The political blockage increases the convictions of dissolving parliament and going to new elections

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[size=52]The political blockage increases the convictions of dissolving parliament and going to new elections[/size]

[size=45]Baghdad / Tamim Al-Hassan[/size]
[size=45]Solutions are crumbling to get out of the political crisis, while convictions are rising about the idea of ​​re-electing or amending the constitution. More than a week ago, the issue of forming a new government reached the stage of "complete closure", after the leader of the Sadrist movement, Muqtada al-Sadr, distanced himself from the picture of events.[/size]
[size=45]Al-Sadr, who has the highest seats in Parliament (74 deputies), owns the threads of the game with his partners in the National Salvation Alliance, who alone control about 60% of the House of Representatives.[/size]
[size=45]On the other hand, the Shiite "coordinating framework" is trying to move in more than one direction to dismantle the crisis, and some of its parties are pursuing accusations of using "suspicious" ways to overcome the crisis.[/size]
[size=45]To proceed with the formation of the government, after the election of the Speaker of Parliament at the beginning of this year, about 4 months after the elections that took place last fall, requires the selection of a president.[/size]
[size=45]According to Article 76 of the Constitution, the President of the Republic (after his election) assigns the candidate of the largest bloc to form a government.[/size]
[size=45]But according to the latest interpretation of the Federal Court, it stipulated that in order for the election of the “President” to be achieved, there should be a quorum in the session of not less than two-thirds of the 329 members of Parliament.[/size]
[size=45]Since then, the parliament has split into 3 unequal parties in terms of the number of seats: Al-Sadr and his allies (the Sovereignty Alliance, the Kurdistan Democratic Party) and they represent at least 180 seats.[/size]
[size=45]The second is the coordinating framework (the State of Law coalition, Al-Fateh, and small Shiite forces) and they have between 80 to 83 seats.[/size]
[size=45]As for the third part, which ranges between 60 and 65 seats, they are divided into several parties, among them well-known parties that entered into an informal alliance with the “Coordination Committee,” such as the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (18 seats), and part of the Sunni forces, namely the “Azm” coalition ( 12 seats), which split from the Sovereignty Alliance.[/size]
[size=45]Also, in the last section, there is what has come to be called the “neutral category,” and these represent more than 30 seats, among them independent deputies, and new parties such as Ishraqa Kanon (6 seats), and the Alliance for the People (18 seats) and consists of the two movements “Etdaad and Al-Jeel” the new.[/size]
[size=45]For various reasons, parties from the third section joined the "Coordination", to form for the first time since 2003, what has become known as the "blocking third", which was born at the hands of the recent Federal Court decision regarding the quorum of the presidential election session.[/size]
[size=45]The obstruction group, which exceeded the 110 seats (which is the lowest number of seats to stop any important session), was able to thwart 3 sessions devoted to electing the President of the Republic.[/size]
[size=45]The “blocking third” is a copy of the “guarantor third” in Lebanon, which is usually represented by the political parties close to Tehran. It is noteworthy that the boycotted part of the Shiite forces in Iraq has recently started using the same Lebanese name, to reduce the function of this measure.[/size]
[size=45]In light of these challenges, the political sources indicate that there is “maturity in the idea of ​​dissolving parliament and re-electing as a result of the first procedure, and amending the constitution.”[/size]
[size=45]The head of the Judicial Council, Faiq Zeidan, had called earlier to amend more than one article in the constitution, related to the method of electing the President of the Republic and assigning the candidate of the most numerous blocs.[/size]
[size=45]Zaidan also wrote an article earlier, in which he talked about the mechanisms of dissolving parliament, which requires the acceptance of a majority of parliament, which may bring the “two-thirds” problem to the fore again.[/size]
[size=45]The leader of the "Sovereignty" Mishaan al-Jubouri wrote, the day before yesterday, on the "Twitter" website: "We are aware of the great burdens that will be imposed on the Electoral Commission and the whole of the state if Parliament votes to dissolve itself and call for new elections."[/size]
[size=45]Al-Jubouri added: “Our talk about it is not a maneuver or a vacuum, but it is the option that is necessary if the political impasse continues.”[/size]
[size=45]The deputy had spoken 3 days earlier that the "Save the Homeland" coalition, to which he belongs, could dissolve Parliament and repeat the elections.[/size]
