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Oil weapon in the battle!
d. Successful Obeidi
Oil weapon in the battle!
d. Successful Obeidi
For decades it was the nationalists and Baathists sing the occasion and without them the famous "oil weapon in the battle Bharhm."In theory was "weapon" directed against the enemies of the "nation" of real and alleged.But the reality of the situation indicates that the Arab peoples have been at the forefront of the victims of the "oil wars." Despite the populist nature of the bidder for this logo, but the events are already turning to confirm oil and gas major conflicts that ravaged the area.
This is particularly true of the three oil upsurges which saw large spikes in the price of black gold. The first oil boom has been associated with the outbreak of the Yom Kippur War in 1973 between Israel and Arab countries. Coincided second oil boom that began in 1979 with the Iran-Iraq war ,triggered in September / September 1980 and lasted for about eight years. The outburst was for the producing countries, especially OPEC members, entered history as the oil shock for the industrialized countries of the energy - consuming. After the second boom in oil prices entered starting in 5198 in a long recession practically it lasted until the early years of the new millennium. Then began the third oil boom that brought oil prices to record levels unprecedented. The price of oil broke above $ 100 a barrel in early 2008 , a landmark event for the global economy and also for the region. And half a year later touched the barrel price barrier of$ 150. It is striking that the industrialized nations oil - consuming generally succeeded in absorbing the third oil boom without major economic crises, while the oil - producing Arab state seemed confused in dealing with this revolution , which suddenly poured on them. Instead of helping the billions and trillions in achieving sustained economic boom in the Arab world, the region has entered into a violent political unrest and sectarian conflicts and wars devastating civil under the slogan of the Arab Spring stage. It is true that each conflict , itscauses and its characteristics and the driving forces, but the oil factor appears to be crucial. Says the Italian thinker and author of the book " The Prince" famous "Nicolas Machiavelli" (1469 - 1527) to fight the war ultimately depends on four basic elements are men, weapons and bread and money. Perhaps if oil was thriving in the era of Machiavellian these factors to shorten the black gold just because the sponsor are all purchased.
Money they earn easily spend recklessly ,
according to OPEC data Gent Arabia in just five years (2010 - 2014) from oil exports enormous . Sales nearly 1454 billion dollars ( or about a trillion and a half trillion dollars) , a figure astronomical sense of the word. This means that Riyadh was received during this "golden" era nearly billion dollars a day. The share of the small Gulf states of this wealth was not less than that , compared with the limited population which allowed these countries to accumulate unprecedented financial reserves. It is among the ten largest sovereign funds in theworld , four of which go back to the Arab countries are oil Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Qatar. The most important characteristic of this wealth is that they did not require extraordinary and plans for economic effort a long - term, but I got out of "heaven" a relatively easy manner and that the decision to dispose ofthem concentrated However , one individual or a few individuals , usually from single - family and with little supervision. Hence , the temptation is strong regardless of these funds generously without ponder and wasteful employed to consolidate power both internally and externally in a way to expand influence mood and look improvisational. The arms race in the region , one of the most important aspects of the oil boom. And stresses the Stockholm Peace Research Institute data , "SIPRI" that military spending in both Iran and Saudi Arabia increased during the period 2011 to 2015 doubled. Saudi Arabia has spent in 2015 more than 88 billion dollars in the military field. Thus , Saudi Arabia did not jump up to third in the world (after the United States and China) , and ahead of Russia only in terms of the size of military spending, but came first in the world in terms of the share of military spending in relation to GDP, which approached 14%. For comparison, this ratio does not exceed 6% in Israel. The picture becomes even more bizarre when the Institute data indicate "SIPRI" remarkable that military spending is a small country such as the United Arab Emirates more than analogous in Turkey !. Despite the serious unrest that is sweeping the region is difficult to justify this extravagance in the purchase of weapons of defense and national security requirements. It is without doubt the accumulation of these explosive mixture of money and weapons tempted to embark on the adventures ofunintended consequences. On the other hand , used the petro - dollar funds to finance large - scale operations for the purchase of receivables and loyalties included political forces and armed militias and leaders of countries and political parties, the media, journalists and writers from different directions, but also to support terrorist and takfiri groups. The flow of funds is in fueling the sectarian conflicts, civil wars and political unrest in a number of countries, particularly Syria, Iraq, Yemen, Libya, Egypt, Tunisia and elsewhere. This took the form of a network of corruption Okhtaboutih not confined to the region only, but extended its arms to various parts of the world. Certainly, as revealed by accident get all Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak on the "gift" of a modest Saudi royal family , amounting to $ 681 million is only the tip of the iceberg of corruption scandals hidden beneath the surface. It is true that local forces in Iraq, Syria, Yemen and other bear the ultimate primary responsibility for the tragedy that engulfed their country, but these forces aredependent on funders regional such as Saudi Arabia and Iran rob ability to make decisions and makes reaching an acceptable compromise almost impossible task without interruption or decline in the flow of fuel war of oil money. Indeed, the collapse in oil prices that began in mid - 2014 and continuing until now could push the oil sheikhs to review their accounts. It is true that there are oil countries, including Iraq, Algeria and Venezuela suffers from a severe financial crisis affecting the lives of tens of millions of people, but these negative associations are also returning to a clear lack of economic policies in these countries.
