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Washington completes unloading the Iranian victory in Iraq
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]writer and journalist
Thursday 19 March 2020 1:01
Shiite support for al-Razafi remains weak (Reuters)[/size]
[size=17]The developments witnessed by the Iraqi arena in the last hours, which ended in a decisive decision taken by the President of the Republic, Barham Salih, to assign the head of the parliamentary "Victory Bloc" Adnan al-Zarfi, from outside the nomination of the largest bloc to form the new Iraqi government, after about a hundred days of vacancy in this position, as a result The resignation of Adel Abdul Mahdi under the pressure of the uprising street, and the position of Marjaiya in Najaf, negatively on the performance of his government. These developments may mean that Iraqi political life is divided between two axes, narrowing the areas of understanding and convergence between them, and that President Saleh has decided his options by going to the option of confrontation, moving to the first row of the axis that wants to resolve matters and get out of the vacuum tunnel, and reduce the hegemony and influence of the opposite axis, and reduce The one who does not want to release the prime minister except under the conditions he wants and guarantees his interests and the interests of the ally who supports him.
Barham Saleh chose to enter into a confrontation with the Iranian axis by assigning a personality belonging to the "victory alliance" led by former Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi, in light of the atmosphere of a wide segment of Iraqi forces and currents that wish these options to be in contrast to the interim mission that the government brought That is, to establish a new stage in the political process in Iraq that would limit the influence and mobilization of forces and groups affiliated with the Iranian axis in capturing the capabilities of power and the political process.
The welcome reactions to this option have not been delayed, as the civil forces and youth groups affecting the opposition arenas have welcomed this assignment, considering that it breaks the stalemate in the political process, and indicates the ability of the Iraqis to exit from the Iranian option, especially as this nomination was a catalyst for the Iraqi components by announcing Its position in support of Al-Zrafi in this mission, in contrast to his predecessor in this mission, Muhammad Tawfiq Allawi, who unanimously agreed to all his integrity and patriotism, but she expressed her fear that he was unable to cross into Iraq from the crisis he is going through, as Al-Zorfi, and after hours of his assignment, obtained support Alliance A. Kurdistan, in addition to the Sunni forces, has provided him and his mission with the national cover that represents the most important Iraqi sectarian, religious and national components, despite the Shiite support that is not comprehensive and is limited to the "Alliance of Victory" and the "Marching Bloc" led by Muqtada al-Sadr, in addition to a number of deputies Sporadic. This reveals several facts.
Shiite support for al-Zrafi will be weak despite the fact that “other people” stand beside him. Most of the Shiite forces and their parliamentary blocs did not agree to a mechanism of his choice, such as the “stream of wisdom” led by Ammar al-Hakim, who went on to declare a single position on the Shiite forces that met to announce their position, in When the other powers did not hesitate in the “Al-Fateh bloc” led by Hadi al-Amiri, and the “State of Law” led by Nuri al-Maliki, the Supreme Council headed by Hammam Hammoudi, the National Security Adviser Faleh al-Fayyad, and “Asaib Ahl al-Haq” led by Qais Khazali and the “Popular Mobilization” factions Such as the "Imam Ali Brigades" led by Shibl al-Zaidi, and the "Brigades of Master of the Martyrs" led by Alaa al-Walayi, and the "Movement of the Nujaba," led by Akram al-Kaabi, jointly or separately, in announcing its rejection of this mandate and this designation, and did not hesitate to suggest that this option could lead to negative results that will be reflected in security and stability.
The factions opposing the designation of Al-Zarfi, which are considered representative of the Iranian tendencies on the Iraqi scene, have not hesitated in recent months, accusing Al-Zarfi of being involved in the events and riots that witnessed the city of Najaf during the massive demonstrations and ended in the burning of the Iranian consulate and bloody confrontations in the city streets.
The division between "Saeron" and Muqtada al-Sadr on the one hand, and the crowd factions on the other side about Al-Zarfi, means that the understandings reached between these parties as a result of the efforts made by Tehran, after the assassination of Qasim Soleimani to bring them closer and the reconciliation between Sadr, Khazali, Al-Kaabi and Al-Zaidi broken. This will reflect negatively on the efforts made by Iran to establish an Iraqi front to "resist" the American presence in Iraq, as it is assumed that this front will assume the process of confrontation with this presence and work to get it out not only from Iraq, but from all of West Asia.
