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[size=52]Baghdad conveys Trump's message to Tehran: Stop proxy wars... and confirms removing the opposition from the border[/size]
[size=45]Baghdad / Tamim Al-Hassan[/size]
[size=45]A message from “Trump” and an Iraqi reassurance reached Tehran through Iraqi officials. Tehran must stop supporting the factions, and in return Baghdad must commit to removing the Iranian Kurdish opposition from the border.
Baghdad has been walking a fine line in its “balance policy,” according to advisors, since the outbreak of the war in Lebanon and Gaza. The government has also begun taking proactive steps to contain any expected escalation from Donald Trump, who returned to the White House.
Prime Minister Mohammed al-Sudani said during the recent Riyadh summit that his government is “committed to calm” regarding the war in the region. Al-Sudani participated in the Arab-Islamic summit in the Saudi capital to re-propose the “two-state solution” to the Palestinian crisis.
Although Iraq has reservations about this paragraph (the two-state solution) in compliance with Iraqi law, it aspires to have a broader role in the region. Bassem al-Awadi, the government spokesman, says that the Riyadh summit is a previous “Iraqi idea.” In press statements, al-Awadi considered that “Iraq is not just a participant in the Saudi summit, but rather a maker and contributor to it.”
Al-Sudani, who returned to Baghdad on Monday evening after participating in the Riyadh meeting, had called Trump last Friday, and Al-Sudani congratulated the US president on “the great trust that the American people have given him,” according to a government statement. The prime minister stressed “ending the war” and “continuing the strategic partnership between the two countries,” according to the previous statement.
Observers considered the prime minister’s steps as turning the page on the arrest warrant issued by Iraq against Trump 3 years ago. Baghdad believes that the risks of expanding the conflict in the region are still great due to the ongoing war on the Gaza Strip and Lebanon. According to statements by Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein, “Baghdad takes any threat to the Iraqi situation seriously from any party,” referring to Iran and Israel.
He added that “Iraq is located in the geography of war, and the continuation of the attack and counterattack on Iran means that Iraqi territory and airspace are likely to be within war zones.” Hussein explained that “the Iranians have clearly confirmed that no attack on Israel will be launched from Iraqi territory.”
Last week, the “State Administration Coalition” denied rumors about using Iraqi territory as a launching pad for carrying out attacks, according to a statement issued by the ruling coalition. The National Security Council also described talk of using Iraqi territory as a launching pad for attacks as “false pretexts.” The Hezbollah Brigades also denied reports that Iran was transferring weapons to Iraq to respond to Israel, in a statement by the faction. A
US report revealed intelligence indicating that “the Iranian Revolutionary Guard is transferring drones and ballistic missiles to Shiite militias in Iraq, and is planning to launch a joint attack against Israel from Iraqi territory.”
Analysts expected Trump to take escalatory positions against Iran and the factions upon his return to the White House. In the last call, Arab newspapers reported that there was a message to Iran that was conveyed via the Iraqi government. In the past week, more than one Iraqi security official has visited Tehran, the last of whom was National Security Advisor Qassim al-Araji.
A deputy and party leader said that “al-Araji may have carried a message from America to Iran.” The leader, who asked not to be named, expected that the message’s content “is an American request to stop Iran’s support for the factions, and for wars to be direct without agents.” Al-Araji met with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and senior military leaders during his recent visit to Tehran, and discussed the security agreement.
The leader continued, “The other part of the officials’ visit to Iran is to reassure Tehran that the agreement is still in effect.” The leader believes that Iran is “concerned due to the changes in the region that Iraq may have backed down from its commitments after the Iranian front weakened.” The leader confirmed that the security agreement, which includes the removal of Iranian Kurdish opposition parties from the border, has already been implemented, as they have been removed a large distance from the border.
Tehran accuses these groups, despite their presence in Iraq as “refugees,” of stirring up protests inside Iran. The leader said that “members of the opposition parties have a choice between remaining unarmed in Iraq or leaving the country.” He also expected that “some of the names wanted by Iran will not remain in Iraq.”
According to Iranian media, Iranian officials assured Al-Araji of “accelerating the implementation of its provisions, especially preventing terrorist activities outside the country’s western borders.”
Will Iran refrain from supporting the factions?
Ahmed Al-Yasiri, a researcher in Iranian affairs, answers that “the constants of Iranian defense are remote warfare, which is a strategic option that was formed after the Iran-Iraq war, due to the effects of the war on Iranian society and economy.” He added in an interview that “since the end of the war until now, Iran has been preparing, manufacturing and developing its military capabilities to implement this strategy, and has exploited the bad conditions in Iraq and other countries to implement this defense strategy.”
The researcher, who heads the Arab-Australian Center for Strategic Studies, believes that Iran cannot change its defense doctrine unless it becomes “a nuclear state, or has enormous economic capabilities like China.” According to Al-Yasiri, because of this doctrine, Iran has been able to maintain the regime for 40 years.
As for Trump, he “does not want to escalate with Iran, so he wants to tell Tehran that they must stop proxy wars, and in return he wants to support Israel, and perhaps Netanyahu will lead him to escalate,” according to the researcher. Al-Yasiri believes that “confronting Iran contradicts Trump’s promises to subject foreign policies to the logic of political economy.”
