Will the Iraqi forces succeed in finding a way out of the political blockage?

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[size=52]Will the Iraqi forces succeed in finding a way out of the political blockage?[/size]

[size=52][size=48][size=31]Muqtada al-Sadr calls for a radical change of the system, the constitution and elections  [/size][/size]
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[size=45]Thousands of Muqtada al-Sadr's supporters stormed parliament for the second time in less than a week (AFP)[/size]

[size=45]The suffocating crisis that the political system in  [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] is going through has produced  hot events that have not brought anything new except the chaos that the country is going through and the citizen has coexisted with it with every election crisis.[/size]
[size=45]The Sadrist movement's demonstrators stormed  [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]  then  [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]  for the second time in a few days, after which the director of Sadr's office in Baghdad, Ibrahim al-Jabri, announced an open sit-in in Parliament, rejecting the candidate of the coordination framework, MP Muhammad Shiaa al-Sudani for the position of prime minister.[/size]
[size=45]The leader of the Sadrist movement,  [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] , called for a fundamental change of the political system, the constitution and elections, while he called on the Iraqi clans, security forces and the popular crowd, stressing not to repeat the tragedy of missing the first golden opportunity in 2016.[/size]
[size=45]Dimensions of the crisis[/size]
[size=45]The political researcher, Nabil Jabbar Al-Ali, acknowledged that “it is very difficult to find meeting points that end the differences and contribute to resolving the crisis in an early manner, and all the current calm efforts may fail early for reasons related to the dimensions of the multiple political crisis, as the crisis is related to its dimension related to his regime (the constitution) or after it. The other is related to the players’ understanding of that system and the assessment of the conditions for its implementation or the possibilities of modifying it, or even related to another dimension related to the behavior of those political forces with conflicting interests.”[/size]
[size=45]He added, "The size and retrenchment of the current political alignments, and the use of new pressure tools by some that transcend the limits of general democratic behavior, may be considered unacceptable by the other. Therefore, solving the crisis requires the parties to the conflict to give up their aspirations and reduce the ceiling of demands. As for the loss of one party to the conflict in favor of another party, it may not be palatable and may The parties push for escalation, leading to confrontation and clash.”[/size]
[size=45]Three scenarios[/size]
[size=45]In turn, political researcher Saleh Lafta said, “The political forces will not be unable to find a solution. What happens and events threaten their interests, privileges and gains, and they are not ready to burn what they have obtained or easily give up what they want in the future, and all parties are ready to negotiate to reach a solution. There are three scenarios that are likely. Either acceptance of Mustafa Al-Kazemi’s government or someone like him who does not represent the framework or the Sadrist movement will head the cabinet until new elections are held as soon as possible, and this is likely any compromise candidate, as happened in the 2018 elections without specifying the largest bloc. Adel Abdul-Mahdi was voted on “.[/size]
[size=45]As for the second scenario, according to a gesture, “it is to replace the Coordinating Framework candidate, Muhammad Shiaa al-Sudani, with another candidate accepted by al-Sadr, while ensuring the Sadrist movement’s participation in the next government and not denouncing it again with demonstrations until his government succeeds because all the blocs are convinced that any government formed without the approval of Muqtada al-Sadr will fall.” Easily after resorting to the street, or the Najaf authority interfering and expressing its opinion regarding who is ruling or who has the right to put forward the name of the prime minister, who will be accepted by all the conflicting blocs because they want it to be the crisis without being in the eyes of their masses afraid or retreating from their demands.[/size]
[size=45]A tsunami could sweep everyone away[/size]
[size=45]For his part, the Patriarch of the Chaldean Catholic Church in Iraq and the scientist Louis Raphael Sako, called for calm and responsible national dialogue.[/size]
[size=45]The Patriarchate's media said that "in an appeal made by His Beatitude Patriarch Cardinal Luis Raphael Sako, he urged the political leaders and religious authorities to remedy the blockage of the political horizon before a tsunami might sweep everyone away."[/size]
[size=45]He stressed "the necessity of politicians acknowledging the failure of the sectarian and quota approach that brought corruption and injustice."[/size]
[size=45]In addition, the independent MP, Raed Al-Maliki, affirmed his support for any step aimed at reforming the political system, while he considered that holding a parliament session outside Baghdad is illogical. Al-Maliki said during a press statement, "No one disagrees with the Iraqi political system's need for reform and change," noting that "regime change has been delayed and calls for its change are not the first."[/size]
[size=45]He added, "Our parliamentary position is to support any step or measure aimed at reforming the political system," stressing that "we do not support any non-peaceful action to achieve reform." Al-Maliki pointed out that "creating a power vacuum will not be accepted by al-Sadr."[/size]
[size=45]Regarding the possibility of holding a session of Parliament outside Baghdad, Al-Maliki said, “from a legal and constitutional point of view, it is permissible, but it is illogical,” adding, “The problem is not the place of a session.”[/size]
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