Where do economists focus their research: They don't necessarily always look in the right places.
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.] |
There is an old joke that a policeman saw a drunk man looking for his keys under a lamppost and offered to help find them. After a few fruitless minutes, the officer asked the man if he was sure he had thrown his keys at that particular location. The man replied, "No, I lost them in the garden." So why are you looking for it here, the officer asked him. The man replied, "Because this is where the light is." For years, this story has been used to illustrate a simple question of great relevance to social science researchers: What you find depends on where you look. For much of the history of economic research, economists have studied a very small group of countries. An analysis by The Economist of Britain of more than 900,000 papers published in economic journals found that, as of 1990, nearly two-thirds of the papers published focused on wealthy English-speaking countries: America, Australia, Britain, Canada and New Zealand .
The boom in the developing world and a greater focus in economics research on empirical research has expanded the coverage of "lamp light." The share of scholarly journals listing countries in the Middle East, Africa, Asia or Latin America has risen from 17% in 1990 to 41% today. However, many parts of the world, such as some poor African countries, remain largely underestimated. Some countries get more attention than others, even within the same regions. A recent Africa survey conducted by Obi Porteous of Middlebury College in California found that 65% of research papers on African economies published in the five leading economic journals focus on just five countries: Kenya, South Africa, Ghana, Uganda and Malawi. Forgetting to study places may be a blessing: economists ’interest has not always been followed by economic success. But the more countries in the world that economists study, the better the direction of their research is likely.
Economic research patterns are mostly explained by a small number of factors. The size of a country's economy is the most important, accounting for nearly 80% of the variance in research interest. The importance of economic output in shaping research options has a certain logic. Developing and complex economies provide rich variants for researchers to explore. If the lessons learned from research on large economies can be translated into better policies in those countries, then such research will benefit more people than if researchers focus their efforts on smaller economies (about half of humanity lives in the ten largest economies in the world. ). Data quality and availability are also important, although it is less influential than economic size, as is the case with a country's use of the English language. About 90% of research papers published in leading scientific journals are written in the English language.
Professional incentives play a role as well. A World Bank analysis of more than 76,000 experimental research papers published between 1985 and 2004 found that the top five economic journals published about 6.5% of all papers written about the United States during that period, compared to only 1.5% of papers about other countries. Senior economists are likely to write about the United States. Even if the results of the analysis are adjusted based on the prestige of the research book, this does not completely eliminate the research focus gap.
Do countries that get less attention necessarily suffer as a result? The recent increase in research on the developing world has not been cheap. This has been driven, in part, by the emergence of controlled randomized trials, in which researchers randomly distribute participants into different groups, and only some receive "treatments" (such as a small loan or access to educational opportunities). Well-constructed experiences can provide valuable guidance on how best to mitigate the worst harms of poverty. However, critics argue that such experiences provide little information on how to achieve sustainable economic development. They also pose ethical questions: as to whether the desperate and governments can really provide information voluntarily. Professor Angus Deaton, a 2019 Nobel Prize winner, noted that such experiments are almost always performed.
Nevertheless, countries with bad policies will benefit the most from careful testing of how those policies have failed. Regional success stories, such as the experience of Chile or the Czech Republic, are receiving much more attention than researchers would expect due to their basic characteristics related to failed trials in the same regions, such as Venezuela or Belarus. Reform-minded governments in ill-considered countries can falter, if they come to power, due to the paucity of good research on them, which shows how past pitfalls have contributed to creating and sustaining the current poverty. Research biases may also mean that very little light is shed on the failures of interventions by large and influential institutions such as the International Monetary Fund that may have exacerbated the problems of struggling countries.
You have to pay attention. In fact, another reason economists spend more time studying countries that have not been studied before is that expanding research horizons would improve the profession of economists themselves, thus enabling economists to better provide their services to governments. There are many unanswered questions in economics about some matters of humanity that have received little attention. The 70 least-studied countries in economic research account for only 1% of all cited in economic papers published over the past three decades .
Although economists' increasing focus on empirical research is welcomed, the focus of research within the "spotlight" provided by the data means that some questions are asked more than others: in particular, those that can be answered through statistical analysis. Attempts to pay more attention to countries that are least able to provide high-quality data, which often face difficult paths to development, will force economists to approach matters through qualitative rather than quantitative studies. If the important contributions of research to development matters come from difficult-to-measure differences in cultural factors, then geographically focused studies will have difficulty detecting them. Therefore, both the world and the economics profession will be poorer because of this.
* Professor of Economics and Political Science, Kansas State University, USA.
