government. Military victories have shown that Iraq is capable of making tremendous progress when it has the appropriate leadership of international support. The countries that have helped Iraq to make great strides in defeating a "supporter" who is now able to help him and help the region with him to stay on the path of stability and reconstruction by supporting Abadi in his bid to re-elect. If Abadi succeeds, Iraq will have a great opportunity to succeed, and this will be the best proof that democracy can succeed in the Middle East. * Sajjad Jayyad Director of the Center for Planning and Studies, a think tank based in Baghdad. [/rtl] [rtl][You must be registered and logged in to see this link.][/rtl] |
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