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The water conflict between the provinces... Early "bloody" consequences and an indicator of a frightening Iraqi future
December 02 2021
The water conflict between the provinces... Early "bloody" consequences and an indicator of a frightening Iraqi future
December 02 2021
The water deficit will be 80% (Facebook)
Ultra Iraq - Editorial Team
The real crisis has not yet begun, according to experts and specialists in water resources, as Iraq awaits a bleak future due to the decreasing water. Signs of Iraq reducing its cultivated areas began by 50%, but the “bloody consequences” of this crisis began early, amid expectations that water would dominate the throne of trouble. The new that awaits Iraq in the coming period.
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During the past days, about 20 quarrels were recorded between farmers in several governorates, which ended with the deaths of about 4 farmers and the injury of 9 farmers.
Iraq is close to depleting its water storage, which it collected in 2019 due to the heavy rains at the time, until the Ministry of Water Resources recently described the strategic storage as having reached “critical stages”, after more than two years of its use in various fields, while this is coupled with the continuous decrease of Iraq’s imports. Water from rivers coming from Iran and Turkey, due to the continuation of building dams and changing water courses.
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In earlier times, [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] spoke of expectations of the outbreak of “water wars” in the Middle East, and despite the absence of any indications or Iraqi desire for any tense steps of this kind towards Iran or Turkey, the model of these wars may have begun in the Iraqi interior.
Government-tribal tension and disputes between farmers
While the decline in water imports prompted the Ministry of Water Resources to prioritize and divide quotas between governorates and reduce them in varying proportions between one governorate and another, tensions emerged at the local level between farmers in the same governorate and between different governorates. It is described as the most water-transcending governorate,” and others from Diwaniyah. This dispute came about because of the water quotas, which led to verbal altercations and tangling of hands, before a security force was forced to fire live bullets to resolve the conflict.
Back in October, dozens of the people and clans of Maysan governorate organized a demonstration near the governor of Al-Kahla, in refusal to the quotas set for them, and they proceeded to intervene by themselves and open the gates of the regulator towards their agricultural lands, which are closed by the Ministry of Resources to provide sufficient water payments to ensure that the salt tongue is pushed away from the area. Basra, according to priorities set by the ministry, in a dangerous indicator and signs of a “clan-governmental” clash due to water.
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] indicate [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] about 20 quarrels have been recorded between farmers in several governorates during the past days, which ended with about 4 deaths and 9 injuries of farmers, due to disputes over water quotas, and began to develop and turn into a dispute between farmers’ clans.
Threatening a military intervention
Although these indicators have not yet cleared up, their depth is clearly evident from the responsible authorities, specifically the Ministry of Water Resources, which threatened to “militarily intervene” to resolve the issue of “excesses on water.”
The Minister of Water Resources, Mahdi Al-Hamdani, confirmed in statements to the official agency and followed by "Ultra Iraq", that "the abuses on water in Wasit Governorate have a significant, direct and tangible impact on the rest of the southern governorates and negatively affect the Basra Governorate."
The Minister of Resources pointed out that "everyone must understand that there is a real scarcity and water crisis in Iraq, which is a reality that came from climate change," stressing that "excessing the water quota will affect all of Iraq and is considered a thief in the eyes of the law, and we will take harsh measures against them in cooperation with the security forces." .
The government has already begun its first steps to use “force”, as Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kazemi directed, during the cabinet session held on Tuesday, November 30, the Joint Operations Command and the Ministry of Interior, to “initiate the campaign to fill the bypassed rivers, in coordination with the Ministry of Water Resources, and through Forces deployed in all governorates, as well as removing irregular roundabouts, raising all pumps that bypass the irrigation system, and not allowing any party outside the Ministry of Water Resources to interfere in these works.
The responsible authorities do not know.. and the water deficit will be 80% within 13 years
In an attempt to question the competent authorities about whether they referred to this type of conflict or turned to it, the spokesman for the Ministry of Interior, Khaled Al-Muhanna, said in an interview with "Ultra Iraq", that "there is no information from the Ministry of the Interior about such issues in a remarkable way." For consideration, it is possible that such cases were recorded in the governorates."
Regarding the depth of this crisis in the future and whether it will generate a new type of security problem, Al-Muhanna indicates that “future indicators in this regard are within the jurisdiction of the Ministry of Water Resources. We do not know whether the crisis will reach the extent of causing a security problem, but the Ministry of Interior will be ready to intervene at the time.”
For his part, the Ministry’s advisor, Aoun Diab, indicated in an interview with “Ultra Iraq” that “the ministry divides water quotas among the governorates according to the cultivated areas and the available water, as well as the privacy of each governorate, especially Basra,” adding that “there is a crisis and everyone must realize it.” and deal with it.”
On whether the ministry determines the cultivation of areas belonging to certain farmers and deprives others, Diab explains that “the ministry divides the quotas according to the criteria of the entire governorate, but the distribution of this quota within the governorate is the responsibility of the local government, where the quotas must be distributed equally, and the reduction applies to everyone. ".
While he confirms the absence of information with the Ministry about the outbreak of armed conflicts between farmers over water, he does not rule out the occurrence, considering that "the dispute over water is an eternal issue since ancient times."
To clarify the depth of the crisis more clearly, Iraqi water imports decreased by 40%, at a time when the total Iraqi water imports represented about 70 billion cubic meters annually, to decline at the present time to approximately 40 billion cubic meters only.
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The Ministry of Water Resources does not rule out the outbreak of armed conflicts between farmers over water
The Ministry of Water Resources indicates that after nearly 13 years, Iraq’s imports will decrease by an additional 30%, so that the total decrease in Iraqi water imports by 2035 will be approximately 70%, so that the total amount of water received by Iraq will not exceed 11 billion cubic meters, while it is Iraq’s need is more than 50 billion cubic meters, which means that the percentage of water imports at that time will be less than 20% compared to the country’s consumption need, taking into account the rising need for consumption of more than 50 billion cubic meters, as well as the increase in the number of nearly one million people annually in Iraq.
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At the end of last November, the Ministry of Water Resources said that Iran had completely cut off water from Iraq and did not share the damage with it, noting that its actions violate international norms.
The ministry's advisor, Aoun Diab Abdullah, said in a statement to the official newspaper, followed by "Ultra Iraq", that "the cuts have directly affected important vital areas such as Diyala, Badra, Jassan and Hawr Al-Hawizeh, in addition to the Shatt Al-Arab," adding that "Tehran's actions are in violation of international norms and covenants, The most important of these is the 1975 agreement, as well as its exploitation of the waters above the basin and the lack of consideration for the interests of the downstream areas.
He revealed "the decreasing of water reserves, especially in the Hamrin Dam on the Diyala River, whose waters are on the verge of drying up," noting that "the lack of rainfall and Iran cutting off the group of rivers feeding the Sirwan, is the cause of this problem," stressing that "the continued interruption of water imports. It may lead to forced migration from the south, especially within the marshlands threatened by drought.”
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