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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

Welcome to the Neno's Place!

Neno's Place Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality


Neno

I can be reached by phone or text 8am-7pm cst 972-768-9772 or, once joining the board I can be reached by a (PM) Private Message.

Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

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    Tehran is at a critical angle, and Iraq is an “expected” arena for the Iranian response to the killi

    Rocky
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    • Post n°1

    Tehran is at a critical angle, and Iraq is an “expected” arena for the Iranian response to the killi Empty Tehran is at a critical angle, and Iraq is an “expected” arena for the Iranian response to the killi

    Post by Rocky Sat 06 Apr 2024, 6:46 am

    Tehran is at a critical angle, and Iraq is an “expected” arena for the Iranian response to the killing of Revolutionary Guard leaders
    [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] |Today, 
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    Baghdad today - Baghdad
    Today, Saturday (April 6, 2024), academics and specialists in regional affairs did not rule out that Iraq would be a possible arena for Iranian response to Israel’s bombing of its consulate in the Syrian capital, Damascus, which claimed the lives of prominent and important leaders in the Iranian Revolutionary Guard.
    The former MP and academic at Kirkuk University, Yassin Al-Obaidi, in an interview with “Baghdad Today”, confirmed that the Israeli strike placed Tehran in a “very critical” corner that required it to respond, because the level of targeting of its interests by Tel Aviv had increased at high rates.
    According to Al-Obeidi, the Iranian response, although the timing is not known, must be at the level of the Israeli attacks, taking into account convincing the public within the axis of resistance, of the extent of Tehran’s ability to confront any Israeli threat, but at the same time he ruled out that the Iranian threat would reach a stage.” Open war.
    Al-Obaidi did not rule out that Iraq would be an arena for an Iranian response, as it is the easiest and least complicated for Tehran, and it may be through the factions associated with it, especially since the latter confirmed its readiness to respond, waiting for a “green light” from Tehran. Al-Obaidi concluded his reading of the regional scene, by calling on the parties concerned. Inside Iraq, to ​​distance it from any paths of conflict in the Middle East region to avoid its tensions, stressing that the Iranian response, “whether direct or indirect,” will determine the nature of the upcoming conflict in the Middle East region, as he put it. 
    It is noteworthy that political analyst Adnan Muhammad Al-Tamimi ruled out, on Friday (April 5, 2024), that Tehran would directly bomb Tel Aviv after the attack on the consulate in central Damascus.
    Al-Tamimi said in an interview with “Baghdad Today” that “an objective reading of Iranian policy in the Middle East region suggests that it is not improvised and based on immediate decisions, but rather takes its course until it reaches a certain conviction to respond to anything that threatens its interests, and most of the time it relies on patience and waiting.” "Opportunities."
    Al-Tamimi ruled out that “Tehran would resort to bombing Tel Aviv with ballistic missiles,” explaining the reasons, “because it may move the conflict to a stage that cannot be contained and give Israel an opportunity to respond that would lead to the destruction of its nuclear program in Bushehr and other places, especially with the presence of modern F-35 aircraft,” pointing out. Until "Tehran succeeded in instilling a policy of fear in Israel and pushed the latter to alert most of its embassies and foreign interests."
    He pointed out that "Israel will remain in a state of anticipation until further notice because when will the Iranian response come to the bombing of the consulate in Damascus, which led to the fall of the best Revolutionary Guard officers who had the upper hand in Tehran's strategy in Syria, Lebanon and other countries."
    Al-Tamimi stressed that Tehran’s continued support of the factions of the resistance axis, especially the Palestinian and Lebanese, is the strategic context that Iran will preserve and will not abandon, and will not want a direct response that would change the equation and give Israel an opportunity to respond, at least at this stage.
    Media sources reported on Friday that Israel closed up to 28 diplomatic representations around the world, following Iran's threat to respond to the bombing of its consulate in Damascus.
    The Israeli army spokesman said that Israel takes every threat against it seriously, but there is no change in the instructions of the Home Front Command.
    The spokesman added that Israel has been in a multi-front war for the past six months, stressing the readiness of the forces for all scenarios, and enhancing the state of alert in combat units, air defense systems, and the air force.
    He said that during the war, Israel responded to many drones and missiles launched from several regions of Yemen, Syria, Lebanon and Gaza, adding that Israel disabled GPS systems.
     It also took a number of measures to confront Iran's response, including recruiting reserves in air defenses, raising the state of alert in the Air Force, canceling leave and vacations in combat units in the army, and recruiting reserves in military intelligence and the home front, as well as strong interference with the GPS system in anticipation of launching marches or... Missiles used system.
    While Israel expects three scenarios for Iranian response:
    - An Iranian response abroad to one of the Israeli embassies or representations abroad or even to one of the Jewish targets. In this context, Israel has raised the state of security alert in all these institutions abroad and had previously issued a number of travel warnings and advice to Israelis abroad.
    - An Iranian response through agents. This may be the easiest scenario for Israel, as it actually means more of the existing situation. Since October 7, Israel has been receiving such strikes and responding to them, and they are strikes governed by understandings written in fire since the beginning of the war.
    The direct Iranian response is the launching of ballistic missiles, drones, or cruise missiles from Iran at Israel. According to Israeli estimates, such a scenario has become very likely and possible.
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