"Al-Sadr" directly intervenes and "3 scenarios" for today's session, the most notable of which is an

POSTED ON[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] BY [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]

[size=52]"Al-Sadr" directly intervenes and "3 scenarios" for today's session, the most notable of which is an emergency government[/size]

[size=45]Baghdad / Tamim Al-Hassan[/size]
[size=45]Three "scenarios" are on the table during the few hours remaining for the parliament session devoted to choosing the president of the republic, including the dissolution of parliament. The hypotheses are divided between the most likely to happen, which is reaching understandings with some of the "boycotters", and the farthest, which is going to an emergency government.[/size]
[size=45]Wednesday's session (today) will be perhaps the penultimate, as some interpretations consider the remaining period to choose the President of the Republic as extending to the first week of next month.[/size]
[size=45]The Speaker of the House of Representatives, Muhammad al-Halbousi, stressed the need to continue holding the sessions until the quorum for electing the President of the Republic is achieved.[/size]
[size=45]In its session last Saturday, the House of Representatives set Wednesday (today) as the date for electing the President of the Republic.[/size]
[size=45]This happened after "Save the Homeland", which is the most numerous bloc in Parliament, failed to achieve a two-thirds majority, at least 220 seats, to vote on the presidential candidate.[/size]
[size=45]Parliament had opened the door for the last nomination to elect the "president" on March 6 for only one time, a day after more than 200 deputies voted.[/size]
[size=45]According to the parliament’s terms of reference in the constitution, the latter has one month to choose the president of the republic, as stated in Article 72.[/size]
[size=45]According to what was reported inside closed rooms, the leader of the Sadrist movement, Muqtada al-Sadr, is trying to "interfere directly" in dragging the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan to the side of the majority.[/size]
[size=45]The National Party holds 18 seats, according to the document presented by the Shiite coordination framework, at the home of former Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki, last Saturday.[/size]
[size=45]The Kurdish party joined the boycotters' side without declaring an official alliance with the "Coordination Committee", and its return to the largest bloc, which it called "Save the Nation", will achieve a two-thirds majority.[/size]
[size=45]And the "homeland", which includes the Sadrists, the Sunni "sovereignty" alliance, and the Kurdistan Democratic Party, achieved 202 seats, which means that they still need at least 18 seats.[/size]
[size=45]The Federal Court stipulated the presence of at least 220 seats out of 329, in order to achieve a quorum for the session to choose the President of the Republic.[/size]
[size=45]On this basis, the move towards the Kurdish party is paralleled by another move with the "dissidents" from the Sunni alliance, whose seats reach 12.[/size]
[size=45]According to the leaks received by Al-Mada, "Some figures within the dissident Sunni forces are living in a crisis after being subjected to pressure and threats from Shiite factions."[/size]
[size=45]Also, some "dissident" personalities have declined in popularity in the Sunni areas, such as Khaled al-Obeidi, the former defense minister whose name was mentioned a few months ago to head the parliament.[/size]
[size=45]The dissidents are led under the name Azm Alliance, former MP Muthanna al-Samarrai, who recently said that he might "review his options" if he gets his demands.[/size]
[size=45]Al-Samarrai confirmed in a televised interview, that his alliance "is not with the coordinating framework, but rather is a partner to it, and if our demands are fulfilled, which are the demands of our audience, we will then take the decision that serves the public."[/size]
[size=45]Al-Samarrai is led by 6 dissident MPs from "Al-Khanjar", in addition to 3 from the Hasm Movement, and 3 others from the Sunni MPs (from Nineveh and Kirkuk) within the Al-Aqd coalition led by PMF leader Faleh al-Fayyad.[/size]
[size=45]The "coordinating framework" used the boycotting forces for various reasons within its project, which it promoted under the name of "national stability", a group that has not been officially announced yet.[/size]
[size=45]After Saturday's session, the Sadrist movement and its partners began to open channels of communication with the neutral groups of the crisis, and they mainly target about 26 seats.[/size]
[size=45]Ahmed al-Yasiri, a researcher in political affairs, says that "there is no single methodology that links the boycott al-Maliki group with the rest of the objectors to last Saturday's session."[/size]