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
Today at 5:15 am by Rocky
» Two new rounds of oil and gas investment
Today at 5:12 am by Rocky
» Securities Commission: A strategy to transform Iraq into a regional investment center
Today at 5:09 am by Rocky
» Political alliance talks about deciding the parliament presidency
Today at 5:06 am by Rocky
» US forces hinder Iraqi forces' pursuit of ISIS
Today at 5:04 am by Rocky
» Foreign Relations renews its call to preserve Iraq's sovereignty
Today at 5:03 am by Rocky
» Abdul Wahid: Two ruling families seized the salaries of the region’s employees
Today at 5:02 am by Rocky
» End of the state of alert among security formations in Iraq
Today at 4:59 am by Rocky
» Inauguration of the first copper and cable factory in the Kurdistan Region and Iraq
Today at 4:58 am by Rocky
» Kurdistan Regional Government reveals upcoming tripartite meeting to resume oil exports
Today at 4:57 am by Rocky
» "Al-Eqtisad News" publishes the full decisions of the Cabinet session
Today at 4:55 am by Rocky
» Finance Committee: Discussing 2025 budget schedules to begin next month
Today at 4:53 am by Rocky
» 6,000 job positions to appoint top students and certificate holders.. These are the details
Today at 4:51 am by Rocky
» Iraq.. Manufacturing oil well complexes by local hands
Today at 4:50 am by Rocky
» Iraq is ranked 6th in the Arab world and 37th globally in labor force statistics 2024
Today at 4:49 am by Rocky
» State Administration Coalition confirms unity of Iraqi position
Today at 4:47 am by Rocky
» 6 thousand job positions to appoint top students and certificate holders
Today at 4:45 am by Rocky
» 4 new industrial cities
Today at 4:44 am by Rocky
» Implementation of 6 major projects in the capital
Today at 4:42 am by Rocky
» Maysan trains 920 young people to find job opportunities
Today at 4:41 am by Rocky
» Inventing an advanced device in the field of digital communications
Today at 4:40 am by Rocky
» Planning receives 125,000 tablets for the general population census
Today at 4:39 am by Rocky
» Committee to count the number of private public transport vehicles in the country
Today at 4:37 am by Rocky
» Government moves to build 6 new refineries
Today at 4:36 am by Rocky
» Cabinet approves national initiative to support energy and reduce emissions
Today at 4:35 am by Rocky
» Al-Sudani receives the Spanish Ambassador to Iraq and stresses the need for the European Union to ta
Today at 4:33 am by Rocky
» The Ministry of Oil discusses plans and programs to advance refinery sector projects
Today at 4:32 am by Rocky
» The Council of Ministers decides to increase the capital of the Trade Bank of Iraq by 500 billion di
Today at 4:30 am by Rocky
» The President of the Republic confirms to the National Security Advisor that the stability of Iraq i
Today at 4:29 am by Rocky
» Benefiting from the ISIS experience... Türkiye exploits the tension in the region to expand in Kurdi
Today at 4:26 am by Rocky
» Karbala.. Integrity Commission arrests a broker in the Real Estate Registration Directorate and moni
Today at 4:24 am by Rocky
» Al-Sudani: There is a need for the European Union to take more steps to stop the Zionist aggression
Today at 4:23 am by Rocky
» "Leave the money exchanges behind you".. A specialist proposes a "treatment" for the rise of the dol
Today at 4:21 am by Rocky
» Prices are unstable.. The dollar soars by 20 thousand from the official price
Today at 4:20 am by Rocky
» Iraqi oil plummets as Iran-Israel conflict escalates
Today at 4:19 am by Rocky
» Chairman of the Federal Financial Supervision Authority meets with the Head of the Kurdistan Regiona
Today at 4:17 am by Rocky
» Fox News: The Pentagon still refuses to disclose the number of its forces stationed in Iraq
Today at 4:15 am by Rocky
» Ghazi Ajil Al-Yawar.. The first president of Iraq after the American invasion
Today at 4:14 am by Rocky
» US Forces in Iraq 2003-2024
Today at 4:12 am by Rocky
» Al-Sudani directs to “raise” the readiness of Iraqi forces
Today at 4:11 am by Rocky
» Iraq establishes a bank fund to support Gaza and Lebanon
Today at 4:10 am by Rocky
» House and shop rents reach record prices in Baghdad.. Who controls the real estate market?
