British withdrawal and shock the global economy
7/2/2016 0:00
[rtl]Vulnerability to further contraction of financial flows ,
Ali Hassan al - Fawwaz
put the British withdrawal from the European Union the world 's economies against sudden shock, and the potential for exposure to further contraction in financial flows, not because of the strength of sterling in the currency market, but because the nature of the trauma caused by the withdrawal, and the nature of the risks that can leave them on thestock exchanges and markets, as well as their effects on oil prices, it is more Maiena of repercussions many Arab countries of the Arab Gulf states in particular. policies European the British withdrawal reflects the existence of crises structural deep in European countries ' policies, notably the slowdown in growth, and inflation andeconomic burden of the refugee crisis to Europe, as well as the pressure that is posed by inflation programs of donor countries, which is of course the same European countries, which adopt fundraising States which societies suffer from the disastrous civil conflicts effects, as well as vulnerability , which touched the investment markets, exchange rates currency market and in particular the pound sterling and the euro.Perhaps one of the more risk of this crisis manifested in the US to deal with theaftermath, and its impact on trade with countries that the dollar depends in business dealings, which would mean the tendency of American banks to more emphasis on interest rates, particularly in the bourses huge investments, which was confirmed Foundation (Hai Frickonsa Economics US) where the bourses lost up to $ 900 billion, one day after the British withdrawal, as well as potential damage to the growth of the US economy in general. closed borders as Christine Lagarde announced, Director of the IMF international, that this withdrawal would mean a return to the closed and insular border policy, which would constitute a serious threat to the European project and the instability and severe fluctuations in the financial markets, as well as lower production growth rate.market contracts that the economic challenges of the British withdrawal is the most expressive of the crisis, which will be reflected rapidly on the contracts market, and insurance costs, and the sovereign debt in many countries, with the caution shown bymany of the foreign investors in the oil and tourism, real estate and other markets, forespecially in the Gulf countries already suffering from the problems of structural deep, and their economies are linked so much systems of the US and European banks. Middle East , the seriousness of the economic crisis in most Middle Eastern countries, and in the oil -producing countries in particular , it lies in the fact ( of war) as the economies ofconsuming countries arming most of these resources, and countries of the Euro -America, Britain, France , and published by the Stockholm Institute international peace Research Institute, a specialized center to monitor the arms deals in the hotbeds oftension and conflict, reflecting a serious reality about the nature of this reinforcement, which was formed Okiemh fictional amounts exceed the budgets of entire countries, Maani it vulnerable to international shocks quickly, as well as countries that suffer from significant security challenges due terrorism, and the economies in which they live some sort of serious attrition, which makes it lacks the presence of standard specifications for development and planning. war economy identity of the war economy means the speed of exposure to crisis, with the loss of Chianah ability to face internal benefits. Since many of these countries Tkhadda- the very nature of its economy Alriei- to influence themarket and the oil and the impact of Western capital to invest in these economies thecourse, the British event is not away from them, it increases the risk of these countries, and the speed of its exposure to more crises, the British economy part of the global economy, and has a deep diets of American and European economy in particular, and that any trauma suffered by means transmission of contagion to many neighboring economies, or markets in which the moving their capital. crises area toll witnessed by the markets and US stock markets extended to reflect on the Arab markets , especially in Egypt and the Gulf states, Maekshv for serious problems, and may have profound implications responses of political and social action, and the British secede from theEuropean Union means the tendency towards independence from the crisis area, and stay away from the entire fiscal policies that have been linked to confront crises , fiscal deficit, and the crises of unemployment and confront the challenges of refugees to Europe, as well as the face of crises , poverty, development and the wars in the third world in the Middle East and Africa in particular, as well as its effect on the same oil markets and lower prices, which Masbiv new burdens on these countries.[/rtl]
[rtl]http://www.alsabaah.iq/ArticleShow.aspx?ID=119257[/rtl]
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