A year since the Iraq crisis..a dangerous political confrontation and the future of the country is a

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[size=52]A year since the Iraq crisis..a dangerous political confrontation and the future of the country is ambiguous[/size]

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Supporters of the Sadrist movement during the storming of the Iraqi Republican Palace at the end of last August
[size=45]A year ago, Iraqis voted in early elections, hoping to end a political crisis that erupted two years earlier, but after the results appeared, Iraq entered a political crisis whose details became more complex day after day.[/size]
[size=45]Iraq is still without a government so far, and there is no prospect of its formation soon, according to Iraqi journalist Mustafa Nasser.[/size]
[size=45]Nasser told Al-Hurra that, “Despite the great media infusion by the parties of the coordination framework regarding the imminent achievement of agreements and the formation of the government, the data says otherwise, the current crisis will not end except by accepting the conditions of Al-Sadr, and going to new early elections, and thus the coordination framework will be Faced with a new moral, material and political loss.[/size]
[size=45]The new loss, if it occurs, threatens the unrest that Iraqis have experienced since the voting process ended, and perhaps before it even began.[/size]
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The turnout in the Iraqi elections reached 43%

The election

[size=45]The Iraqi parties agreed to hold early elections after naming Mustafa Al-Kazemi to head the Iraqi government to succeed its former president, Adel Abdul-Mahdi, whose government was toppled by demonstrations that lasted more than a year.[/size]
[size=45]The dispute over a replacement for Abdul Mahdi almost led to a fight, as Al-Sadr Al-Kazemi - at the time director of intelligence - supported the blocs, which are currently known as the Shiite framework, another candidate.[/size]
[size=45]Several candidates for the position did not pass, some of whom were officially appointed, such as Muhammad Allawi, and some of them reached advanced degrees.[/size]
[size=45]A year after Al-Kazemi’s election, the elections were held on October 10, 2021, amid a relatively large boycott, and the Sadrist movement became the largest bloc in Parliament with 73 seats.[/size]
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The Sadrist movement's deputies wore shrouds in the first parliament session

The withdrawal of the Sadrist movement

[size=45]The Sadrists tried to form a government, and they allied themselves with the Progress bloc (a Sunni group headed by current parliament speaker Muhammad al-Halbousi) and the Kurdistan Democratic Party (headed by Massoud Barzani), and it seemed that the coalition’s chances of forming a large majority government, especially when he managed to pass al-Halbousi to the presidency of Parliament despite the objection of the “Coordination Framework” bloc of the Shiite forces) and its ally the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, the bloc of the President of the Republic, Barham Salih.[/size]
[size=45]The coordinating framework formed the so-called blocking third, which is a grouping of more than a third of parliament members. It is sufficient not to enter the Constitutional Hall (the Iraqi Parliament Hall) to withdraw legitimacy from the sessions.[/size]
[size=45]For months, the Sadrists tried to hold a session to elect a president of the republic, but the “blocking third” managed to thwart these efforts, and thwarted “Jaafar al-Sadr,” a relative of Muqtada al-Sadr, the leader of the movement, Iraq’s ambassador to Britain, and a candidate by al-Sadr for prime minister.[/size]
[size=45]On June 12, 2022, Sadrist members of parliament submitted their resignations collectively, in a precedent that did not occur in the history of Iraq.[/size]

break into parliament

[size=45]On the twenty-ninth of July, pro-Sadr demonstrators stormed the fortified Green Zone, the seat of Parliament and the government, and stormed the House of Representatives.[/size]
[size=45]The storming came just two days after the framework chose Muhammad Shiaa al-Sudani, a veteran minister and parliamentarian, and an ally of Nuri al-Maliki, leader of the State of Law coalition, as a candidate for prime minister.[/size]
[size=45]The Iraqi parliament suspended its sessions as a result of the sit-in, and the Sadrist demonstrators went to the headquarters of the Federal Court and the Iraqi Supreme Judicial Council, and also entered the headquarters of the President of the Republic and the Prime Minister.[/size]
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A sit-in for the Sadrist movement's supporters met with a sit-in for the supporters of the coordination framework in Iraq

green clashes

[size=45]On August 30, armed clashes erupted in the Green Zone between gunmen from the Sadrist movement and other armed factions.[/size]
[size=45]The clashes began after Muqtada al-Sadr announced his retirement from political life, after the Shiite authority residing in Iran, Kazem al-Hairi, announced his retirement and assigning his imitators to the Iranian guide.[/size]