Today at 4:09 am by Rocky
» Iraq is moving towards new legislation to combat climate change
Today at 4:08 am by Rocky
» Rafidain: Launching social assistance salaries
Today at 4:07 am by Rocky
» The Federal Service Council reveals 6,000 job positions
Today at 4:05 am by Rocky
» The President of the Supreme Judicial Council receives the President of the Iraqi Journalists Syndic
Today at 4:04 am by Rocky
» Al-Sudani gives 48 hours to identify those responsible for security breach in Baghdad
Today at 4:03 am by Rocky
» Sudanese government to suspend official work on October 3
Today at 4:02 am by Rocky
» Ministry of Transport: We have begun clearing Iraqi airspace of arriving, departing and transiting a
Today at 4:01 am by Rocky
» Cabinet decisions for today
Today at 4:00 am by Rocky
» Al-Sudani visits the Joint Operations Command headquarters in Baghdad
Today at 3:58 am by Rocky
» Al-Sudani directs to control and raise the level of security capabilities
Today at 3:56 am by Rocky
» 2025 schedules to be discussed soon...a proactive step to guarantee employees' salaries
Today at 3:53 am by Rocky
» House of Representatives votes on Personal Status Law today
Today at 3:52 am by Rocky
» A new rise in the price of the dollar against the dinar in the Iraqi markets
Today at 3:50 am by Rocky
» 72 various rumors recorded during the current week in Iraq
Today at 3:49 am by Rocky
» Al-Sudani's government... achievements on various levels
Today at 3:48 am by Rocky
» utube 9/28/24 MM&C IQD Update News -Iraq PM - $83 Billion 3 Years - Stability - Global Contracts -
Yesterday at 7:17 am by Rocky
» MP: Strategic facilities in Iraq are fully secured
Yesterday at 7:07 am by Rocky
» Central Bank of Iraq sells more than $250 million in auction today
Yesterday at 7:05 am by Rocky
» Iraq is the fifth largest oil supplier to South Korea in the month
Yesterday at 7:04 am by Rocky
» Launch of the October social assistance payment
Yesterday at 7:03 am by Rocky
» Al-Sudani's advisor explains: Did electronic payment procedures contribute to preserving the dinar's
Yesterday at 7:02 am by Rocky
» Baghdad funds Erbil with 243 billion dinars to pay salaries of the region’s employees
Yesterday at 6:58 am by Rocky
» The Council of Ministers holds its regular session headed by Al-Sudani
Yesterday at 6:56 am by Rocky
» Prime Minister Makes Phone Call to Jordanian King
Yesterday at 6:55 am by Rocky
» Commerce announces launch of new food basket
Yesterday at 6:54 am by Rocky
» Warning to Iraqis: New ways to steal your money and smuggle it abroad
Yesterday at 6:50 am by Rocky
» Former MP: Parliament presidency decision postponed until further notice due to recent events
Yesterday at 5:10 am by Rocky
» Al-Kubaisi: Al-Halbousi has no choice but to support Al-Mashhadani for the presidency of Parliament
Yesterday at 5:09 am by Rocky
» Coordination Framework Leader: Weakness in Cybersecurity Equals Danger of Terrorism
Yesterday at 5:08 am by Rocky
» MP confirms proceeding with questioning the Minister of Transport
Yesterday at 5:06 am by Rocky
» Parliamentary complaint against the Minister of Finance due to the delay in releasing allocations to
Yesterday at 5:05 am by Rocky
» Document: Al-Sadr sues an Iraqi Foreign Ministry employee who refused to interrupt Netanyahu’s speec
Yesterday at 5:03 am by Rocky
» Nechirvan Barzani discusses several issues with the Russian ambassador, including the Kurdistan elec
Yesterday at 5:02 am by Rocky
» Al-Fartousi: There are no hazardous materials in Iraqi ports
Yesterday at 5:00 am by Rocky
» Two rounds of licensing for oil and gas investment in the next phase
Yesterday at 4:58 am by Rocky
» World Green Economy Summit Announces Program for 10th Session
Yesterday at 4:57 am by Rocky
» Minister of Industry counts the number of profitable government companies: I do not support their pr
Yesterday at 4:55 am by Rocky
» This is their value.. 9 American and Asian investment funds trade in the Iraqi market
Yesterday at 4:54 am by Rocky
» Minister of Planning: We have moved forward to draw a new map of the population reality in Iraq
Yesterday at 4:53 am by Rocky
» Completing the procedures for raising pensioners’ salaries in Iraq
Yesterday at 4:52 am by Rocky
» Start accepting service purchase requests
Yesterday at 4:49 am by Rocky
» State Administration Coalition confirms unity of Iraqi position
Yesterday at 4:47 am by Rocky
» Establishing 19 schools with international standards in Kirkuk
Yesterday at 4:45 am by Rocky
» Decrease in illiteracy rates in the region
Yesterday at 4:44 am by Rocky
» Purchase of service for insured workers for retirement purposes
Yesterday at 4:43 am by Rocky
» Implementation of 6 major projects in the capital
Yesterday at 4:41 am by Rocky
» Iraqi oil rebounds amid Middle East escalation
Yesterday at 4:38 am by Rocky
» Baghdad Today publishes the names of those covered by income-generating loans in the Ministry of Lab
Yesterday at 4:37 am by Rocky
» The crisis of fleeing the land of the cedars.. Kurdistan's eye on Lebanese investors, but! - Urgent
Yesterday at 4:35 am by Rocky
» "Air Peak" Enters the Skies of Two US Forces Bases in Iraq
Yesterday at 4:33 am by Rocky
» Revealing the number of citizens in the Hasabi project.. a different number to satisfy Baghdad
Yesterday at 4:31 am by Rocky
» An expert reveals the reason for the fragility of the Iraqi market: Countries want imports to remain
Yesterday at 4:30 am by Rocky
» Market Forces Committee recommends holding an Iraqi-Turkish forum in Baghdad
Yesterday at 4:28 am by Rocky
» Expert proposes a single proposal to confront the decline in oil prices and issues a warning to prod
Yesterday at 4:26 am by Rocky
» Head of Erbil Chamber of Commerce reveals steps to develop trade relations with Russia
Yesterday at 4:24 am by Rocky
» In Al-Sudani’s office, the State Administration Coalition discusses “dangerous” developments in the
Yesterday at 4:23 am by Rocky
» Maxim Malarjuk: Russia has made remarkable progress in the energy sector in the Kurdistan Region Sep
Yesterday at 4:21 am by Rocky