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The five-year plan ... from emergency poverty to difficult challenges
03/2/2018 12:00 am [rtl]Abdul-Zahra Mohammed al-Hindawi The government, represented by the Ministry of Planning, is preparing to launch the five-year development plan 2018-2022. The new plan will certainly be different from the previous plans, especially the 2013-2017 plan. This difference is the circumstances and challenges faced by the previous plan and the circumstances that will face the new plan. If the plan 13-17 was born under conditions that are less complex, they are highly complex, especially the low oil prices and the lack of alternative economic sources, and the emergence of a "dire" and the consequences of serious spread of what is known as emergency poverty as the levels of poverty rose overnight at large rates . In less than a year, the national poverty index rose from 15 percent to about 23 percent and from 20 percent to 41 percent in the provinces that have been subjected to the occupation of the terrorist "da'ash". These conditions have hindered the development plan and prevented its stated development goals from being achieved. The expected challenges of the new plan 18-22 can be met by making it flexible and able to identify with challenges and respond to risks and thus achieve its desired objectives by stimulating productive sectors such as industry and agriculture and focusing on policies to improve asset management that promotes infrastructure activities such as water, sewerage, electricity, construction, transport, communications, Etc., and to channel investments sectorally and spatially according to the criteria of comparative advantage based on integration in development decision-making and implementation between different levels of management and the private sector, Oil to build a base for economic diversification. The challenges are many and great, foremost of which is the security challenge. Despite the fact that Iraq is turning to the dark page of "Da'ash" with all its pains and pains, there are still significant challenges to the development plan. Another challenge is the limited or limited financial resources. We still rely on oil As a supplier head of the financing of the budget that was not the only one , it is the dominant gross domestic product with a clear decline in the contribution of other agriculture sectors to exceed its contribution to 5 percent at best and manufacturing industry , which contribution dropped to less than 1 percent in 2015. this limited or resource will be reflected in sales The financing of investment projects , whether planned or those that are under implementation and inherited from the previous plan, which stalled due to the lack of financial allocation required to complete the completion according to the timing of time. If we exceed the security and financial challenges, considering that the state has become stronger and is able to impose its authority and to face any security challenge, and oil prices will see an improvement in prices over the next five years, as it is expected that the price of a barrel will range between 70-80 dollars in the global market This gives us some sense of urgency in achieving the five-year plan. There are other challenges, including: the file of the displaced, the weakness of the policies against the phenomenon of dumping goods, the continued high rates of consumer spending, the disparity in the distribution of incomes at the expense of decline and small investment spending, and a sharp disparity in spatial development throughout the country .. In addition to the imbalance of production structure and high debt rates Which amounted to 19 billion dollars as an external debt and about 48.5 trillion dinars the volume of domestic debt and most of those debts were going to fill the budget deficit resulting from high rates of consumer spending . All these challenges will make the five-year plan difficult if it is not a flexible plan capable of responding to challenges. This flexibility and responsiveness can be achieved through a mandatory implementation plan, that is, a law that obligates all parties to adhere to the plan's directions. A law may delay its approval because in such a case it must go to the House of Representatives, and there may take a long time before it sees the light, but to have a plan guaranteed implementation is better than a plan that may just remain ink on paper.[/rtl] [rtl][You must be registered and logged in to see this link.][/rtl] |
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