Experts suggest that the cash mass will be directed to investing in stocks
Economical 05/15/2024
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Experts expected a positive movement in the trading of the Iraqi stock market for various companies, based on the totality of the facts that the country is witnessing, foremost of which is the difficulty of money leaving Iraq, as it is looking for new investment outlets, and stock trading is one of the most important of these outlets in front of the monetary mass. .
The economic expert, Dr. Saif Al-Halafi: There are real reasons behind the high volume of trading in the Iraqi stock market, the most important of which is the rapid and uncontrolled growth, especially the less expensive real estate financing and purchase sector in Iraq.
He added that the huge inflation in the rise in house prices inside Iraq, which may continue with turbulent growth for a period of no less than three years, which will witness crazy increases in its prices in a way that leads to employing the direction of large capitals, whose owners were unable to export them outside Iraq and direct them to their foreign investments due to the strict... US Federal Reserve procedures and strict control by the US Treasury on all foreign transfers.
He pointed out that we notice that the increasing demand for real estate sometimes heads to major cities such as Baghdad, Erbil, Sulaymaniyah, Najaf, Basra, and Karbala, where the improvement of political and security stability and the abundance of the business world in the private sector contribute, which has had an insane increase in demand for real estate, and in proportions that vary from time to time depending on the strength of the business world. These governorates and the strength of the center of the capital, Baghdad.
Al-Khalafy added that the next stage will indicate the direction of demand, which is witnessing a sharp turn by adding the governorates and cities that fall within the Al-Faw-Umm Qasr axis and the development road, passing through the Nasiriyah cities of Muthanna and joining Baghdad and Mosul. This is attributed to the concentration of the future business world environment in the Al-Faw Basin and the development road, and this is what the power of capital transfer has led to. He
pointed out that there is a noticeable increase in the concentration of these funds in Basra and Baghdad, which has increased pressure on the real estate market, especially Iraq’s urgent annual need for more than 250 thousand housing units annually, pointing to the high inflation rates, which have reached levels exceeding 4.5 percent with the high liquidity rates. And the masses of cash circulating among people and hoarded outside bank depositories,
which the Central Bank, with its record levels of interest rates, were unable to cool the accelerating economy in the housing sector and the insane rise in house prices.
He said: Here the issue lies in a new and exhausting challenge for the central bank in the necessity of raising interest rates to reduce the amount of liquidity pressure and thus curb the accelerating demand for goods and services and cool the rise in house prices in order to reduce prices.
He stated that the problem of Iraq as a flexible and effective economy, as we see there is clarity. In monetary policy and its tools represented by the policies of the Central Bank, but on the contrary we see an almost complete absence in Iraq’s financial policy and its executive tools represented by the government’s ability to impose taxes at multiple and specific levels on those with high monthly financial incomes and on owners of large projects in Iraq. In addition to this is the policy of Imposing duties and customs tariffs on all goods and commodities entering Iraq, with a policy of reducing government spending by supporting and encouraging the private sector and facilitating its mission in creating jobs for young people and the unemployed.
He said: Here we wonder and explain the urgent desires of the Central Bank to raise the ceilings of capital ratios for banks operating in Iraq to 400 billion dinars, which may be followed by the urgent and increasing acceleration in raising the ratios of monetary and credit reserves. These tools have made clear the Central Bank’s desire to cool the accelerating hot economy in the housing sector. And construction, but in light of all this market turmoil in the high levels of cash liquidity with inflation rates and the inability to migrate Iraqi funds abroad, the strong demand for the Iraqi stock market will help, which will be a more likely and safe destination for those funds in order to maintain their monetary strength without... Inflation factors have the ability to reduce its value.
As for the member of the Baghdad Economic Forum, Jassim Al-Aradi, he confirmed that the size of the monetary mass that was directed outside the country has now changed its course to the internal local market, as it targeted real estate and lands, and from there headed to the stock trading market, albeit in a relative manner, but the data indicate that trading in the market Stocks will be their next destination.
He pointed out that many capitalists have come to realize that buying shares makes them owners of a percentage of the company's assets, and these things have encouraged many to buy shares in different joint-stock companies, pointing to the importance of promoting the culture of investing in shares.
He stated that increasing the volume of stock trading reflects the effectiveness of the national economy, anticipating that the coming period will witness a gradual growth in stock trading in terms of number and value.
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