After the "resignation" step, will al-Sadr move the Iraqi street?

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[size=52]After the "resignation" step, will al-Sadr move the Iraqi street?[/size]

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Iraqi supporters of al-Sadr celebrate on a Baghdad street by Quozh in the parliamentary elections - archive
[size=45]The repercussions of the step of the leader of the Sadrist movement, Muqtada al-Sadr, who asked his bloc's representatives to leave 73 seats in the Iraqi parliament, are still causing controversy in Iraq, reaching the point where leaders in large political blocs, such as the Al-Fateh bloc, asked for help from the Shiite religious authority in Najaf.[/size]
[size=45]And on Monday, Hadi al-Amiri, the leader of the Al-Fateh coalition, which won 17 seats in parliament, asked the religious authority in Najaf to “intervene,” according to a statement carried by [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] .[/size]
[size=45]Al-Amiri said in the statement, "Today, we need the kindness, care, wisdom and foresight of the reference to say its final word regarding the difficult political junctures Iraq is going through at the moment."[/size]
[size=45]Al-Amiri warned that “any emergency that threatens the political process means putting a complete history of sacrifices, victories, and the blood of martyrs on the palm of an imp, and recording setbacks that delight the enemy and hurt the friend.”[/size]
[size=45]Al-Amiri directed his statement on the occasion of the anniversary of the issuance of the fatwa of “sufficient jihad” in Iraq, in which the Najaf religious authority called for volunteering in the security forces after the fall of large areas of Iraq in 2014 to the hands of ISIS.[/size]
[size=45]On the same occasion, the leader of the Iraqi "Asaib" militia, Qais al-Khazali, issued warnings in a recorded statement in which he said that there is "now a new reality after the resignation of the Sadrist movement's representatives," and stressed that there are "real attempts to confuse the internal situation under the auspices of political figures."[/size]
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Hadi Al-Amiri asked the Shiite authority to intervene
[size=45]The Iraqi law refers to replacing the resigning representatives with “the biggest losers” from their constituencies, taking into account the calculations of the “quota” for women.[/size]
[size=45]According to unofficial statistics, the Al-Fateh coalition, consisting mostly of political arms of Shiite armed groups, won 12 seats, after the resignation of the Sadrist MPs, to raise its seats to 29 seats, while the State of Law coalition led by former Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki won 5 additional seats, bringing the total Its seats are 38, and the “State Forces” coalition led by former Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi and Shiite politician Ammar al-Hakim won 6 additional seats, bringing the total number of its seats to 10.[/size]
[size=45]The seats of the "Huqq" movement affiliated with the Hezbollah Brigades also increased, according to unofficial statistics, to 6 seats, instead of one.[/size]
[size=45]That is, the blocs of the "Coordination Framework of Shiite Forces" got 33 additional seats, in addition to the rise of new blocs that may ally themselves with them.[/size]
[size=45]According to the Iraqi political analyst and journalist, Ahmed Hussein, "Al-Maliki has become closer to heading the government than ever before."[/size]
[size=45]Hussein told Al-Hurra that "the resignation of the Sadrists completely changed the parliamentary balance, and al-Maliki may succeed in imposing his control over Parliament after the Sadrists were obstructing that," stressing, "Even if he did not nominate himself, the framework candidate has become closer to prime minister than ever." gone.”[/size]
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Fear of "destabilizing demonstrations" led by al-Sadr
[size=45]Iraqi experts fear an escalation of the situation, especially since “Al-Sadr may resort to the street,” according to some of them.[/size]
[size=45]The Iraqi political expert and analyst, Al-Fadl Ahmed, says that “the future of government formation is now related to the coordination framework, where they will be able to pass the President of the Republic and a ministerial cabinet in agreement with the Sunnis and the Kurds.”[/size]
[size=45]But the question, according to Al-Fadl, remains about “the desire of the framework itself to proceed with such an option, as Al-Sadr contributed throughout the previous governments to giving legitimacy to the political system through his participation in it and the silence of his large audience about it, and a government without Al-Sadr is expected to not last long, especially if he resorts to the street.” .[/size]
[size=45]Al-Fadl says that “the current legislative recess of Parliament gives the framework to negotiate with Al-Sadr to reverse his decision, but if Al-Sadr continues on his decision, this means that the conflict between the political forces has departed from the regime’s tools, and it may move to using other, more violent tools.”[/size]
[size=45]On Monday, Sadr's candidate for prime minister, Jaafar al-Sadr, a cousin of the Shiite cleric, currently the Iraqi ambassador in London, said he would withdraw his candidacy.[/size]

[size=45]Under the Iraqi parliamentary system, a president must be elected by parliament, then the president nominates a prime minister from the majority and parliament votes on his nomination.[/size]
[size=45]The dispute over the personality of the new president of the republic was one of the most prominent problems that led to the current blockage, after the framework wanted to keep the current president, Barham Salih, who is a Kurd, in his position, but the Sadrist-Sunni-Kurdish alliance refused.[/size]
[size=45]Al-Sadr's announcement came after months of political paralysis that highlighted a flaw in the Iraqi political system and the fragmentation of multiple Shiite political blocs, according  to the [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]  , which said that these divisions among Shiites have replaced sectarian tensions between Sunni and Shiite groups in the past years as a major source of Iraqi instability. .[/size]
[size=45]The newspaper says that "it was not immediately clear whether the resignations were just a negotiating tactic on the part of al-Sadr or a real break with parliamentary politics."[/size]
[size=45]The newspaper echoed fears that Sadr's withdrawal and his announcement that he would close most of the Sadrist movement's offices across the country could mean he would replace political negotiations with destabilizing street protests — something Sadr has used to pressure, according to the newspaper.[/size]
[size=45]The newspaper quoted Faisal al-Istrabadi, director of the Center for Middle Eastern Studies at Indiana University, as saying, "With the Sadrists apparently out of the actual political process, history says they will take to the streets."[/size]
[size=45]He added, "The question is, are they still in official politics, or will they take to the streets with their weapons?"[/size]
[size=45]Analysts described to the newspaper the political turmoil sparked by al-Sadr's move as one of the most important and potentially destabilizing developments since the election of Shiite-led Iraqi governments after the overthrow of Saddam Hussein.[/size]
[size=45]It quoted Randa Selim, a senior fellow at the Middle East Institute in Washington, as saying that the two sides of the dispute "are now heavily armed, and in the past, both sides have shown a willingness to do whatever it takes to maintain power."[/size]
[size=45]Zaid Al-Ali, author of the book “The Struggle for the Future of Iraq,” was quoted as saying that the divisions are a sign of Iran’s weak influence on Iraqi politics, as Tehran tried to prevent divisions between Iraqi Shiite groups that could mitigate Shiite influence in a multi-sectarian and ethnic Iraq or that It could allow any one Shiite group to become very powerful.[/size]


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