[size=39]"A final blow to the owners" .. winners and losers after the passage of the Al-Kazemi government
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May 07, 2020
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With a clear comfort, Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kazemi managed to cross the obstacle of Parliament, who on Thursday morning passed more than half of the ministers of the new government after marathon negotiations that lasted for several weeks.
Unlike his predecessors, Adnan Al-Zarfi and Muhammad Alawi died, Al-Kazemi won the unanimity of most political forces when he was appointed by President Barham Saleh last month, but he did not continue during the voting session.
In the end, Al-Kazemi’s government passed, ending five months, which is the period in which the caretaker government led by resigned Prime Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi, backed by political forces and armed militias loyal to Iran, continued.
The first round witnessed the granting of confidence to 15 of the 22 ministers who make up the new Iraqi government, with the remainder to be completed in later rounds as has been the practice of the political process in Iraq during the formation of previous governments.
Observers believe that the Al-Kazemi government, whose formation took place only one day, has winners and other losers from the former intelligence chief's arrival to power in a country that suffers from multiple crises at the political, security and economic levels.
Since the country's first elections in 2005, Islamist parties have dominated the reins of government in the country and all prime ministers were either affiliated with the Dawa Party or outwardly independent but came from Islamic backgrounds as happened with the former leader of the Supreme Islamic Council, Adel Abdul Mahdi.
"The passage of Al-Kazemi represents a new and qualitative breach in the political process, because it broke the classical rules and started working with new rules," said writer and political analyst Sarmad Al-Tai.
Al-Taei told Al-Hurra website that this breach indicates that "the Iraqi centrist and the moderate pro-reform movement won an important round, at the expense of the hard-line current loyal to Iran."
In the first public reaction to the passage of the Al-Kazemi government, the Iranian-backed Hezbollah militia militia renewed its rejectionist and hostile attitude towards the youngest prime minister in the country's history.
This position was not surprising, especially if we know that this militia, which is classified as a terrorist in the United States, issued several similar statements accusing Al-Kazemi of being involved in the killing of the Iranian military commander Qassem Soleimani and the leader of the Hezbollah militia Abu Mahdi Al-Muhandis in an American strike near Baghdad airport early This year.
The rest of the armed factions and pro-Iranian militias have not issued any positions yet, but they will certainly be the biggest losers of naming Al-Kazemi as prime minister, according to al-Taie.
He continues that "the coup that happened on the Iraqi state since last summer, and which was led by factions loyal to Iran, is now living in the beginning of the end, after the start of the chapter to restore the state from the militias that it wanted to swallow."
And he points out that this is "the beginning of a new phase worthy of the size and importance of Iraq, and confirms that this country cannot be swallowed up by militias, as it is not a banana republic or a small oil selling company, as they thought."
On the political front, the Iraqi writer and political analyst sees that former Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki received a painful blow by passing Al-Kazemi.
Al-Maliki, who has close ties with Tehran and its militias in Iraq, announced his refusal to pass the Al-Kazemi government, after his failed attempts to impose candidates, including his relative, Yasser Sakhil, to take over the Interior Ministry, according to sources that informed Al-Hurra earlier.
Al-Tai says, "The leader of the State of Law coalition lost everything long ago, but he had significant financial influence in the country and Iranian support that he used to cling to some importance."
He adds, "Today it appears that what is known as the axis of resistance and resistance and what it was subjected to, led to the bankruptcy of Maliki politically, and his positions during the negotiations to form the government were a scandal."
Returning to the way the new government was formed, Al-Ta'i asserts that "the parties loyal to Iran were planning to penetrate the security executive sites through pressure to pass their candidates to take over the defense and interior portfolios, but they failed."
He adds that "Al-Kazemi managed to maintain important positions in the new government, and he was the one who chose its ministers, whether security, political or economic, such as finance, oil, and foreign affairs."
What does this mean?
According to Al-Ta’i, “The new government will gain international and regional respect, which gives Al-Kazemi an advantage in carrying out his pledge to limit weapons to the state, which is the most difficult task, because it means retrieving the state from the militias that seized a large part of the security decision since the protests erupted last October.”
As for the protesters, who are still on the streets, Al-Taie refused to be considered among the winners or losers.
Al-Taie indicates that it is better to say that the protesters have imposed part of the rules of the new game in Iraq, and they will continue to be watched.
It is mentioned that Al-Kazemi set, in his governmental curricula, the formation of an advisory committee of youth protests to monitor and hold the government accountable and follow up the implementation of the demands of the street.
Relations between the United States and Iran have been marked by tensions since Washington withdrew from the nuclear deal in 2018.
This tension was reflected in the situation in Iraq, where the militias escalated their attacks against American interests in 2019, and increased those attacks after the killing of Soleimani in January, and the subsequent decision of the Iraqi parliament in favor of removing foreign forces.
Al-Tai says, "Iran has lost a lot from the arrival of Al-Kazemi, who has repeatedly stressed that he wants to keep arms in the hands of the state and keep the country away from conflicts."
Al-Taie also notes that "the United States as a whole considers itself lucky today with this profound transformation that Iraq is witnessing."
In conclusion, Al-Kazemi concludes by saying that "Al-Kazemi's government and protesters will be facing a decisive and inevitable confrontation in the way of the state's recovery, because the militias possess snipers and weapons everywhere, including the Green Zone, and will continue to target activists and supporters of Al-Kazemi."
