Mustafa Fak: May 12 is a milestone in the life of Iraq .. either an Iranian hegemony or an independent personality
April 05 2018 8:25 PM
April 05 2018 8:25 PM
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[rtl][rtl]Started by مصطفى فحص[/rtl]
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In his new article, "Iraq and Iran: Features Beyond May 12," Mustafa Fakas stops at a crucial point: Iran, in the midst of its battle with the United States of America, wants an Iraq that is fully compliant with its orders and influence. Which hit the desire of Prime Minister Haider Abadi, who went public, to confirm Iraq's keenness on neutrality in the full conflict between Washington and Tehran.
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Ibrahim Al - Obaidi
Mustafa Fass writes:
May 12 is a very important stage in the life of Iraq .. either Iranian hegemony or an independent personality
In his new article, "Iraq and Iran: Features Beyond May 12," Mustafa Fakas stops at a crucial point: Iran, in the midst of its battle with the United States of America, wants an Iraq that is fully compliant with its orders and influence. Which hit the desire of Prime Minister Haider Abadi, who went public, to confirm Iraq's keenness on neutrality in the full conflict between Washington and Tehran.
Abadi, according to Mustafa Fak, rejected an Iranian offer to ignore the neutrality between Washington and Tehran in return for standing behind him in the upcoming elections.
Which satisfied the Iraqi leader, Mr. Muqtada al-Sadr, came out in favor of Abadi's policy and declared in a statement that "Iraq must maintain its independence, and must not remain a battlefield, and open to all its neighbors in order"
Therefore, the elections of May 12 next will be a real phase separating the relations between Iraq and Iran before the elections and relations between the two countries after ..
And to the text of the article
In the 6th century BC, Chinese philosopher and philosopher Sun Tzu published his famous book The Art of War, in which he painted the armies of high-altitude armies, always heading toward the low or flatlands, suspicious of the flow of rivers flowing from top to bottom. The need for permanent invaders of flat lands is part of their economic considerations associated with the movement of production. Flatlands are richer than plateaus and mountains, and they are always the focus of the greed of their highland neighbors because of their constant need for supplies. Iraq historically known as the land of blackness has paid the price of the ambitions of its neighbors, the Anatolian plateau and the Iranian plateau, who fought several wars for control, using ideological, social, religious and cultural justification for their economic and geostrategic struggle.
The Ottoman conflict (Safavid-Qajari) continued to rage on Arab cities in Mesopotamia until the 19th century, until the upper section of the Qajaris recognized their religious, cultural and social influence on Iraq, provided that it alone had the political decision, leading to a state of political stability. Iraq continued until after the coup of 1958, which opened the door to the tyranny of militarism until the fall of the Baath 2003, which fell with the geopolitical balance that governed the relationship between the States formed against the background of the Ottoman political legacy after the First World War, the conflict returned to Iraq and rushed cleanse N again to control it and annex it to its expansion.
After 14 years of change, Tehran faces a popular and political rejection of its dominance over Iraq. The gap between it and Iraqi political elites is expanding due to its refusal to read the new Iraqi transformations associated with the re-shaping of the Iraqi personality and the restoration of the state to its national interests and geographical position. Which is interpreted by Tehran as a negative attitude by the Iraqi government and its president, whose internal and external choices are not concerned with Iranian pressure.
Abadi's adherence to the option of neutrality and turning it into a stable political base in Iraq's regional and international relations, if he wins a second round, to double the volume of Iranian tension in the next phase because of concern about the consequences of Washington's review of the terms of the nuclear agreement mid-next month. In a new attempt to circumvent the Iraqi situation, Tehran sent Vice President Ishaq Jahangir with eight ministers from the Rohani government to Baghdad to meet with Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi, and it seems that Jhangir has asked his leadership to Abadi to abandon the policy of neutrality in the conflict between Tehran and Washington, Versus Iranian support for him to reach a second round. Abadi refused to offer Jahangir and his adherence to the option of neutrality was met with a positive reaction by Najaf, which was reflected directly on the positions of the Shiite political forces, which affect the popular, announced the leader of the Sadrist movement Moqtada al-Sadr in a statement a few days ago that «Iraq must maintain its independence, "In the same context, but in a flexible diplomatic language that calls for dialogue between Riyadh and Tehran, the leader of the National Wisdom Movement, Ammar al-Hakim, stressed that" a united and recuperative Iraq needs us to complete our openness to the world on the basis of common interests Which make a To Iraq a bridge for the adversaries and the meeting place of all, and avoid the negative effects of regional and international conflicts ».
Sadr and al-Hakim follow the speed with which the new Iraqi interior is formed. They know that they can not cope with it or the partnership in making these transformations without a third partner is probably Haider al-Abadi, who represents the power that can carry out the political trade-off. Between Hakim and Sadr after May 12, the fact that Abbadi will provide them with a convenient location in the executive branch in line with the slogans of the stage held by the Iraqi voter and adopted by the reference in Najaf.
Iraqi writer and journalist Mashreq Abbas describes the stage after the legislative elections on May 12 as the post-election elections. In other words, the end of the individual voting stage and the move to the ballot of blocs that will exceed the principle of sizes for the benefit of the situation and the project. On the imposition of sizes and position together, or that Tehran has another opinion?
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