There was no breakthrough in the crisis a month ago...and "dissolving Parliament" is an option after

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[size=52]There was no breakthrough in the crisis a month ago...and "dissolving Parliament" is an option after the end of the second "Al-Sadr deadline."[/size]

[size=45]Baghdad / Tamim Al-Hassan[/size]
[size=45]Most expectations go to the continuation of the state of "closure" for at least another month, an opinion supported by the United Nations, according to the organization's latest report on the situation in Iraq.
Apathy will remain dominating the political scene for the next four weeks - at the very least - until other solutions mature.[/size]
[size=45]And the expected scenarios after the last "current deadline" expires, most of them have been put forward in the past, such as "re-elections", or a surprise by the joining of a new party to the "triple alliance."[/size]
[size=45]On the other hand, the coordination framework seems "desperate" to go unilaterally to form a government, even with its interaction with the initiative of the independents, which will not resolve the position of the President of the Republic.[/size]
[size=45]In the past two nights, tension prevailed between the "Sadrists" and the "framers" following letters and statements from both parties about the effects of the Federal Court's rejection of the food security law supported by the movement.[/size]
[size=45]New demonstrations took place in support of the speech of Muqtada al-Sadr, the leader of the Sadrist movement, in which he launched an attack on his opponents following the challenge to "food security" before the judiciary.[/size]
[size=45]Banners were raised in areas east of Baghdad, where the Sadrists are strong, and in southern Babil, against "starving Iraqis", in reference to the prohibition of the aforementioned law.[/size]
[size=45]The government had submitted the Food Security Law to Parliament as an alternative to the budget, while the Federal Court rejected the law, considering the government as a daily caretaker government.[/size]
[size=45]According to the Sadrist movement's websites, residents of the Zaafaraniya and Nahrawan areas in the capital, and cities such as Maysan, Diwaniyah, and Basra, decided to organize similar demonstrations, which are supposed to have started yesterday evening, Wednesday.[/size]
[size=45]Al-Sadr, hours after announcing his transition "temporarily" to the opposition, described the actions of the "blocking third" as disgraceful due to the prevention of the formation of the government, and standing against the Food Security Law.[/size]
[size=45]Following the current leader's speech, Sadr's Peace Brigades announced that it was "ready" in declaring that it was an escalation of the crisis, before parties close to the Sadrists denied to Al-Mada the involvement of the "brigades" in any armed conflict.[/size]
[size=45]On the other hand, the coordination framework responded to the positions of the Sadrists, and considered the speech of the leader of the movement as “convulsive.” A spokesman for an armed faction praised the rejection of “food security” and described its approval as “the Farhud.”[/size]
[size=45]According to these events, it becomes difficult to talk about an opportunity to form a new government, despite the passage of more than 7 months since the early elections.[/size]
[size=45]According to those close to the Sadrist movement who spoke to Al-Mada, they ruled out "any change within at least a month due to the movement's insistence on forming a majority government and the coordination's inability to secure a two-thirds majority."[/size]
[size=45]Al-Sadr decided last week to take the opposition's position "experimentally" for a month, offering his opponents a second chance to form a government, after the last 40-day period that started from Ramadan and ended on the last Eid holiday.[/size]
[size=45]The sources, who are familiar with the dialogues taking place within the movement, say that after the last deadline, “there will be other solutions; Either the tripartite alliance obtains the 220 votes required to pass the president of the republic, or the demands to dissolve parliament and go to new elections return.[/size]
[size=45]The dissolution of Parliament requires certain conditions, according to a previous statement by the Judicial Council, which ultimately requires a vote of the majority of parliament members.[/size]
[size=45]However, there have been recent developments in this regard, as a number of independent parliamentarians announced their support for the re-election, such as the Alliance for the People, which put forward an initiative to solve the crisis, and said that if it failed, it would go to "dissolving parliament."[/size]
[size=45]The role of freelancers[/size]
[size=45]In the last two weeks, the independents have played a new role in the political equation after the failure of the Sadrist movement and the coordination framework to form the government, and the former refused to join one of the parties, preferring to present an initiative that set several conditions, which won the support of the "coordinator."[/size]
[size=45]Manaf al-Moussawi, a researcher in political affairs, says about the initiative of the independents, as "the initiative of the coordinating framework, because those who confronted it are affiliated with the framework."[/size]
[size=45]Events after the elections that took place last October led to the division of the independents between the "Sadrists" and "the executives" and a small group remained neutral.[/size]
[size=45]Al-Moussawi added, in connection with Al-Mada: "It is not clear who are the independents who launched the initiative, what is the name of the bloc and how many are there?"[/size]
[size=45]The initiative was leaked to the media in the form of images taken from several printed papers, which do not ultimately bear any signature of a representative or the name of a group.[/size]
[size=45]The initiative of the independents, which consists of 7 points, demanded the formation of an independent government, while it did not talk in details about the problem of choosing the president of the republic, which may be the biggest problem in the face of the existence of a new government.[/size]
[size=45]At the end of his speech, al-Moussawi, head of the Center for Strategic and Scientific Studies and International Relations, says, "In all cases, the coordination will not be able to obtain a majority with the independents... The framework knows very well that it is unable to form a government."[/size]
[size=45]"Coordination" hopes[/size]
[size=45]On the other hand, the statements of the "frameworkers" are conflicting in their ability to form a government without the Sadrists, and they are counting on the "disintegration" of the tripartite alliance, a matter for which no signs have become clear so far.[/size]
[size=45]Mukhtar al-Moussawi, a former deputy from the Badr Organization, says: "The coordinating framework will wait for the candidate of the independents. If it is according to our specifications, we will vote for him."[/size]
[size=45]The Coordination Committee was the only one to respond to the initiative of the independents, and said that it was committed to "assigning a neutral and efficient candidate," and considered the initiative "close" to the terms of the frameworks initiative announced on May 3.[/size]
[size=45]Regarding the required seats that the coordination framework will need to pass the President of the Republic, Al-Moussawi confirms in his interview with Al-Mada: "The tripartite alliance will not remain steadfast, and there are close splits for the Ahmed Al-Jubouri (Abu Mazen) and Khamis Al-Khanjar group."[/size]
[size=45]Until then, the United Nations mission in Iraq sees the absence of indications of understandings between the political forces to resolve the crisis.[/size]
[size=45]On Tuesday, in a briefing to the Security Council, Jenin Plasschaert, the UN envoy to Iraq, said that "the Iraqi politicians have no desire to reach an agreement that ends the political crisis" in the country.[/size]
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