Hi Neno, I know we are dealing with a deck of cards, and who knows who shuffled them. My thoughts are the CBI has been talking about deleting the zeros - which to my mind, goes hand in hand with the IMF stating they have to be Art. 8 compliant and the WTO's requirement to be a full member, requires the tariffs be in place as well as being Art. 8 compliant. Being Art. 8 compliant means that the CBI has to drop the artificial peg to the US $ which the IMF placed on the dinar when they devalued the dinar when Iraq was invaded and the IMF/USA/UK took control of Iraq's Central Bank. The World Bank is on record stating that if the CBI doesn't drop the peg to the $, it will ruin the economy. Also, the CBI has said that it would drop the peg to the $ and back the dinar with a basket of currencies as well as possibly gold. If the CBI is going to "enhance the value" of the dinar, and become Art. 8 compliant, then I would think that the announcement from the Rafidain Bank re the launch of the MasterCard would be a key indicator that it could "be around the corner".
The following is an email I sent to my dinarian friends on where I thought we stood as of May 3 -
Hi everyone, this road has been a very long one - longer for some than others - I think we must be getting to the end of the road.
First, two years ago in May, the IMF told Iraq during its Art. 4 consultation that it had to become Art. 8 compliant as soon as possible - this means dropping the artificial peg to the U.S. dollar and revaluing its currency (making it international),
Then that June, Iraq came out of Chapter 7 - we all thought the RV would shortly happen. - What a let down.
Last summer the World Bank told Iraq it had to drop the peg to the U.S. dollar or it would ruin the economy.
Then towards the end of 2014 and the start of 2015, things heated up - the IMF and the Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) started working on "enhancing" the value of the dinar and the Parliament voted on many banking laws which the CBI needed to be in place. The Supreme Court of Iraq cleared Dr. Shabibi - the former Governor of the CBI of all wrong doing and he is now the Governor again. They still use others in the CBI to put out news briefs but Shabibi is the Governor.
During the April Spring 2015 IMF/World Bank meetings in Washington D.C., Shabibi was in attendance with the other central bank governors from the 188 countries that are members of the IMF/WB. The countries had their Art. 4 consultations and many other meetings were held.
As for Iraq - the country came out of those meetings in a very favorable position - the IMF/WB and the World Trade Organization (WTO) all seemed to be on board with helping Iraq "get going" - thus, this is the "state of affairs" as best as I can sum it up:
Iraq has been given the "green light" their words (not mine) to revalue the dinar and drop the peg to the U.S. dollar, the IMF has stated that to determine the worth and stability of a country - the following can be used: the wealth that is in the ground, the GDP (gross domestic product), the amount of money the country holds in foreign reserves, gold, etc. AND THAT TAKING LOANS SHOWS STABILITY OF A COUNTRY--WELL, the WORLD BANK THEN MADE A MULTIPLE BILLION DOLLAR LOAN to Iraq. Within days after these announcements, the Government of Iraq said the tariffs will be put in place in spite of opposition - they are in place and (the importers don't like it, but the government is holding firm.) After that announcement, the government said they were in the process of "becoming" a full member of the WTO and HAVING THE TARIFFS IN PLACE IS A REQUIREMENT -- ALSO, IS THE REQUIREMENT THAT THE COUNTRY BE IN ARTICLE 8 COMPLIANCE WITH THE IMF - for IRAQ, that means dropping the artificial peg to the U.S. dollar.
This past week there have been articles about Iraq planning on issuing large amounts of international and national bonds - and, following that big news is the news that they had applied for a sovereign credit rating 4 months ago - and (it appears, that one of the big 3 has potentially issued them a rating of -B). If this is true, then Iraq will have to open its financial books, and "put on its big boy pants" and become Art. 8 compliant in the very near future.
Also, one of Dr. Shabibi's goals before he would RV the currency was to bring the amount of the actual dinar down in Iraq from the trillions to the low billions. Dr. Shabibi gave the two month limitation for the withdrawal of the 50 dinar notes - March 1st to April 30th - that had to bring the amount of dinar circulating in Iraq down a lot (even though it wasn't really being used that much - it was still out in the market - not to mention all the investors around the world holding the 50 dinar notes). Since Iraq uses both the dinar and the dollar, it has been "easier" to replace the damaged dinar with dollars - AND NOW WE WAIT.
I hope this helps everyone see a better picture - PLEASE KEEP THE PRAYERS GOING.
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