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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

Welcome to the Neno's Place!

Neno's Place Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality


Neno

I can be reached by phone or text 8am-7pm cst 972-768-9772 or, once joining the board I can be reached by a (PM) Private Message.

Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

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    Iraq after the liberation of Mosul, coalition countries and the geopolitical realities (2-3

    Rocky
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    • Post n°1

    Iraq after the liberation of Mosul, coalition countries and the geopolitical realities (2-3 Empty Iraq after the liberation of Mosul, coalition countries and the geopolitical realities (2-3

    Post by Rocky Wed 26 Oct 2016, 4:28 am

    Iraq after the liberation of Mosul, coalition countries and the geopolitical realities (2-3





    10/26/2016 0:00

    [rtl] We tried in the first article to analyze the internal Iraqi situation careful analysis, comprehensive and look at it from multiple sides, and in this second part we will try to analyze and infer the role of the international coalition and the geopolitical situation of theregion and Iraq, and in the third and fourth will try to infer the future of the popular crowd and important data for the security of Iraq. 
    From American perspective and the coalition countries, the liberalization of Mosul mean the end of the official entity of the Islamic State (Daesh), and that the receding Daesh will remain an important goal of the United States, especially in the lack of expansion in Lebanon, Jordan or Israel or Saudi Arabia, which regards the problem of Daesh in terms of geopolitical regional note that we as Iraqis look the problem from a national perspective and purely local, and perhaps after the liberation of Mosul, the US will turn attention toward Syria and complexity and will hold the Syrian arena to contain anticipated. Regarding the timing of the release of Mosul process, Washington is mostly just looking for the right conditions and not for a specific date, and if the US elections (especially for the Democratic Party) is going the path of naturally there will be no rush but would wait for the right moment for the Liberation of Mosul and take advantage of itsimpact on the geopolitical situation of the region. US President Obama has identified two - three years ago to destroy the existence of Daesh and what is happening now is within those parameters and contexts planned and estimated them. For the American side regarding the Iraqi political equation of how close or after the West in its relations with friends and allies in the region, lack visions agree not help the parties to strengthen their relationship in the future, and here the question comes what the nature of the expected relationship between Baghdad and Washington after the liberation of Mosul on the level of security and political cooperation The military? From the American side , it does not wait for an answer to this question , but he would work quietly (and a timetable long as their assessment and not according to the convictions of Iraqis) to push Iraq toward security and political stability, especially they know the extent of the rift created by theoccupation of Daesh and accepted by terrorism in Iraq and the importance of Iraq 'sstability relative the stability of the region. 
    with regard to the recent tension between Iraq and Turkey and the Turkish gross interference in Iraq, the containment of Turkey and not fight or besiege it will be theAmericans approach in dealing with the Turkish dimension in Iraq, the United States iswell aware that the political volatility in Ankara will have a direct impact on the course ofevents edit and after the liberation of Mosul, as Turkey will install its military presence and be a permanent element in the Iraqi and Syrian dialogues around Mosul and others, because that Turkey considers the threat from al PKK affect national security and thethreat from al Daesh possible containment to take advantage of it to influence the geopolitical dimension In the area. It is necessary to mention that talking about thedivision of the province connector into regions or provinces helps advocates the division of Iraq and also gives an excuse for many of the regional parties, and in particular Turkey, direct intervention. There is a real and substantial correlation between thestability in Syria and the stability of Iraq and the opposite is also, as well as the liberalization of the connector means a new beginning for Iraq after Daesh, which is thebeginning of a new Syrian position is after a local Daasha not transboundary, and theeradication of organizing Daesh terrorist from Syria may need from year to year and ahalf after the liberation of Mosul, knowing that to reach consensus in the Geneva talks on Syria will be central to the stability of Iraq after the liberation of Mosul. 
    regarding the geopolitical dimension to the provinces with a majority Sunni Arab in theequation, the weakness of dialogues between Iraq and neighboring countries , the Arab increased the relationship gap between them and increased conviction many Iraqis said near Iraq and the Arab countries want to have a role in the liberation of Mosul in order toensure the possibility of changing the map of Iraq at them and do not prove and stabilize the political process rules and Iraq after 2003. 
    mainly Sunni provincial leaders fear is not a weak influence on the decision - makers in Baghdad but only weak influence on the regional power centers and the international dimension as well, and the lack of inclusion of these sons of the provinces under one umbrella or under the command of a single leader or a single entity will prolong the challenges of these provinces and thus prolongs the Iraqi political tension. It is also necessary to be leaders of the provinces , which was liberated from Daesh unit insights into their role and their understanding of the overall Iraqi identity for Iraq after 2003.Weak adherence to these new identity (or social contract) would be counterproductive on the strength of the role of the year in building the new Iraq, especially with the success of Daesh increase in the gap between the components of Iraq. Here comes the role ofgovernment and the Iraqi leaders and the United Nations and some countries friends in the concentration of dialogues about the unification of visions between the different Iraqi parties, knowing that poor infrastructure and energy sources in areas Gharbahsadjal pursuit of some of the division of Iraq into federal units and cutters counterproductive them the results, it is necessary not to forget that their strength is in Iraq 's power as aunited cohesive. 
    With regard to the Kurdish dimension, the strength of post fighters Peshmerga in theliberation of Mosul would be a useful component in uniting Iraq 's unity, but Mntlgahm may depend on the extent of their ability , install what had dominated it from the land in the conflicting areas on it , and their participation dependent perhaps on sang these areas oil - powered with a note that the strength of the participation of the Kurds in theliberation of the province of Nineveh will increase their popularity in the international fora, especially in the US Congress. On the other hand we see that the National Alliance (Shiite) must have the political visions are clear and unambiguous to Iraq after Daesh order to be able to lead a dialogue with the Kurdish and Sunni Arab parties and others, Vodouh these visions can set new rules of dialogue between the various Iraqi leaders. 
    Kurdish differences - Kurdish will increase with the growing conviction of all Kurdish parties , the Kurdistan difficulty independence and therefore the whole Kurdish eyes will be on Washington to see the extent of freedom of movement in this regard. On the other hand the closer Washington from one of the Kurdish parties , you will see the other sides heading east or north. There is a golden opportunity for the Kurdish leadership in Iraq , anew building on a new basis of mutual benefit strategy with the central government andall the ingredients, you will be after considering coexistence and common development with the South or the continuation of their project and the loss of all Altakndqat address? 
    * Iraq 's ambassador in America[/rtl]