The researcher says: “Biden’s policies will remain the ones controlling the region until Trump takes office next year.”[/size]
[size=45][You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
[size=52]Baghdad conveys Trump's message to Tehran: Stop proxy wars... and confirms removing the opposition from the border[/size]
[size=45]Baghdad / Tamim Al-Hassan[/size]
[size=45]A message from “Trump” and an Iraqi reassurance reached Tehran through Iraqi officials. Tehran must stop supporting the factions, and in return Baghdad must commit to removing the Iranian Kurdish opposition from the border.
Baghdad has been walking a fine line in its “balance policy,” according to advisors, since the outbreak of the war in Lebanon and Gaza. The government has also begun taking proactive steps to contain any expected escalation from Donald Trump, who returned to the White House.
Prime Minister Mohammed al-Sudani said during the recent Riyadh summit that his government is “committed to calm” regarding the war in the region. Al-Sudani participated in the Arab-Islamic summit in the Saudi capital to re-propose the “two-state solution” to the Palestinian crisis.
Although Iraq has reservations about this paragraph (the two-state solution) in compliance with Iraqi law, it aspires to have a broader role in the region. Bassem al-Awadi, the government spokesman, says that the Riyadh summit is a previous “Iraqi idea.” In press statements, al-Awadi considered that “Iraq is not just a participant in the Saudi summit, but rather a maker and contributor to it.”
Al-Sudani, who returned to Baghdad on Monday evening after participating in the Riyadh meeting, had called Trump last Friday, and Al-Sudani congratulated the US president on “the great trust that the American people have given him,” according to a government statement. The prime minister stressed “ending the war” and “continuing the strategic partnership between the two countries,” according to the previous statement.
Observers considered the prime minister’s steps as turning the page on the arrest warrant issued by Iraq against Trump 3 years ago. Baghdad believes that the risks of expanding the conflict in the region are still great due to the ongoing war on the Gaza Strip and Lebanon. According to statements by Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein, “Baghdad takes any threat to the Iraqi situation seriously from any party,” referring to Iran and Israel.
He added that “Iraq is located in the geography of war, and the continuation of the attack and counterattack on Iran means that Iraqi territory and airspace are likely to be within war zones.” Hussein explained that “the Iranians have clearly confirmed that no attack on Israel will be launched from Iraqi territory.”
Last week, the “State Administration Coalition” denied rumors about using Iraqi territory as a launching pad for carrying out attacks, according to a statement issued by the ruling coalition. The National Security Council also described talk of using Iraqi territory as a launching pad for attacks as “false pretexts.” The Hezbollah Brigades also denied reports that Iran was transferring weapons to Iraq to respond to Israel, in a statement by the faction. A
US report revealed intelligence indicating that “the Iranian Revolutionary Guard is transferring drones and ballistic missiles to Shiite militias in Iraq, and is planning to launch a joint attack against Israel from Iraqi territory.”
Analysts expected Trump to take escalatory positions against Iran and the factions upon his return to the White House. In the last call, Arab newspapers reported that there was a message to Iran that was conveyed via the Iraqi government. In the past week, more than one Iraqi security official has visited Tehran, the last of whom was National Security Advisor Qassim al-Araji.
A deputy and party leader said that “al-Araji may have carried a message from America to Iran.” The leader, who asked not to be named, expected that the message’s content “is an American request to stop Iran’s support for the factions, and for wars to be direct without agents.” Al-Araji met with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and senior military leaders during his recent visit to Tehran, and discussed the security agreement.
The leader continued, “The other part of the officials’ visit to Iran is to reassure Tehran that the agreement is still in effect.” The leader believes that Iran is “concerned due to the changes in the region that Iraq may have backed down from its commitments after the Iranian front weakened.” The leader confirmed that the security agreement, which includes the removal of Iranian Kurdish opposition parties from the border, has already been implemented, as they have been removed a large distance from the border.
Tehran accuses these groups, despite their presence in Iraq as “refugees,” of stirring up protests inside Iran. The leader said that “members of the opposition parties have a choice between remaining unarmed in Iraq or leaving the country.” He also expected that “some of the names wanted by Iran will not remain in Iraq.”
According to Iranian media, Iranian officials assured Al-Araji of “accelerating the implementation of its provisions, especially preventing terrorist activities outside the country’s western borders.”
Will Iran refrain from supporting the factions?
Ahmed Al-Yasiri, a researcher in Iranian affairs, answers that “the constants of Iranian defense are remote warfare, which is a strategic option that was formed after the Iran-Iraq war, due to the effects of the war on Iranian society and economy.” He added in an interview that “since the end of the war until now, Iran has been preparing, manufacturing and developing its military capabilities to implement this strategy, and has exploited the bad conditions in Iraq and other countries to implement this defense strategy.”
The researcher, who heads the Arab-Australian Center for Strategic Studies, believes that Iran cannot change its defense doctrine unless it becomes “a nuclear state, or has enormous economic capabilities like China.” According to Al-Yasiri, because of this doctrine, Iran has been able to maintain the regime for 40 years.
As for Trump, he “does not want to escalate with Iran, so he wants to tell Tehran that they must stop proxy wars, and in return he wants to support Israel, and perhaps Netanyahu will lead him to escalate,” according to the researcher. Al-Yasiri believes that “confronting Iran contradicts Trump’s promises to subject foreign policies to the logic of political economy.”
The researcher says: “Biden’s policies will remain the ones controlling the region until Trump takes office next year.”[/size]
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