[size=52]Experts: Sudanese demand that the international coalition leave Iraq is “far from reality”[/size]
[size=45]Repeated statements by the Iraqi Prime Minister, over the past few days, about his country not needing any foreign forces on its territory (the International Coalition to Combat ISIS) have received internal criticism, given the security conditions, rampant weapons, and conditions on the borders with neighboring countries.[/size]
[size=45]This means that these statements may not be based on any real reality, which puts them in the category of dreams and hopes that are difficult and perhaps impossible to achieve at the present time. But how serious are the statements of Muhammad Shia al-Sudani, the Iraqi Prime Minister, that his country does not need any foreign forces in light of the economic situation? Security and current sectarian quotas?[/size]
[size=45]Firstly, Abdul Malik Al-Husseini, the Iraqi political analyst, says that what was stated in the words of Prime Minister Muhammad Shia Al-Sudani, about the upcoming relationship with the international coalition and Iraq’s lack of need for combat forces, has several directions, one of which is linked to a political agenda completely isolated from reality, and the other direction is related to readiness. Security and military forces and the Security Decision Unit.[/size]
He added in his interview with “Sputnik” that the talk about the coalition forces is linked to a political agenda, which is completely isolated from reality and does not represent the will of most political forces in Iraq, and does not correspond to their orientations in this context, such as the Sunni component, for example, who believes that Iraq still needs Support and assist the international coalition, at least at the current stage.
Al-Husseini continued, “As for the Kurdish component, it has its own privacy and forces in the region, and there is a state of security, economic, and political stability that the region is experiencing, and it has a desire for the international coalition forces to remain, which contributed greatly to protecting the region during the era of the previous regime.”[/size]
[size=45]The security decision
The political analyst explained that the second trend related to the issue has three main axes, the first of which is the readiness of the Iraqi security forces, and their ability to maneuver and extend their influence over the entire Iraqi territory, including its shared borders with neighboring countries, and this matter needs careful evaluation under supervision. Local and international experts and professionally planned military maneuvers, after which it is possible to know whether or not they are ready.[/size]
[size=45]In addition, there is an important point related to the application of Article Nine of the Constitution, which stipulates achieving balance in the security services, and this has not been achieved, as the vast majority of members and officers of the security services belong to one component.
Al-Husseini pointed out that there is another axis related to the unity of the security decision, meaning that all security formations and armed factions present on Iraqi soil follow the decision of the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces only, and do not carry out their activities and movements independently or outside the scope of the state.
Al-Husseini continued, saying: “There is another axis that is no less important than the previous axes, if not to say that it represents the basis for determining Iraq’s military capabilities and its lack of need for international coalition support. It consists of several factors combined that represent the main support for the stage of defusing tension and promoting development, which includes stability.” Political, economic, and security, this trilogy represents the real foundations upon which the building of a strong state is based, which possesses sovereignty and a decision that represents its independent will.”[/size]
[size=45]Reality and Wishes
Al-Husseini expressed his belief that Al-Sudani’s words about Iraq not needing the support of the international coalition do not match the axes and trends we mentioned as the main conditions that must be met in order for Iraq to be able to make its own decision. Iraq is still suffering from internal problems and external interference that make it unable to make a decision. Fateful decisions represent a safety valve for all its components, so Mr. Sudanese was supposed to be more precise in his words, as there is a difference between the wishes that the Iraqis want to come true on the ground, and the reality itself, which does not represent a national consensus according to the requirements of the current stage.[/size]
[size=45]The political analyst pointed out that Iraq's borders are still insecure and are at the mercy of neighboring countries, and the security decision is still not unified and is being pulled by internal and external wills. We should not forget that there are rampant weapons outside the scope of the state, and that the political division has reached its peak in a state ravaged by corruption and rampant violence. It has left it without a compass, with a terrifying decline in the education and health sectors and the rise in unemployment and poverty rates to the highest levels. Therefore, it is difficult to talk about Iraq’s ability to protect itself and dispense with the support of the international coalition, a country that is disintegrated from within and whose back is exposed to the outside.[/size]
[size=45]For local consumption
For his part, Abdul Qader Al-Nayel, a member of the Iraqi National Pact, says that Al-Sudani’s statements are for local consumption and electoral propaganda for the provincial councils, because the Iraqi people reject the presence of occupation forces on their lands, and these statements are useless, because they do not affect the presence of the coalition forces led by The United States of America does not respond to any demand from the government or any political actor in the current political process. The evidence is that Parliament voted a binding decision to close the American bases, but the United States ignored this decision and did not respect it.
He indicated in his speech to “Sputnik” that the Iraqi government and all political leaders are asking the United States to protect them and support them to continue ruling Iraq, because they know very well that any withdrawal will give the final say to the Iraqi people, and will delay the Iraqis from imposing the desired change that they are demanding through a revolution. October, which marks its fourth anniversary today in Baghdad, demanded a change in the political system established by the United States and Britain in cooperation with Iran, as it was built on sectarian and sectarian foundations between political blocs that entered with the American occupation, and this is the origin of the fear of the government and international forces about establishing an alternative political system to the current one.[/size]
[size=45]The member of the National Charter pointed out that regarding ISIS (banned in Russia and many countries), the Iraqi people are able to protect themselves when security and military forces of a national nature are established and undergo real training. Therefore, the Iraqis do not believe government demands to remove international forces from Iraq. Because such trends require action, not making statements on social media sites.[/size]
[size=45]Going to the Security Council
Al-Nayel pointed out that if the Iraqi government had been serious about the statements made by Al-Sudani, it would have taken many real measures on the ground, including going to the UN Security Council to request the departure of these forces, but there is no seriousness from the current government or the one that preceded it, noting that The voices of the coordination framework formations, which include armed groups, demonstrated near the American embassy (formerly), and threatened to strike the American forces, their voice has now disappeared as they receive the American ambassador with smiles and pledge to cooperate and preserve American interests in exchange for their support in ruling in Iraq, and everyone follows their movements and the meetings that they hold in Iraq in various fields.
It is noteworthy that the Iraqi Prime Minister, Muhammad Shiaa Al-Sudani, had confirmed a few days ago that “the terrorist organization ISIS does not today represent a threat to Iraq.”
Al-Sudani said, during an interview with “The National” newspaper, reported by the Iraqi News Agency “INA”, that “there is no longer a necessity for the existence of the international coalition that was formed to confront ISIS,” adding: “During this month, the joint committee will meet with the American side, and will confirm On the bilateral relationship with the United States for security cooperation, and we are open in all fields.”[/size]
[size=45]The Prime Minister stated that “the presence of Syria, with its political system and people, is better than an unknown alternative that may plunge the region into a second war with ISIS, and any security confusion in Syria will unleash the monsters of terrorists and threaten security in Iraq and the region.”
US President Joe Biden and Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kadhimi signed an agreement officially ending the combat missions of US forces in Iraq at the end of 2021, more than 18 years after US forces were sent to the country.
Biden stressed that the American role in Iraq will focus on assistance in the field of training, in addition to combating the terrorist organization ISIS, and intelligence support.
The “Al-Fatah” coalition welcomed the agreement achieved by the Iraqi negotiator on the complete withdrawal of combat forces at the end of this year, stressing that it is an advanced positive step towards achieving full national sovereignty.
There are currently about 2,500 American soldiers in Iraq, whose tasks are focused on confronting the remnants of ISIS, and the American role in Iraq will change completely to be limited to training and providing advice to the Iraqi army.
A US-led coalition invaded Iraq in March 2003, based on accusations that President Saddam Hussein's government possessed weapons of mass destruction. Saddam was removed from power, but such weapons were never found.[/size]
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