Threats are hovering around 45 deputies who will decide the President's session

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[size=52]Threats are hovering around 45 deputies who will decide the President's session[/size]

[size=45]Baghdad / Tamim Al-Hassan[/size]
[size=45]More than 20% of the winners in parliament can be called the "swinging team." This group has not yet announced a clear official position on the "coordination" or "the tripartite alliance."[/size]
[size=45]The preparation of this "neutral" team can exceed 60 seats, which is the outcome of putting forward the seats of the Triple Alliance and the Shiite group in the coordination framework.[/size]
[size=45]The team on which it is relied upon to resolve the dispute over the nomination of the President of the Republic in the Saturday session, is divided into two parts: small parties and independents.[/size]
[size=45]The number of the last team, days after the results of the elections that took place on October 10, was more than the current one, by about 20 seats.[/size]
[size=45]After that, (independents and parties) joined the major winning forces in the elections, with 11 independents to Sunni parties, and 1 independent to a Shiite party.[/size]
[size=45]Also, 6 small parties joined Shiite forces (3 of them appeared for the first time in the last meeting of the coordination framework), and 3 others joined Sunni parties.[/size]
[size=45]In the coming hours, with the countdown to the "chairman" selection session, the number of the swinging team (particularly parties) could decrease by 20 seats.[/size]
[size=45]This decline in numbers depends on the prior positions of some of the parties to the last party, but they have not yet appeared officially and have not “authorized” any of the parties to the conflict in Parliament.[/size]
[size=45]On this basis, the leader of the Sadrist movement, Muqtada al-Sadr, in his last speech, may bet on more than 40 seats, to complete his tripartite alliance.[/size]
[size=45]after the election[/size]
[size=45]When the Electoral Commission announced in October the results of the early elections, there were 43 winning candidates who competed under the "independent banner."[/size]
[size=45]This number decreased after less than two months to 31, after 11 independents joined the Progress and Azm alliances, before they merged after that under the name of "The Alliance of Sovereignty", and one independent into Asa'ib Ahl al-Haq.[/size]
[size=45]At that time, Khamis al-Khanjar, the former leader of the Azm Alliance, was able to persuade 6 independents to join his side, as did Muhammad al-Halbousi, the leader of Taqaddam, who joined his bloc with 5 independents.[/size]
[size=45]As for Ali Turki, the independent candidate from Babylon at the time of the elections, he joined the Asa'ib Ahl al-Haq movement, which later joined the coordination framework.[/size]
[size=45]Thus, the total number of the remaining independents will be 31 seats, including 12 seats within the Independent Iraq Alliance, and 4 within the Popular Bloc, two gatherings announced after the election results appeared.[/size]
[size=45]In turn, the independents began announcing their intention to attend the session on March 26, which is devoted to electing the President of the Republic, trying to remain neutral in their positions.[/size]
[size=45]And the independent Iraq group said, "To give priority to the national interest, and to end the dangerous political obstruction that the political process in Iraq is going through, we have decided to participate in the upcoming parliament session."[/size]
[size=45]And the bloc announced in a statement yesterday, clearly that it will “vote on the candidate for the President of the Republic,” without mentioning with which party it will line up in the session.[/size]
[size=45]As for Sajjad Salem, an independent deputy, he confirmed that he will be present in Parliament "for the benefit of the people" and not for a "tweet".[/size]
[size=45]And Salem said in a statement yesterday, "We will attend the next session because the work of a real member of Parliament is inside the parliament, not in response to an appeal or a tweet."[/size]
[size=45]He added, "We will attend because people's lives and interests are more deserving of being taken into account, away from the shape of the next government and its parties."[/size]
[size=45]Salem is an independent deputy who won from Wasit Governorate, and at the time got more than 10,000 votes in the elections.[/size]
[size=45]The leader of the Sadrist movement, had hinted in his tweet last Monday, that he might give the independents who will support the tripartite alliance shares in the next government.[/size]
[size=45]Al-Sadr said, directing his words to the independents in the last tweet: "We will give you space to run the country... to keep them away from threats."[/size]
[size=45]Al-Mada had revealed a few weeks ago that independents intending to join Al-Sadr had received threatening messages on their phones, and perhaps this is the reason behind the recent neutrality statements.[/size]
[size=45]At the time, he linked the information to the activity of a cell in Maysan province, where it tried to mix papers in the city, which is an important base for the Sadrists.[/size]
[size=45]The sources indicated at the time that the “Al-Khafaf” group, an assassination team that was given this name because of its speed of execution, may carry out assassinations of “independents” in the same manner as the killing that took place at the time in Maysan, which included a judge and a police officer.[/size]
[size=45]Al-Sadr and his allies (the Sovereignty and the Kurdistan Democratic Party) have about 180 seats, and 30 seats for independents who will not achieve a two-thirds majority.[/size]
[size=45]Last month, the Federal Court had interpreted the quorum for the “president” selection session with two-thirds of the parliament (220 out of 329 seats).[/size]
[size=45]oscillating forces[/size]
[size=45]On this basis, the tripartite alliance can rely on the rest of the seats in Parliament, which are still oscillating between the two positions.[/size]
[size=45]These seats, a few months ago, represented about 60 seats, but 3 parties joined the Sunni forces, and then part of them defected after the formation of the Sovereignty Alliance.[/size]
[size=45]A number of other seats also became the coordination framework, among them parties that, until recently, declared that they were in a "neutral" position.[/size]
[size=45]What is left outside the two parties to the conflict (the tripartite and the coordination) is 32 seats, the most prominent of which is the radiance of Kanon 6 seats, the Alliance for Iraq (extension, and the new generation) 18 seats.[/size]
[size=45]Likewise, the positions of the five seats for Christians are still unclear, one seat for the Iraq Turkmen Front, and another seat for the representative of the Yazidis.[/size]
[size=45]Among these seats, there are 17 seats for the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, which, despite its opposition to the Triple Alliance, did not officially announce its joining the other team.[/size]
[size=45]The coordinating framework holds between 80 to 85 seats, and if 20 seats join it (the National Union and some Sunni dissidents), it will be far from 5 seats, at best, from the blocking third, which is at least 110 seats.[/size]
[size=45]So far, the "Coordination" does not have any solutions, except to renew its invitation to the leader of the Sadrist movement to be part of the largest (Shiite) bloc, as stated in the last meeting of the frameworks.[/size]
[size=45]Manaf al-Moussawi, a researcher in political affairs, asserts that there is great "pressure" on independents to drag them away from the tripartite alliance.[/size]
[size=45]Al-Moussawi said in a call yesterday with (Al-Mada): "The pressures reach the point of intimidation sometimes, because the independents have become the weight of the egg."[/size]
[size=45]Al-Moussawi adds: "In front of the independents is a historical duty, and the leader of the Sadrist movement did not impose on them a specific opinion, but demanded that they attend."[/size]
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