[size=45]Al-Jubouri wrote in a tweet on “Twitter” that the “Save the Homeland” coalition has a comfortable majority that enables it to dissolve Parliament and re-election whenever it wants.[/size]
[size=45]The President of the Republic, Barham Salih, had said a few days ago that the continuation of the political crisis over the formation of the government would lead the country into "dangerous labyrinths."[/size]
[size=45]Chest cleverness![/size]
[size=45]With the “political savvy,” according to the description of the head of the Popular Mobilization Committee, Faleh al-Fayyad, for “Sadr’s deadline for the other Shiite forces to form a government without his current,” the crisis entered a major pitfall.[/size]
[size=45]And the leader of the movement decided early last week, a “political retreat” for a period of 40 days, which began from the first of Ramadan until after the Eid holiday.[/size]
[size=45]According to what is nominated by the political forces, the "temporary withdrawal of al-Sadr" from the negotiation scene is "a dilemma within which the coordinating framework has been established, which alone will not be able to form a government."[/size]
[size=45]During the political crisis, the "frameworkers" moved in three directions: legal, political, in addition to accusations of involvement in security incidents.[/size]
[size=45]Initially, the Coordination Committee and its partners were able to extract the famous interpretation of the Federal Court, which later formed the “blocking third” jurisprudence, to exclude Hoshyar Zebari, the most prominent presidential candidate from competing, and to prevent “Kurdistan” from exporting oil.[/size]
[size=45]As for the other part, which is the political, part of it overlaps with the legal action, which is what is being discussed about the imminent settlement of the Sunni leader Rafe' al-Issawi, all the previous lawsuits.[/size]
[size=45]Al-Issawi, who has been hidden from the political scene since the demonstrations in the western regions in 2013 and the spread of ISIS after that, appeared in celebrations in Anbar at the moment of his release.[/size]
[size=45]Although the judiciary confirmed, in a statement yesterday, that “Al-Issawi” still had other cases before him, of which he was not acquitted, this did not prevent the case from being used to combat the beating of the “triple alliance” parties.[/size]
[size=45]Al-Issawi, the Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance in the government of Nuri al-Maliki, had published pictures of him after his alleged release, while he was with part of the Sunni forces splintering from the “sovereignty” and close to the coordinating framework.[/size]
[size=45]It is believed that the Sunni leader, who was leaked by news that he surrendered to the Iraqi authorities in 2020 after accusations of "terrorism" and "corruption", will be an important player in influencing the rest of the Sunni parties allied with "Al-Sadr" to dismantle the tripartite alliance.[/size]
[size=45]In the same direction, which is the political, the "frameworkers" issued two initiatives to resolve the crisis during the period of "al-Sadr's isolation," one signed by the coordination framework, and the other by the leader of the Wisdom Movement, Ammar al-Hakim.[/size]
[size=45]The Coordination Committee also led dialogues with the National Union Party and the Azm coalition, but in the end the meetings were useless because they did not include an official announcement of a broad alliance, or the majority of seats were achieved.[/size]
[size=45]According to political sources who spoke to (Al-Mada), "the coordinating framework is playing in an unintelligent way, as on the one hand it is trying to win over Muqtada al-Sadr, but on the other hand, it considers that there is an external conspiracy that supports the tripartite alliance."[/size]
[size=45]Last week, Hadi al-Amiri, the leader of the Fatah Alliance, said that "Britain is interfering in the political crisis."[/size]
[size=45]Then, the leader of Asa'ib Ahl al-Haq, Qais al-Khazali, said that "the external will is what unites the tripartite alliance more than any other issue."[/size]
[size=45]Likewise, Nouri al-Maliki, the former Prime Minister, spoke more than once about the existence of "conspiracies", and that the formation of a majority government would bring "terrorism" back to Iraq.[/size]
[size=45]On the other hand, security incidents, part of which, during the period of the crisis, were accused by parties from the coordination framework, such as the organized attacks on the headquarters of Sunni and Kurdish parties allied with “Al-Sadr,” and the fall of missiles near the house of Parliament Speaker Muhammad al-Halbousi, east of Fallujah.[/size]
[size=45]Then the 12 "ballistic" missiles fired from Tehran at Erbil, and the Hezbollah Brigades spokesman's threat to move a number of factions in Anbar against the parliament speaker.[/size]
[size=45]And finally, the failed assassination attempt of three deputies in north Baghdad, including two deputies from the Sadrist movement and the third from the Sovereignty Alliance, to the celebration of deputies from the “Coordination” of demonstrators storming the Shalamcheh border crossing with Iran in southern Iraq.[/size]
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