Khamenei's health draws attention on the succession of the Supreme Leader in Iran

Khamenei's health draws attention on the succession of the Supreme Leader in Iran


BAGHDAD (Reuters) -



Under raging in Iran's election campaign fire to win the presidency, flames ignite other fires more fonder and the gravity of which is related to those who will succeed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, with his age health and putting it bad.

Any shift will come in the most dangerous time of the history of Iran, which spanned the length of 35 years, because of what is going on from a local political and social changes unprecedented, especially because of the regional and international events.

Because of doubts about the health of Khamenei, Iran changed its priorities to care primarily to search for a new top leader.

Tehran follows an unusual way of dealing with the matter so as to give a brief news pursuing the establishment of Khamenei in the hospital and then leaving him after the success of the operation so that shows that everything is going well. And it is at the same time preparing the country and the outside world psychologically for the inevitable change. Even Khamenei himself may wish to prepare his successor so make sure not to deviate from the deep at your state.

In the follow-up to these developments, the US international policy journal (Foreign Affairs) published a lengthy report monitored the developments of the situation in Iran and how the work is under way to determine who will be the Supreme Leader of the third.

Khomeini's successor

On the seventeenth of July 2016 Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has reached the age of 77. Over a decade has spread rumors about his suffering from cancer, and in 2014 an Iranian news agency published pictures of him while recovering from surgery in the prostate.

Although the diagnosis of Khamenei is still secretive it severely, but the government deals with the issue of succession urgency is clear.

In late December 2015, Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani touched on the taboo subject is usually when publicly that body within the Assembly of Experts, the Council entrusted with the selection of the Supreme Leader, it was already considering potential successors approved.

In last March, and after the election of new members of the Council for a term of eight years, Khamenei himself described the possibility that members of the Council have to choose his replacement as "not a few."

It will represent the death of Khamenei, the biggest political change in the Islamic Republic since the death of former Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khomeini, the founding father of the Islamic Revolution in 1989.

The position of importance from the fact that the Supreme Leader is the most powerful person in the country and has absolute powers affecting each party in the state and determines the internal and political orientations of Iran.

The deep state does not trust Hassan Khomeini and Hassan Rowhani, because of the passions reform while Mojtaba has no popular support base. And is likely to be the supreme leader and the next one of three: Sadeq Larijani and Mahmoud Hashemi Shahroudi and Ibrahim key

But it does not reassure Sanam Vakil and Hussein Rasim Iranians who are looking towards Iran more friendly and moderate and be disappointed probably. Since Khamenei took power in 1989, he established a steadily superstructure security and intelligence and economic complex consisting of loyal followers strongly and his definition of the Islamic Republic.

These can be the network described as "deep state." This will ensure the state that holds the person who will succeed her visions Khamenehi the same hard-line and be committed to the protection of their interests. The Reuters news agency reported days ago, in their coverage of the campaigns of presidential elections to be held on May 19, 2017 Iran, the Revolutionary Guard is planning to overthrow the Iranian president to control who will succeed Khamenei.

Back to the past

When Khomeini died observers think that Khamenei is just an alternative among several possible alternatives. And they did not believe that even more fortunate. It was Khamenei, who was then a cleric average age of 50 years lacks charisma and stature of Khomeini. But during the meeting on June 4, 1989 the day after the death of Khomeini, Rafsanjani, who is close to Khomeini told the Council that Khomeini, Khamenei was considered eligible for the post. Khamenei Group was elected by 60 votes to 14.

Khamenei has vowed to maintain stability as a guide higher, he said in a speech in the year when he took office, "I assure you that Iran is proceeding on the path of the Islamic Revolution and did not deviate from its principles." But, in fact, Khamenei immediately began to introduce radical changes to the Iranian political system.

Given Khamenei's medium rank as a man of religion, as it holds only the title of ayatollah, not Ayatollah, or the reference, was elected in practice as a violation of the Iranian constitution. Therefore, the political establishment quickly put forward a set of constitutional amendments that Khomeini had already approved in an attempt to reduce partisan tensions after his death, a referendum.

These amendments were not limited to only reduce the religious qualifications of the supreme leader, but also increased the powers of the post. And put an unprecedented amount of power in the hands of the new Supreme Leader. During the following years, Khamenei has benefited a lot through their use.

The rise of the deep state

Under the rule of Khomeini, Iran was divided. On the left there are those who seek to maintain state control of the economy and impose moderate policies. On the right, those were alarmed by government intervention in the economy, but they preferred Sharia-inspired internal policy.

Khomeini held together at the summit, the puppet regimes of the religious establishment with the support of granting each party some influence. And if a shared sense of suffering during the Iran-Iraq war, along with Khomeini's personality and tremendous personal impact without the appearance of tensions on the surface during the period of his rule. But beneath the surface were deep divisions.

With the departure of Khomeini's internal party competition has entered a new stage, and began Khamenei gradually consolidate his power. During the first period of the presidency of Rafsanjani between 1989 and 1993, the two men coexist peacefully, as Khamenei's support, Rafsanjani plans cautiously after the war to liberate the economy, regional integration and tolerance with its efforts to promote cultural emancipation. However, the opposition to the policy of liberal Rafsanjani began to rise within the ranks of militant allies, who won a majority in parliament in 1992.

After two years, Khamenei, Rafsanjani publicly opposed with regard to the budget, and criticized him because of the increasing economic hardship and widespread corruption.

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