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    • Post n°2

    Iraq after the liberation of Mosul, coalition countries and the geopolitical realities (2-3 Empty After the state «Daesh} historic settlement is the solution (3-3)

    Post by Rocky Wed 26 Oct 2016, 4:30 am

    After the state «Daesh} historic settlement is the solution (3-3)


    26/10/2016 0:00 

    [rtl]Hussein Darwish al - Adli 
      and made Iraq the focus of attraction for movements and terrorists of the world, and led to a terrible clash in the interests of regional and international feuding , fighting without the blood and is on their land !! This actually threatened and threaten the country 's unity and cohesion of the state community, not sealed file (state) Daesh after even Cries division of the provinces or to the entire state, and by defeating the military Daesh totally loud calls for the adoption of federalization undisciplined or join regional influence strategic to that State or soft guardianship call of that State. Iraq 's post - State ofDaesh at risk unless they are absorbing the lesson by all parties to the crisis and theforces involved in the clash. 
       2 - slowly crumbling Daesh as (state), which is dying out with the resolution of thebattle of Mosul. But the observed size of the complex that precedes the battle chapter conductivity, which we have not seen in all the battles for liberation of the cities of Iraq and Oqdath and respects and Qbbath, here we discover through the struggle over thebattle of Mosul , the size of the conflict in and around Iraq, and discover the ranges ofmaturity required to pay for it, .. How else attempts to explain the localization of thebattle of Mosul? How do we explain that the focus of the conflict today is the issue ofagreeing on the city administration even before the liberation ?! And the need to agree on a map geographically ingredients to avoid crises of the post - liberation ?! Is not this city geographically and clear? Did this city involved in three major elections and have arepresentative council and put a constitutional and legal turned upside down by theadministration and its institutions , as with the rest of the cities of Iraq, so how can we explain , then all this ado about the future of Mosul? Here we discover that there began pre Daesh used Daesh political project and is intended to end (Mouselaa) worthily new soft and guardianship political geography / community new ones. 
       3 - post - State of Daesh stage of resolving the state choices, no longer a state structure and equations government incapable to deal benefits after the state Daesh and created contradictions and the repercussions of the massive interventions internally and regional and international stage, and any establishment of the option or thepredominance of him will determine the future of the Iraqi state gradually and are Hranth.
       there are visions and projects internal, regional and international wills compete to draw paths after the overthrow of conflict (state) Daesh, .. is serious and aspiring Achtgalat to enable several options, starting with the option of cloning Syrian model Almichzi between the regime and hundreds of armed movements detent for the land and supported regionally and internationally, and there are functioning for the option of re - installation of population geography based on Cantoni sovereign padded, and there are functioning for the option of imposing a soft and Sayat on community components ( religious andethnic sectarianism ethnic) and geography to be attached to influence strategic for this country or Tlk..k. 
       4 - Iraqi, there is a political split on the vision and project level with the Iraqi political forces responsible for the act of a State, there are large gaps at the level of solidarity ofethnic and religious state of sectarian ethnic components and there Tmah with spaces and international agendas regional make Iraq part of a bigger game, .. and such a fact can not guarantee winning the bet on the state of the post - state Daesh. 
       5 - there Iraqi paths to face Daesh as an organization and the state, a military path ,a path to recover and win, and path security Aruah in place, a political path is retarded, and the path of a community divided and afraid and worried, cultural media educational path Qasr..k, and to learn the lesson and we are dealing high responsibility with a post -State of Daesh we need to integrate tracks within a holistic vision develop a clear roadmap and determined to win bet the state, and this is what we call the national settlement. 
       