[size=45]In practice, the Sadrist movement is considered a follower of Al-Hairi in religious matters, so his announcement of the appointment of imitators was considered a major blow to Muqtada Al-Sadr, especially since Al-Haeri addressed him in his retirement speech in a rare sharp tone.[/size]
[size=45]About 30 people were killed as a result of the clashes, while an unknown number were wounded, but they are also estimated at dozens. The Iraqi security forces did not intervene until al-Sadr issued a statement ordering his supporters to withdraw.[/size]
[size=45]Later, the leader of the Asa'ib militia, Qais Khazali, described the night of the fighting as "the worst night" for him since 2003.[/size]

Parliament's return

[size=45]The House of Representatives resumed its sessions on Wednesday, September 28, amid strict security measures, but the Green Zone was subjected to unidentified shells, and demonstrators clashed with security forces and dozens of wounded.[/size]
[size=45]Three days later, Basra witnessed fierce fighting between tribal militias and militiamen affiliated with the Popular Mobilization Forces.[/size]

Declaration of “Coalition of State Administration”

[size=45]Also on September 28, the coordinating framework of the Shiite forces announced the formation of a new coalition under the name "Coalition of State Administration" consisting of the framework blocs, the Kurds and the Sunnis, that is, practically all of the Iraqi parliament except the independents.[/size]
[size=45]But the rest of the blocs did not officially confirm their participation in this framework.[/size]
[size=45]Journalist Mustafa Nasser says that what is being circulated about the state administration coalition in the media does not have any official indications or announcements, such as the one that took place, for example, in the tripartite alliance to save a homeland between the Sadrist movement, the Kurdistan Democratic Party and the Sovereignty Alliance.[/size]
[size=45]He says that the leaders of the coordination framework seek to convince the parties to the equation with guarantees, privileges and concessions.[/size]
[size=45]Members of the Coordination Framework Bloc did not respond to Al-Hurra website questions regarding the State Administration coalition.[/size]

The dead end

[size=45]The Iraqi political analyst, Ihsan Al-Shammari, says that the state administration coalition will be "compelled" to accept the requirements of Muqtada al-Sadr, the most important of which is holding early elections.[/size]
[size=45]Al-Shammari told Al-Hurra that the framework is “very embarrassing due to international pressures as well, the most important of which is Plasschaert’s recent briefing,” which held the conflicting Shiite blocs responsible for not forming a government.[/size]
[size=45]In her recent briefing to the Security Council, the representative of the Secretary-General of the United Nations, Jeanine Plaschaert, held the leaders of all political blocs responsible for the deteriorating situation, and said that corruption is the most important problem in Iraq and that "no political leader can say that he is protected from it."[/size]
[size=45]Explaining the idea of ​​the new early elections, Plasschaert asked, "What are the guarantees that holding new national elections will not be in vain again?" and "How will Iraqi citizens be convinced that it is worth casting their vote?" To support the new elections?[/size]
[size=45]Iraqi political analyst Ahmed al-Zubaidi told Al-Hurra that "these same questions are the reasons we believe that the idea of ​​early elections will not bring a solution to Iraq's political problems."[/size]
[size=45]The Iraqi political analyst, Muhammad Nana`, says that "each party cannot lead alone or resolve disputes alone, and that is why it places responsibility on the other party."[/size]
[size=45]He added to Al-Hurra website that "the issue of the two-thirds quorum will be a problem facing the coordination framework as it faced the Sadrists," adding that "the problem of the nomination of the President of the Republic, the Kurds' abstention from participation and the Sadrists' withdrawal created a political rotation that will collapse all agreements because of it."[/size]
[size=45]Nanaa believes that “this is why we believe that there is no glimmer of hope or a solution to the current intractable crisis.”[/size]
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