Silver lining
is clear that the third oil boom has ended and that the the global oil market is facing years Aajafa may last along time before prices go back to recover again. Until then producing countries stand about the great challenges imposed on them not only to initiate without delay a radical program of reform in the economy, but also a review of its foreign policy as well. But can this new reality that contributes to dispel the illusions ofpower and wealth that control the heads of some of the rulers. Regional role that countries like Saudi Arabia and played some degree of Qatar and the UAE depends primarily on money. It is true that Saudi Arabia hasrecently made a point of giving a sectarian character of the regional conflict and is trying to emerge as adefender of the year, but this role is hard to imagine without oil. It is certain that the recession in the global oil market will impact on the regional role of the Gulf and on its involvement in the wars in several Arab countries and conflicts. This is especially true of the most important power, Saudi Arabia , which suffered since 2015 from a large fiscal deficit estimated at one hundred billion dollars a year. This new situation Riyadh was forced to borrow to finance its budget only, but also on the withdrawal of the enormous financial reserves. In 2015 Saudi Arabia unit consumed more than a quarter of its reserves, or nearly $ 70 billion to cover its budget deficit. Faced with this situation have not find the Saudi leadership only announced Ajrouat austerity and reform decisions choice. It is likely to find similar actions sooner or later going to the most affluent , such as Qatar, Kuwait and the UAE for small countries. Despite the fact that the sovereign funds of these countries are still filled with hundreds of billions, but it began to feel concerned about the continuing decline in oil prices. It is not unlikely that affect the signs of the financial crisis on the generous support that consistently rich Gulf states to submit to its allies. It is clear that the billions paid by Saudi Arabia and Qatar to Syrian factions armed Islamist opposition did not benefit much, succeeded the tyrant Bashar al - Assad in the pillars of his power after he shook strongly in 2011 and 2012. Very much the situation in Yemen is no different. It is expected to contribute to the decline of the wave Alaptroodlar flow in the drying financing ofterrorist organizations , channels or lower the water level at least. At the same time you will feel the forces ofpolitical Islam, particularly the branches of the Muslim Brotherhood movement repercussions of the recession , the black gold. It is true that Qatar , for example , are still able to pay salary arrears to employees in control of the Gaza Strip , Hamas. But with the end of the third oil boom is difficult in the long run even on Qatar tocontinue this generosity Hatami. The course will extend the impact also to the media sector where he awaits Hamas dims writers, journalists and trumpets propaganda calculated on the wealthy or that country and declining role in fueling the sectarian conflicts and civil wars and grinding.
The lack of funds will not reduce the willingness of the local parties to proceed with the conflicts to the bitter end , but it could also encourage regional powers to search for opportunities for a settlement and paid to make concessions for fear that spin circles on everyone. Hence it can be said that the end of the third oil boom does not put oil - producing nations before the great economic and social challenges, but will also contribute to the restructuring of regional balances map.
So now believes many Arab analysts that oil wealth is the primary motivation for the intervention ofinternational forces in the region. But these analysts have ignored the role of the black gold in fueling conflicts within the region itself. However, the fires that ignited oil contributed to the suppression will probably require along time. Until then , unfortunately , it remains " the oil weapon in the battle , " the slogan conservative on his health.