    national reconciliation 
       1. what shall we do, and where to begin in order to avoid or minimize the effects of the difficult choices and alternatives facing the disastrous Iraq for the post - state Daesh? This is the most important question, we can not receive a post - State of Daesh Balla alternative and non - track and without possible and realistic and promising options. 
       If we take into account the nature of the complex reality and Almichzi and the lack ofalternatives and the magnitude of the disaster and the ferocity of the challenges .. the national settlement is best to rebuild the state and the social market its files contention that created this structure crumbling fragile state. The settlement albeit complex , but they are possible, which is the best, and all the other alternatives Kaltksam or reproduce the reality of the pre - state Daesh or go to mini - states warring on wealth and power and Alord..k system, all of these options are considered catastrophic and unpredictable 
     results. 
       2 - powers by her own act of a State is responsible today for the production ofacceptable and realistic and possible solution. It may be argued, can not grasp thesolution of those who caused the crisis, it 's true, but is it ready alternatives, realistic and possible adoption by the state to get out of the potential collapse due to the challenges?The question here, .. and possible today and in accordance with the requirements ofreality is mobilizing the possible solutions from the womb of this fact in order to avoid thecoming difficult and disastrous choices. On this basis , the main employers of all thecircumstances and the facts and fears the move was intense for the production of acomprehensive national settlement is hoped to be fair and acceptable to all. 3. do not want to paint a rosy picture, but there is no effort unspoken, actively and designer, it waslaunched months ago by an integrated team employed and benefited from the cumulative action of the various official and non - official circles and with the participation ofunremitting with a team of UNAMI to begin a plan of stages five starts phase visibility and representation resolve and end the operator a negotiated comprehensive peace for all the controversial files down to the adoption of a comprehensive national settlement satisfactory to all parties. 
       4 - a settlement that works for them dealing on the grounds of reconciliation structural issue related to the reproduction of the state in accordance with the integrated political contract under the roof of the Constitution to resolve all contentious files that relate to thethree state issues: earth, power, wealth. And there are no heed premature to processors or Ardhaiah or extortionate or adventure, but required a fair, comprehensive and constituent solutions capable of drawing paths solution in accordance with the road map and within the mutual obligations and specific limits of time and guarantees 
     internationalism. 
       5 - based on the proposed plan to the foundations: a comprehensive settlement and not unilaterally waive side and to the painful concessions from all parties, and to theprinciple of Allagalb and Allamglob. Also, the target settlement is not initiating a zero line, but will depend General principles reservation fundamental constants of the state and its institutions and mechanisms of repair and integration do and functions. 
       6 - an ongoing work, and there are no proven success guarantees, however, the work is promising and there is progress, and other options can be employed under this complex reality and open to all the disastrous choices, .. I say: there is an official diagnosis and encouraging interaction of many forces, there are also pressures and must continue and expand to include the elite and the masses to make a historic compromise necessity irreplaceable. As the national settlement save me the option to Iraq, it is also an international urgent need expressed by the international decision - making positions very clearly, and must be employed so as to create momentum, the world is groaning from the weight of immigration files , and terrorism and armed conflict , which reflected its security, its economy and the pattern of State has, .. and must employ all these data for the adoption of a historic compromise opens the prospect seriously for our peoples and the world. 
        post Daesh state is a historic national settlement that is all our mission stage, but it does not prevent nor guarantees bumpers to prevent collapse.[/rtl]
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