In the event that the factions and forces that refuse to assign Al-Zarfi do not read the situation and developments, and if Al-Zarfi gets enough votes to pass his government in front of Parliament, it will contribute to removing itself from the political game inside the government, and will force itself to be in the opposition and thus establish a new stage May complicate the mechanism of its return to power in the future, especially as the Iraqi street holds it responsible for the decline suffered by Iraq, as well as its involvement in financial, administrative, economic, and even security and military corruption. The opposition to these factions will remain within the framework of the Shiite forces, and will only expand to include only individuals from other components, which places the Iranian investment in these forces into question, because it may be unable to impose the equation that Tehran desires, and therefore it may be established to besiege this role and retreat Influence in favor of opponents and opponents.
It can be said that the Shiite factions and forces allied with Iran have moved to a new stage of role and influence that is different from previous years, and Tehran must admit that the accumulation of direct mistakes or those made by these allies ended in this result of political and popular retreat, and that the next stage You will put it with these forces in front of one of two options, either going to blow up the Iraqi arena and thwart the process of forming the government even if it was through arms, or you have an unprecedented level of pragmatism by bowing to the stage and passing it and trying to reduce losses by opening the door of dialogue with the president It is charged with obtaining a share in the Authority, ensuring that its allies do not leave or be excluded.
The equation that Soleimani tried to confirm after naming the three presidencies more than a year ago, with the victory of the Iranian option in Iraq over the American option and that Tehran achieved a result of 3 to zero in the battle of the presidencies between it and Washington, is an equation that is not valid anymore, after the options adopted by the President of the Republic And, most recently, the adoption of al-Zarfi’s nomination, while Parliament Speaker Muhammad al-Halbousi made many signals in his desire to get rid of the Iranian influence within the framework of establishing his leadership within the Sunni component, and his need for Arab depth in this framework. Therefore, it seems that the American player has made clear progress in efforts to limit the Iranian role and influence in Iraq, and US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo did not hesitate to hasten to welcome "caution".
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Support for the Kurdistan Alliance and Sunni forces provided Zarrafi with the national cover
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.][You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]writer and journalist
Thursday 19 March 2020 1:01
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
[size]Shiite support for al-Razafi remains weak (Reuters)[/size]
[size=17]The developments witnessed by the Iraqi arena in the last hours, which ended in a decisive decision taken by the President of the Republic, Barham Salih, to assign the head of the parliamentary "Victory Bloc" Adnan al-Zarfi, from outside the nomination of the largest bloc to form the new Iraqi government, after about a hundred days of vacancy in this position, as a result The resignation of Adel Abdul Mahdi under the pressure of the uprising street, and the position of Marjaiya in Najaf, negatively on the performance of his government. These developments may mean that Iraqi political life is divided between two axes, narrowing the areas of understanding and convergence between them, and that President Saleh has decided his options by going to the option of confrontation, moving to the first row of the axis that wants to resolve matters and get out of the vacuum tunnel, and reduce the hegemony and influence of the opposite axis, and reduce The one who does not want to release the prime minister except under the conditions he wants and guarantees his interests and the interests of the ally who supports him.
Barham Saleh chose to enter into a confrontation with the Iranian axis by assigning a personality belonging to the "victory alliance" led by former Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi, in light of the atmosphere of a wide segment of Iraqi forces and currents that wish these options to be in contrast to the interim mission that the government brought That is, to establish a new stage in the political process in Iraq that would limit the influence and mobilization of forces and groups affiliated with the Iranian axis in capturing the capabilities of power and the political process.
The welcome reactions to this option have not been delayed, as the civil forces and youth groups affecting the opposition arenas have welcomed this assignment, considering that it breaks the stalemate in the political process, and indicates the ability of the Iraqis to exit from the Iranian option, especially as this nomination was a catalyst for the Iraqi components by announcing Its position in support of Al-Zrafi in this mission, in contrast to his predecessor in this mission, Muhammad Tawfiq Allawi, who unanimously agreed to all his integrity and patriotism, but she expressed her fear that he was unable to cross into Iraq from the crisis he is going through, as Al-Zorfi, and after hours of his assignment, obtained support Alliance A. Kurdistan, in addition to the Sunni forces, has provided him and his mission with the national cover that represents the most important Iraqi sectarian, religious and national components, despite the Shiite support that is not comprehensive and is limited to the "Alliance of Victory" and the "Marching Bloc" led by Muqtada al-Sadr, in addition to a number of deputies Sporadic. This reveals several facts.
