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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

Welcome to the Neno's Place!

Neno's Place Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality


Neno

I can be reached by phone or text 8am-7pm cst 972-768-9772 or, once joining the board I can be reached by a (PM) Private Message.

Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

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    Highlighted the political risks that could shake global markets in 2019

    Rocky
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         Highlighted the political risks that could shake global markets in 2019 Empty Highlighted the political risks that could shake global markets in 2019

    Post by Rocky Sat 29 Dec 2018, 1:31 am

    Highlighted the political risks that could shake global markets in 2019

         Highlighted the political risks that could shake global markets in 2019 12123
    Wall 


    The withdrawal of political risks to the world's sky in 2018 amid uncertainties threatens to cast its shadow on global economic growth next year, which was followed by many warnings for its future.
    Here is a look at the political flash points that could hinder growth and increase the pain of the global economy next year.
     
    Expected controversy within the US Congress
    The change of control in the House of Representatives after last November's election, which gives the Democrats the legislative power for the first time in eight years, complicates the political image of the United States in the next two years.
    The Democrats' takeover of the House of Representatives could open the way for investigations into President Donald Trump's condemnation, presidential campaign and family work, although if charges go so far, Trump's final fate will lie with the Republican-dominated Senate.
    Assuming a clash between Democrats and Republicans and the Trump administration, the United States is on the verge of a two-year stalemate, says Ulrich Lichtman, analyst at Commerzbank.
    Thus, democratic laws will die from the House of Representatives in the Senate and Republican ideas will end from the Senate in the House of Representatives
     So there may be no hope of additional tax cuts and increased spending on infrastructure, but the preparation for periodic spells of political drama and the closure of the government that has already begun and threatened Trump to lengthen, which would disrupt its basic functions and cast a shadow over the economy.
    There will be a great challenge to lead both parties to pass bills to finance government and other operations. But while the disagreement within Congress is not necessarily bad for the economy, if no good legislation is passed, there will be nothing harmful.
    But is the main political threat to the economy "psychologically to some extent." Will the rhetorical and legal wrangling between the parties in Congress and the Democratic Party and the Trump administration become so severe as to undermine the optimism of the country's business and consumers? "According to Giuseppe Tervesani, "He said.
    If one thing Democrats and Republicans agree on is that China's rise poses a challenge to the entire United States, Trump may use this common ground in Congress to gain support in the upcoming presidential election by tackling Beijing and curbing its technological and commercial practices.
    In addition, the US president faces a major challenge to win the support of citizens, while a recent poll by the Independent newspaper showed that 60 percent of Americans do not want Trump to be president in 2020.
    Unusually in campaigning, Trump launched early in early 2017, raised funds from donations and launched two ad campaigns for the 2020 presidential race under the slogan "Save America."
     
    Internal conflict in the European Union
    The European Union enters in 2019 and its lobby is full of problems and political issues in the four largest economies within the bloc.
    The British political scene over the UK's exit from the EU on the world stage was overshadowed by uncertainty as to how it would approach March 29.
    The main point on the bricast is the British parliament's scheduled vote in mid-January. Its decision would determine the fate of the exit agreement after it was backed by the European Union, which decided to raise its hand and throw the ball at the British prime minister's court.
    It is true that the concessions come at the last minute, but the unfavorable bricast deal will have a negative impact on the economy, which could be in the worst-case scenario, the UK economy shrank by 8% within months of the date of exit, according to the Bank of England.
    In Rome, the populist government is struggling to get approval from the Italian House of Representatives on the draft budget before it puts 2018 after winning Senate support following an agreement with the European Commission after a months-long dispute.
    Meanwhile, in Europe's largest economy, attention has shifted to Angela Merkel's successor, Anjrit Kramp Karinbauer, in the Christian Democratic Union party, especially on the issue of immigration, and how to cooperate with Merkel until her term ends in 2021 after she announced her intention to run again for the post.
    Just a few weeks ago, the bloody protests in France, known as the "yellow jackets," which could lead to a decline in the economic growth of half according to the National Statistics Institute, with the recent measures taken by French President Emmanuel Marcon to appease the demonstrators. The French fiscal deficit is making it into a clash with European Union rules.
     
    Elections determine the fate of emerging markets
    Next year many emerging economies will see major elections, which may have far-reaching effects on their political position and the stability of their markets.
    Among those who will go to the polls are countries led by Argentina, India, Indonesia, South Africa and Nigeria.
    "The theory is very simple," said Anthony Peters, an independent analyst at Blocx. "Emerging market assets have already suffered severe losses, so the downside if things get worse is little. If things recover, they have the potential to return. Strengthen itself again ".
    Despite statements by the US Treasury Department that it is ready to lift sanctions on one of Russia's largest companies, United Rosal, investors will be wary of Congressional moves if the investigation of Robert Mueller's Kremlin intervention in the 2016 US election confirms this, New sanctions, including restrictions on the circulation of debt or sovereign Russian banks.
    But China remains the biggest issue in emerging markets because of its trade dispute with the United States. Chinese President Xi Jinping still defies Washington, telling some of the country's most powerful military and trade figures that Beijing will not bow to US trade and investment demands quickly, "He said.
    The United States and China signed a three-month trade truce agreement to study how to end the trade dispute.
    Source: Mubasher


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