"That's a higher percentage than he needed a few weeks ago, because he didn't get as many pledged delegates in recent contests as he would have needed to stay on track," The Washington Post reports, citing research by Daniel Nichanian, a doctoral student at the University of California. "That is also why his likely loss in Wisconsin on Tuesday will be such a setback.
"If he needs 61 percent of pledged delegates and ends up getting shut out of the state's 42 delegates, the percentage of the remaining delegates that he needs to win jumps to 64 percent," the Post reports.
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Trump has a 50 percent chance of reaching that percentage, according to the data. Otherwise, Republicans could face a contested national convention in Cleveland in July.
Rival Ted Cruz "needs nearly every pledged delegate who's left," though the Texas senator would probably get support from delegates who have not been pledged to a specific candidate than Trump, the Post reports.
John Kasich "needs 130 percent of the delegates, which is to say he continues to be mathematically incapable of getting the pledged delegates he needs," the Post reports.
"This has been the case for a while."
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