"Iraq will not be in front of an easy settlement with Iran and its allies. The confrontation is coming and we have more than one summer," he concludes.
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Unlike his predecessors, Adnan Al-Zarfi and Muhammad Alawi died, Al-Kazemi won the unanimity of most political forces when he was appointed by President Barham Saleh last month, but he did not continue during the voting session.
In the end, Al-Kazemi’s government passed, ending five months, which is the period in which the caretaker government led by resigned Prime Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi, backed by political forces and armed militias loyal to Iran, continued.
The first round witnessed the granting of confidence to 15 of the 22 ministers who make up the new Iraqi government, with the remainder to be completed in later rounds as has been the practice of the political process in Iraq during the formation of previous governments.
Observers believe that the Al-Kazemi government, whose formation took place only one day, has winners and other losers from the former intelligence chief's arrival to power in a country that suffers from multiple crises at the political, security and economic levels.
Unprecedented breakthrough
Since the country's first elections in 2005, Islamist parties have dominated the reins of government in the country and all prime ministers were either affiliated with the Dawa Party or outwardly independent but came from Islamic backgrounds as happened with the former leader of the Supreme Islamic Council, Adel Abdul Mahdi.
"The passage of Al-Kazemi represents a new and qualitative breach in the political process, because it broke the classical rules and started working with new rules," said writer and political analyst Sarmad Al-Tai.
Al-Taei told Al-Hurra website that this breach indicates that "the Iraqi centrist and the moderate pro-reform movement won an important round, at the expense of the hard-line current loyal to Iran."
Tehran arms and militias
In the first public reaction to the passage of the Al-Kazemi government, the Iranian-backed Hezbollah militia militia renewed its rejectionist and hostile attitude towards the youngest prime minister in the country's history.
This position was not surprising, especially if we know that this militia, which is classified as a terrorist in the United States, issued several similar statements accusing Al-Kazemi of being involved in the killing of the Iranian military commander Qassem Soleimani and the leader of the Hezbollah militia Abu Mahdi Al-Muhandis in an American strike near Baghdad airport early This year.
The rest of the armed factions and pro-Iranian militias have not issued any positions yet, but they will certainly be the biggest losers of naming Al-Kazemi as prime minister, according to al-Taie.
He continues that "the coup that happened on the Iraqi state since last summer, and which was led by factions loyal to Iran, is now living in the beginning of the end, after the start of the chapter to restore the state from the militias that it wanted to swallow."
And he points out that this is "the beginning of a new phase worthy of the size and importance of Iraq, and confirms that this country cannot be swallowed up by militias, as it is not a banana republic or a small oil selling company, as they thought."
A final blow to the owners
On the political front, the Iraqi writer and political analyst sees that former Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki received a painful blow by passing Al-Kazemi.
Al-Maliki, who has close ties with Tehran and its militias in Iraq, announced his refusal to pass the Al-Kazemi government, after his failed attempts to impose candidates, including his relative, Yasser Sakhil, to take over the Interior Ministry, according to sources that informed Al-Hurra earlier.
Al-Tai says, "The leader of the State of Law coalition lost everything long ago, but he had significant financial influence in the country and Iranian support that he used to cling to some importance."
He adds, "Today it appears that what is known as the axis of resistance and resistance and what it was subjected to, led to the bankruptcy of Maliki politically, and his positions during the negotiations to form the government were a scandal."
The joints of the security state
Returning to the way the new government was formed, Al-Ta'i asserts that "the parties loyal to Iran were planning to penetrate the security executive sites through pressure to pass their candidates to take over the defense and interior portfolios, but they failed."
He adds that "Al-Kazemi managed to maintain important positions in the new government, and he was the one who chose its ministers, whether security, political or economic, such as finance, oil, and foreign affairs."
What does this mean?
According to Al-Ta’i, “The new government will gain international and regional respect, which gives Al-Kazemi an advantage in carrying out his pledge to limit weapons to the state, which is the most difficult task, because it means retrieving the state from the militias that seized a large part of the security decision since the protests erupted last October.”
As for the protesters, who are still on the streets, Al-Taie refused to be considered among the winners or losers.
Al-Taie indicates that it is better to say that the protesters have imposed part of the rules of the new game in Iraq, and they will continue to be watched.
It is mentioned that Al-Kazemi set, in his governmental curricula, the formation of an advisory committee of youth protests to monitor and hold the government accountable and follow up the implementation of the demands of the street.
Tehran and Washington
Relations between the United States and Iran have been marked by tensions since Washington withdrew from the nuclear deal in 2018.
This tension was reflected in the situation in Iraq, where the militias escalated their attacks against American interests in 2019, and increased those attacks after the killing of Soleimani in January, and the subsequent decision of the Iraqi parliament in favor of removing foreign forces.
Al-Tai says, "Iran has lost a lot from the arrival of Al-Kazemi, who has repeatedly stressed that he wants to keep arms in the hands of the state and keep the country away from conflicts."
Al-Taie also notes that "the United States as a whole considers itself lucky today with this profound transformation that Iraq is witnessing."
In conclusion, Al-Kazemi concludes by saying that "Al-Kazemi's government and protesters will be facing a decisive and inevitable confrontation in the way of the state's recovery, because the militias possess snipers and weapons everywhere, including the Green Zone, and will continue to target activists and supporters of Al-Kazemi."
"Iraq will not be in front of an easy settlement with Iran and its allies. The confrontation is coming and we have more than one summer," he concludes.
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