Money they earn easily spend recklessly ,
according to OPEC data Gent Arabia in just five years (2010 - 2014) from oil exports enormous . Sales nearly 1454 billion dollars ( or about a trillion and a half trillion dollars) , a figure astronomical sense of the word. This means that Riyadh was received during this "golden" era nearly billion dollars a day. The share of the small Gulf states of this wealth was not less than that , compared with the limited population which allowed these countries to accumulate unprecedented financial reserves. It is among the ten largest sovereign funds in theworld , four of which go back to the Arab countries are oil Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Qatar. The most important characteristic of this wealth is that they did not require extraordinary and plans for economic effort a long - term, but I got out of "heaven" a relatively easy manner and that the decision to dispose ofthem concentrated However , one individual or a few individuals , usually from single - family and with little supervision. Hence , the temptation is strong regardless of these funds generously without ponder and wasteful employed to consolidate power both internally and externally in a way to expand influence mood and look improvisational. The arms race in the region , one of the most important aspects of the oil boom. And stresses the Stockholm Peace Research Institute data , "SIPRI" that military spending in both Iran and Saudi Arabia increased during the period 2011 to 2015 doubled. Saudi Arabia has spent in 2015 more than 88 billion dollars in the military field. Thus , Saudi Arabia did not jump up to third in the world (after the United States and China) , and ahead of Russia only in terms of the size of military spending, but came first in the world in terms of the share of military spending in relation to GDP, which approached 14%. For comparison, this ratio does not exceed 6% in Israel. The picture becomes even more bizarre when the Institute data indicate "SIPRI" remarkable that military spending is a small country such as the United Arab Emirates more than analogous in Turkey !. Despite the serious unrest that is sweeping the region is difficult to justify this extravagance in the purchase of weapons of defense and national security requirements. It is without doubt the accumulation of these explosive mixture of money and weapons tempted to embark on the adventures ofunintended consequences. On the other hand , used the petro - dollar funds to finance large - scale operations for the purchase of receivables and loyalties included political forces and armed militias and leaders of countries and political parties, the media, journalists and writers from different directions, but also to support terrorist and takfiri groups. The flow of funds is in fueling the sectarian conflicts, civil wars and political unrest in a number of countries, particularly Syria, Iraq, Yemen, Libya, Egypt, Tunisia and elsewhere. This took the form of a network of corruption Okhtaboutih not confined to the region only, but extended its arms to various parts of the world. Certainly, as revealed by accident get all Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak on the "gift" of a modest Saudi royal family , amounting to $ 681 million is only the tip of the iceberg of corruption scandals hidden beneath the surface. It is true that local forces in Iraq, Syria, Yemen and other bear the ultimate primary responsibility for the tragedy that engulfed their country, but these forces aredependent on funders regional such as Saudi Arabia and Iran rob ability to make decisions and makes reaching an acceptable compromise almost impossible task without interruption or decline in the flow of fuel war of oil money. Indeed, the collapse in oil prices that began in mid - 2014 and continuing until now could push the oil sheikhs to review their accounts. It is true that there are oil countries, including Iraq, Algeria and Venezuela suffers from a severe financial crisis affecting the lives of tens of millions of people, but these negative associations are also returning to a clear lack of economic policies in these countries.
Silver lining
is clear that the third oil boom has ended and that the the global oil market is facing years Aajafa may last along time before prices go back to recover again. Until then producing countries stand about the great challenges imposed on them not only to initiate without delay a radical program of reform in the economy, but also a review of its foreign policy as well. But can this new reality that contributes to dispel the illusions ofpower and wealth that control the heads of some of the rulers. Regional role that countries like Saudi Arabia and played some degree of Qatar and the UAE depends primarily on money. It is true that Saudi Arabia hasrecently made a point of giving a sectarian character of the regional conflict and is trying to emerge as adefender of the year, but this role is hard to imagine without oil. It is certain that the recession in the global oil market will impact on the regional role of the Gulf and on its involvement in the wars in several Arab countries and conflicts. This is especially true of the most important power, Saudi Arabia , which suffered since 2015 from a large fiscal deficit estimated at one hundred billion dollars a year. This new situation Riyadh was forced to borrow to finance its budget only, but also on the withdrawal of the enormous financial reserves. In 2015 Saudi Arabia unit consumed more than a quarter of its reserves, or nearly $ 70 billion to cover its budget deficit. Faced with this situation have not find the Saudi leadership only announced Ajrouat austerity and reform decisions choice. It is likely to find similar actions sooner or later going to the most affluent , such as Qatar, Kuwait and the UAE for small countries. Despite the fact that the sovereign funds of these countries are still filled with hundreds of billions, but it began to feel concerned about the continuing decline in oil prices. It is not unlikely that affect the signs of the financial crisis on the generous support that consistently rich Gulf states to submit to its allies. It is clear that the billions paid by Saudi Arabia and Qatar to Syrian factions armed Islamist opposition did not benefit much, succeeded the tyrant Bashar al - Assad in the pillars of his power after he shook strongly in 2011 and 2012. Very much the situation in Yemen is no different. It is expected to contribute to the decline of the wave Alaptroodlar flow in the drying financing ofterrorist organizations , channels or lower the water level at least. At the same time you will feel the forces ofpolitical Islam, particularly the branches of the Muslim Brotherhood movement repercussions of the recession , the black gold. It is true that Qatar , for example , are still able to pay salary arrears to employees in control of the Gaza Strip , Hamas. But with the end of the third oil boom is difficult in the long run even on Qatar tocontinue this generosity Hatami. The course will extend the impact also to the media sector where he awaits Hamas dims writers, journalists and trumpets propaganda calculated on the wealthy or that country and declining role in fueling the sectarian conflicts and civil wars and grinding.
The lack of funds will not reduce the willingness of the local parties to proceed with the conflicts to the bitter end , but it could also encourage regional powers to search for opportunities for a settlement and paid to make concessions for fear that spin circles on everyone. Hence it can be said that the end of the third oil boom does not put oil - producing nations before the great economic and social challenges, but will also contribute to the restructuring of regional balances map.
So now believes many Arab analysts that oil wealth is the primary motivation for the intervention ofinternational forces in the region. But these analysts have ignored the role of the black gold in fueling conflicts within the region itself. However, the fires that ignited oil contributed to the suppression will probably require along time. Until then , unfortunately , it remains " the oil weapon in the battle , " the slogan conservative on his health.
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