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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

Welcome to the Neno's Place!

Neno's Place Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality


Neno

I can be reached by phone or text 8am-7pm cst 972-768-9772 or, once joining the board I can be reached by a (PM) Private Message.

Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

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    Iran's problems, isolated and besieged, are escalating at home and abroad

    Rocky
    Rocky
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    Iran's problems, isolated and besieged, are escalating at home and abroad Empty Iran's problems, isolated and besieged, are escalating at home and abroad

    Post by Rocky Tue 02 Oct 2018, 3:17 am


    [size=32]Iran's problems, isolated and besieged, are escalating at home and abroad


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    Iran's sense of siege is likely to escalate. On Nov. 4, the United States will impose new sanctions targeting the Iranian oil industry. As a result, Japan, South Korea, Sri Lanka and European countries plan to cut their imports of Iranian oil. America may provide cheap oil from its own reserves to spur India to join. Although European countries continue to support the nuclear deal, some have left Iran tumbling in the wind. 
    * * *
    It is quite clear who President Donald Trump has blamed for the problems in the Middle East. Trump told the United Nations General Assembly on September 25 that the "corrupt dictatorship of corruption" in Iran is "sowing chaos, death and destruction" in the region. He said the country had used the economic benefits it had gained from the nuclear deal with the United States and other world powers, which limited Iran's nuclear program in exchange for easing sanctions, to increase military spending and support terrorism. His administration withdrew the United States from the nuclear deal in May and launched a "campaign of economic pressure to deprive the regime of the money it needs to pay for its bloody agenda."
    On the other hand, Iran responded, as usual, to the challenge. Its leader, Hassan Rowhani, insisted that he would not meet Trump and denounced what he called his "xenophobic tendencies that resemble Nazi behavior." The American president expected victory over America. "The end of this war will be sweeter than the end of the eight-year war," Rowhani said, referring to Iran's war with Iraq in the 1980s that left 600,000 Iranian dead. Although pragmatic, Rohani appeared to be like Iran's hardliners, who had opposed his nuclear deal in the first place and who saw no room for compromise with America.
    However, Mr. Trump is not the only person who challenges the regime in Iran. On September 22, gunmen killed at least 25 people, including 12 members of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards, the regime's imperial guard, during a military parade in Ahwaz, a town in the southwestern province of Khuzestan. Two different groups claimed responsibility for the attack. The first is a dissident from a local Arab separatist group, the Arab Liberation Movement of Ahwaz. But the Da'ash group, which had stormed the Iranian parliament in Tehran a year ago, quickly claimed responsibility for the attack afterwards, and may have been lying about it in an effort to strengthen its position. By contrast, the Iranian regime quickly and without any firm evidence blamed America and its regional "blood" - Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Israel.
    Iranian officials have long been fascinated by blatant conspiracy theories, but it is not difficult to know why they are deeply suspicious of outsiders. Khuzestan is home to almost 2 million Arabs (while most Iranians are Persian). In recent years, Arab media stations have intensified their coverage of Iranian minorities and strongly supported Arabs who are "under the occupation of Persian forces." Bahrain has gone so far as to name one of its streets "Ahwaz Arab Street". One of the groups that claimed responsibility for the attack had delivered its announcement through Iran International, a British-based television station financed by Saudi investors. Last year, Mohammed bin Salman, the crown prince of Saudi Arabia and its de facto ruler, promised to take his country's battle to "inside Iran" itself.
    In the eyes of Iran, this Arab attack is part of a broader and ominous front. Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have put their differences with Israel aside to confront Iran, the common enemy. Meanwhile, the White House is filled with officials who have spent much of their careers demanding change of regime in Iran. Some of the top members of the Trump team supported the Mujahedin Khalq, an opposition group similar to a religious sect, which until recently had been a terrorist organization in Europe and America. It even provoked resentment even among irrational Iranians. Rudy Giuliani, Donald Trump's lawyer, received money from the group. John Bolton, Trump's national security adviser, hailed it as the "only viable opposition" in Iran.
    Iran's sense of siege is likely to escalate. On Nov. 4, the United States will impose new sanctions targeting the Iranian oil industry. As a result, Japan, South Korea, Sri Lanka and European countries plan to cut their imports of Iranian oil. America may provide cheap oil from its own reserves to spur India to join. Although European countries continue to support the nuclear deal, some have left Iran tumbling in the wind. A French state-owned bank has dropped plans to finance exports to Iran, while the French government has restricted diplomatic travel to Iran and suspended the appointment of a new ambassador. Iran is seeking help from Russia and China. But Russia has happily filled the gap left by Iran in the oil market, while China focuses on its trade war with the United States.
    The Iranian government's focus on foreign plots has diverted attention from the country's domestic problems. Although the Khuzestan region accounts for the vast majority of the country's oil reserves, it remains poor and neglected. The Arabs say they are being kept outside the local government and that the Iranian Revolutionary Guard is stealing the waters of the region as well as its oil. A large group of dams turned the waters of the rivers that flowed into the Gulf from central Iran, turning Khuzestan into a bowl of dust. The protests were brutally suppressed. Groups pledging to "liberate" Ahwaz claim responsibility for sabotaging oil pipelines and shooting at officials.
    The feelings of distress are exacerbated and spread throughout the country. The Iranian currency, the riyal, fell last year. The poor, who have long formed the system's support base, are forced to store canned food. Officials become more and more corrupt to compensate for the shrinking of their salaries. Foreign businessmen who had flowed into Iran after the nuclear deal left. Absorption this year at the French school in Tehran has dropped from 350 to 150. Many Iranians want to leave the country as well. This is reflected, for example, in the high demand for work visas at the German consulate, so applicants have to wait two years for their role in the interview.
    Years of sanctions have made Iran develop a "resistance economy", a diverse and self-sustaining economy in many areas. Basic prices have risen, but much less than they would have been had Iran relied on imports. Pessimists point out that although the devaluation of the riyal makes people poorer, it makes the government stronger, since Iran gets its oil revenues in foreign currency. Its reserves could survive and survive two more years of Mr Trump's period, Rohani says. But the suffering of the Iranians may prove to be the biggest threat to the regime.


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