Shiite support for al-Zrafi will be weak despite the fact that “other people” stand beside him. Most of the Shiite forces and their parliamentary blocs did not agree to a mechanism of his choice, such as the “stream of wisdom” led by Ammar al-Hakim, who went on to declare a single position on the Shiite forces that met to announce their position, in When the other powers did not hesitate in the “Al-Fateh bloc” led by Hadi al-Amiri, and the “State of Law” led by Nuri al-Maliki, the Supreme Council headed by Hammam Hammoudi, the National Security Adviser Faleh al-Fayyad, and “Asaib Ahl al-Haq” led by Qais Khazali and the “Popular Mobilization” factions Such as the "Imam Ali Brigades" led by Shibl al-Zaidi, and the "Brigades of Master of the Martyrs" led by Alaa al-Walayi, and the "Movement of the Nujaba," led by Akram al-Kaabi, jointly or separately, in announcing its rejection of this mandate and this designation, and did not hesitate to suggest that this option could lead to negative results that will be reflected in security and stability.
The factions opposing the designation of Al-Zarfi, which are considered representative of the Iranian tendencies on the Iraqi scene, have not hesitated in recent months, accusing Al-Zarfi of being involved in the events and riots that witnessed the city of Najaf during the massive demonstrations and ended in the burning of the Iranian consulate and bloody confrontations in the city streets.
The division between "Saeron" and Muqtada al-Sadr on the one hand, and the crowd factions on the other side about Al-Zarfi, means that the understandings reached between these parties as a result of the efforts made by Tehran, after the assassination of Qasim Soleimani to bring them closer and the reconciliation between Sadr, Khazali, Al-Kaabi and Al-Zaidi broken. This will reflect negatively on the efforts made by Iran to establish an Iraqi front to "resist" the American presence in Iraq, as it is assumed that this front will assume the process of confrontation with this presence and work to get it out not only from Iraq, but from all of West Asia.
In the event that the factions and forces that refuse to assign Al-Zarfi do not read the situation and developments, and if Al-Zarfi gets enough votes to pass his government in front of Parliament, it will contribute to removing itself from the political game inside the government, and will force itself to be in the opposition and thus establish a new stage May complicate the mechanism of its return to power in the future, especially as the Iraqi street holds it responsible for the decline suffered by Iraq, as well as its involvement in financial, administrative, economic, and even security and military corruption. The opposition to these factions will remain within the framework of the Shiite forces, and will only expand to include only individuals from other components, which places the Iranian investment in these forces into question, because it may be unable to impose the equation that Tehran desires, and therefore it may be established to besiege this role and retreat Influence in favor of opponents and opponents.
It can be said that the Shiite factions and forces allied with Iran have moved to a new stage of role and influence that is different from previous years, and Tehran must admit that the accumulation of direct mistakes or those made by these allies ended in this result of political and popular retreat, and that the next stage You will put it with these forces in front of one of two options, either going to blow up the Iraqi arena and thwart the process of forming the government even if it was through arms, or you have an unprecedented level of pragmatism by bowing to the stage and passing it and trying to reduce losses by opening the door of dialogue with the president It is charged with obtaining a share in the Authority, ensuring that its allies do not leave or be excluded.
The equation that Soleimani tried to confirm after naming the three presidencies more than a year ago, with the victory of the Iranian option in Iraq over the American option and that Tehran achieved a result of 3 to zero in the battle of the presidencies between it and Washington, is an equation that is not valid anymore, after the options adopted by the President of the Republic And, most recently, the adoption of al-Zarfi’s nomination, while Parliament Speaker Muhammad al-Halbousi made many signals in his desire to get rid of the Iranian influence within the framework of establishing his leadership within the Sunni component, and his need for Arab depth in this framework. Therefore, it seems that the American player has made clear progress in efforts to limit the Iranian role and influence in Iraq, and US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo did not hesitate to hasten to welcome "caution".
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
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