[size=30]A report talks about 8 reasons behind the possibility of Al-Sudani's success in managing a 'turbulent Iraq'
[ltr]2023.07.05 - 13:44[/ltr]
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[ltr]2023.07.05 - 13:44[/ltr]
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Baghdad - Nas
Although the Iraqi Prime Minister, Muhammad Shia’a al-Sudani, came against the background of the temporary government of Mustafa al-Kadhimi, which in turn came after highly tense and turbulent political and popular conditions that ended with the overthrow of former Prime Minister Adel Abdul-Mahdi under the pressure of popular protests in 2019, the situation of Iraq as a turbulent country since For decades, local observers have been encouraged to say: “It seems that the features of a relatively stable country are taking shape, but without exaggeration.”
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Since Al-Sudani took over the task of prime minister at the end of last October, the country has enjoyed relative calm unprecedented for nearly two decades at various levels. A "safe environment" for her work during her life spanning just over half a year.
Regardless of the importance of these factors to local observers, the financial abundance enjoyed by the Sudanese government is among the most important factors of relative stability. As it inherited from the government of former Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kazemi a cash reserve estimated at more than 90 billion dollars, and about 130 tons of gold, in addition to the high oil prices, which provided 153 billion dollars for the country’s federal budget, which is the largest since 2003. This financial abundance allowed For the Sudanese government to appoint about 850,000 employees in the public sector, and what this means is to absorb the resulting popular resentment, despite the high cost and its negative repercussions on the country's economy.
Perhaps among the other most important reasons that allowed the relative stability of the situation is the state of calm adhered to by the Sadrist movement, which has withdrawn from Parliament (72 seats), at the end of August 2022, and contrary to expectations that indicated the possibility of the movement turning the tables on its opponents in the forces. The Coordinating Framework By controlling the street through mass demonstrations that cause the overthrow of the government, Muqtada al-Sadr and his movement maintained a high level of calm despite his deep resentment of the actions and movements of his opponents, the "frameworkers", including their assignment of the prime ministership to Muhammad Shia' al-Sudani.
There are those who believe that the personal nature of the Prime Minister is one of the auxiliary reasons, especially with his lack of inclination to escalate against opponents and his political decline from the Iraqi interior, unlike his predecessors of prime ministers who came to the country after years of exile outside it, and what this means from his ability to understand general trends. to the population.
And there are also those who believe that the most important factor in relative stability is the Sudanese government’s reliance on the “state administration” coalition, which includes most of the Shiite, Sunni and Kurdish political forces, and is implicitly dominated by the Shiite “coordinating framework” forces, and what this means is the decline of most hostile attacks against the “region.” The presidential green, army camps, and logistical support convoys for the international coalition forces, which were launched by the armed factions affiliated with the framework forces.
There are those who talk about the decline in the state of regional polarization as one of the important reasons that helped stabilize the Iraqi situation, and believe that the rapprochement with Syria in the process of reconciliation that took place between the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Iran during the recent months are all combined factors that have poured in favor of the Sudanese government, and allowed it to move freely on both levels. regional and international.
The popular indolence and the lack of large-scale demonstrations, as happened in 2019, have strengthened, so far, the chances of stability in the country. In addition, a new wave of protests is not excluded, but its cessation so far has given the Sudanese government a suitable space to work away from being preoccupied with containing the repercussions of a crisis of this kind.
Despite the recent success of ISIS in launching some military attacks on police and army points in the western and northern governorates of the country, the state of security and stability in the country is moving at an escalating pace, and the issue of the organization’s ability to attack civilian gatherings no longer exists, as is the case with the supported acts of violence. on sectarian grounds.
Among other reasons, which may have contributed to the state of calm in the country, the Sudanese government benefited from improved services, including the arrival of electricity production during this year to about 24,000 megawatts, which was reflected in the form of increasing the supply of homes and institutions with electric power, and what this means is a decline in severity. Popular anger, and consequently its contribution to the stability of the country after many decades of turmoil.
Source: Middle East
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