[size=45]And al-Yasiri confirms in a call with (range) yesterday that «the closest solution is for the Sadrist movement to reach understandings with at least 18 deputies of the boycotts outside the coordination framework, which is not difficult».[/size]
[size=45]The understandings with the forces outside the framework in which Nuri al-Maliki, the leader of the State of Law coalition represents the greatest weight, are much simpler.[/size]
[size=45]Al-Yasiri added: "The coordination framework wants, in its negotiations, to preserve the mobilization and the interests of Iran, which are difficult demands compared to the demands of forces such as the radiance of Kanon or some independents."[/size]
[size=45]The other neutral parties besides Azm represent 14 seats, which are 6 for Ishraqa Kanon, 3 deputies within the Voice of the Independents movement, and one representative for each of the Iraqi National Project and Kurdistan Justice.[/size]
[size=45]In addition to the representative of the Yazidi component, Nayef Khalaf Sido, and two independents, including MP Basem Khashan, who recently admitted that he is "not within the coordinating framework."[/size]
[size=45]The rest of the "scenarios" are that the quorum will not be achieved in the session, according to the positions of the coordination framework that promotes that the boycotts' front rose to 135.[/size]
[size=45]And the representative of the Al-Sadiqun Parliamentary Bloc, Ahmed Al-Moussawi, suggested that the scenario of Saturday’s session will be repeated during today’s session, Wednesday, returning what happened during the last session as a real victory for the sovereignty of Iraq.[/size]
[size=45]Al-Moussawi said, in a televised interview, that "the positions are still fixed" on all sides, and no agreement has been reached, pointing out that there is "unjustified adherence to positions."[/size]
[size=45]The "frameworkers" presented a document at the time of last Saturday's session, which they said included 126 districts for the election of the President of the Republic.[/size]
[size=45]Dissolution of Parliament or “Emergency”?![/size]
[size=45]On the other hand, the news coming from behind the scenes speaks of a third "scenario", which is the dissolution of Parliament, and it is sometimes confused with the "emergency government" procedure.[/size]
[size=45]The Judicial Council had confirmed, in a statement last week, that the dissolution of parliament would be at the request of a third of parliament members, or the Prime Minister, with the approval of the President of the Republic, and by an absolute majority vote of the House of Representatives.[/size]
[size=45]After that, the country is supposed to hold new elections, which may reinforce the loss of the "coordinating framework", which lost about 50 seats in the last elections compared to its results in the 2018 elections.[/size]
[size=45]This hypothesis is the furthest, and the "Coordination Committee" considers it a "threat" and a "mixing of cards," as stated in the statements of Issam al-Kuraiti, one of the leaders of the Shiite gathering.[/size]
[size=45]He confuses with the dissolution of Parliament the idea of ​​going to an emergency government, even though this procedure in the constitution is “insufficient” because it was not regulated by law as stipulated by the constitution.[/size]
[size=45]Article 61 of the constitution, part of which talks about declaring emergency, does not provide for the dissolution of parliament.[/size]
[size=45]On the contrary, the last article confirms that this procedure is within the competence of Parliament itself, which means that “emergency” is imposed while the Parliament continues to operate.[/size]
[size=45]The same article confirms that Parliament reviews the duration of the declaration of emergency, which was set for one month, subject to renewal.[/size]
[size=45]This procedure also refers to a more confusing law, the National Safety Law that was established during the time of the first government after 2003, the government of Iyad Allawi in 2004.[/size]
[size=45]This law is still effective even though it was issued before the constitution, according to Article 130 of the constitution, which stipulates that “the legislation in force remains in force, unless it is repealed or amended in accordance with the provisions of this constitution.”[/size]
[size=45]According to Abu Ali al-Askari, a spokesman for the Hezbollah Brigades, one of the PMF factions, "there is no emergency government" in Iraq.[/size]
[size=45]Al-Askari said in a tweet yesterday on Twitter: "There is no emergency government, no solution to Parliament, and no quorum in the next session."[/size]
[size=45][You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]