The Washington Institute: Iran must be punished militarily. The frequency of its attacks requires de

POSTED ON 2019-10-03 BY SOTALIRAQ

[size=52]The Washington Institute: Iran must be punished militarily. The frequency of its attacks requires deterrence[/size]

[size=45]The Washington Institute for Near East Policy has called for Tehran to be punished militarily and to restore its policy of deterrence, or face unexpected attacks such as those carried out by Tehran, which targeted oil tankers and Aramco oil facilities.
[size=45]A report published on the Institute's website confirmed that the Iranian regime fears war and is at a very weak stage in its history.[/size]
[size=45]In a joint political seminar at the Washington Institute, three experts at the Institute called for punishing Iran for its serious attacks on oil facilities in Saudi Arabia.[/size]
[size=45]Susan Maloney, deputy director of the Foreign Policy Program at the Brookings Institution, said that when the US president withdrew from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (the nuclear deal) in May 2018, many followers raised predictions about Iran's possible response. But in the year that followed, the Iranian regime felt relatively restrained, expressing a desire to know what the US pressure campaign would produce, how Europe would respond to it, and whether companies would abide by unilateral sanctions.[/size]
[size=45]But Tehran soon discovered that the pressure policy was incredibly effective despite the lack of support from US allies. It has had a direct impact on Iran's economy, which ordinary Iranian citizens felt more acutely than they did with previous sanctions.[/size]
[size=45]When the Iranian regime concluded that it would not be able to withstand the unlimited resilience of the maximum pressure campaign, it felt the need to change the administration's calculations and give a sense of urgency on the issue to the wider international community. To do so, Iran has resorted to a tactic that has helped it well in the past: “When you strike, you have to strike harder.”[/size]
[size=45]"It is likely to continue its escalation, and by doing so regularly change its routine, targeting an oil tanker this week, and then the next week violates the JCPOA (nuclear agreement) by installing highly efficient centrifuges, and so forth." . These changing tactics will complicate US response. ”[/size]
[size=45]"It is now clear that the United States has lost any deterrent effect on Iran, and this will remain the case until it decides to impose costs on Tehran for its recent actions," she said.[/size]
[size=45]Norman Rawl, a senior US intelligence official and senior adviser to the Counter-Extremism Project, said: “American and regional responses have so far been balanced and fairly easy to predict. Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Bahrain, like Washington, do not have any interest in a conflict with Iran at the moment.No one of these countries can predict the consequences of any punitive strike on Iran.Of course, there are those who are disappointed by the absence of an American strike on Tehran. But concerned parties in the region have adopted a careful and deliberate approach, even Iran itself.[/size]
[size=45]Despite Iranian provocations, the regime does not want to engage in a conflict at a time of enormous weakness at home and an imminent transition in its leadership.[/size]
[size=45]“In the midst of all the criticism of the Trump administration, the administration has maintained a very consistent policy, namely refusing to lift sanctions against Tehran until its behavior is changed, but the biggest challenge in implementing this policy is the absence of a supported approach,” he said. From the two American parties towards Iran. ”[/size]
[size=45]“The biggest loser in the current situation is the American deterrent force. No one doubts that Iran is responsible for a long list of international violations, yet everyone saw that the Iranian regime continues its violations without paying the price, and that rogue actors around the world are certainly absorbing this lesson. ”[/size]
[size=45]For his part, the director of the Institute, Michael Singh, predicted that Tehran would continue its approach. “In the next phase, Iran will undoubtedly continue its approach of launching a certain type of attack. Attack a completely different target in a different way. The United States should recognize this approach and stop its purely reactive approach to force Tehran instead to engage with US actions. This means extending the maximum pressure campaign from the very limited sanctions area to other areas, including military actions. Confidentiality and diplomatic pressure. The options and frequency of Iranian attacks require deterrence, and Washington must be prepared to confront the regime's actions with a dynamic response.[/size]


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