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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

Welcome to the Neno's Place!

Neno's Place Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality


Neno

I can be reached by phone or text 8am-7pm cst 972-768-9772 or, once joining the board I can be reached by a (PM) Private Message.

Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

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    Iraq between the Silk Road and the road of development

    Rocky
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    Iraq between the Silk Road and the road of development Empty Iraq between the Silk Road and the road of development

    Post by Rocky Mon 29 May 2023, 10:32 am

    Iraq between the Silk Road and the road of development

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    Dr.. Bilal Khalifa
    Part One: The Silk Road and the Belt
    For several years, China has been seeking to restore the glory of the Silk Road, but this time not for the silk trade, but for the establishment of an economic alliance that extends on several tracks extending from China in the east to Europe via Russia and through Iran and Turkey and also to Africa towards the west.
    The goal at its inception is economic (commercial only), but behind it are political purposes and the formation of a new global axis against the American western axis, as well as replacing the current system with another that writes with eastern fingers. Years ago, I began to lay blocks in the edifice of the axis, including alliances, including Shanghai and BRICS, and other economic ones such as the Shanghai Stock Exchange of Petroyuan and the system A financial transfer as an alternative to Western Swift, as well as the establishment of the Asian Bank, which is opposite the World Bank.
    The Silk Road shortcut is a new global alliance wrapped in an economic framework that includes countries that disagree with the American Western axis or countries that have been wronged by the West and want to be liberated from its control.
    But does the Silk Road pass through Iraq?
    The above words made it clear to us that the Silk Road is an economic alliance outwardly, but inside it is a political alliance and it could turn into a military one in the future (it takes a long time).
    1- In the event that the road is material and economic
    That is, the road is a path for ships, trains, or trucks. Two roads can pass through Iraq, namely:
    The first: via Diyala coming from the Islamic Republic heading to Turkey or Syria.
    The second is from the south: there are two possibilities:
    The first possibility: From the port of Faw, but here the obstacle of the State of Kuwait appears because it owns the port of Mubarak Al-Kabeer and as it is a major member of the Asian Bank, which is the official sponsor of the Silk Road, while Iraq is a dialogue member, meaning that it does not have a decision within the bank, and therefore the opinion of Kuwait is given priority to China over the opinion of Iraq However, goods that exceed the capacity of Al-Mubarak Al-Kabeer Port may come to Al-Faw Port.
    The second possibility, which is more likely, is that Iraq is a passage for goods that come from Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, or the UAE, especially since the UAE has the infrastructure ready to receive, load and unload goods, of which Iraq does not own anything. The goods route is from the ports of Saudi Arabia or the UAE, and then passes through Iraq to Turkey and Europe.
    2- In the event that the road is a non-material political and economic alliance
    The Silk Road, as we said earlier, is an economic alliance at its inception, which will turn into a political and then a military alliance. Therefore, Iraq is very important in this map, as it has a great place in the global energy centers, as Iraq occupies the third place in supplying oil to China and first in supplying oil to India, and therefore that The eastern axis is very important for Iraq, which depends for most of its oil revenues on the East, which occupies 90% of its public revenues. Therefore, if China and India replaced Iraqi oil with oil from other countries, this means that Iraq will not be able to pay a quarter of the salaries of its employees.
    Therefore, the road and the belt are important to China and also important to Iraq.
    Part Two: The Road to Development
    The essence of the development road is to build a path consisting of a road for trucks and another railway from the south and extends to the north and then Turkey, and according to the claim of those in charge of it that the road starts from the port of Faw, that is, the unloading is in it, and here we have the right to ask the following questions
    1- The port was not completed, and I believe that it is not completed due to external interventions that were mentioned above. Even if it is completed, its capacity is small compared to the ports of neighboring countries and the region, including Saudi Arabia and the UAE.
    2- Iraq is politically and security unstable, and this is the reason for the delay in Iraq joining the eastern alliances, including Al-Harir. As we know that capital is cowardly and therefore merchants cannot risk passing through unstable areas.
    3- Iraq was unable to protect the old train from the stones of children and from the construction on its tracks, so how can it secure a road through which materials pass for foreign countries, and we have experiences with foreign oil companies. They block the road in front of companies so that their cars can be rented and contracts given to their companies. Some of them even liked it and said (I throw two shots in the air and then earn what I want).
    4- There is no financial allocation in the budget for the road, so where is it being funded?
    5- The road does not contain laboratories, because the laboratories and factories announced by the government are two, and they are the petrochemical project, which is very old, and the other is the Al-Faw refinery, which is also old, and therefore there are no factories or support for the industry in the way of development.
    6- Iraq in terms of development is only a path that will have two advantages
    A- Transit fares for goods
    B- There are rest stations such as restaurants, gas stations, and maintenance stations, and these stations have been given in advance as an entitlement (quota) to the influential parties.
    7- Iraq has failed in all its projects except in which it relied on foreign companies such as oil, and this paragraph, despite its advantages in terms of quality of work, is very high, and the budget costs a lot. For example, oil companies take up to ten billion dollars annually as operating costs and profits.
    8- The road will be operated from the north, meaning that the road will serve the region first, and then the region will take transit on it as it acts as an independent state.
    9- The crossing with the north will be under the control of the region, and therefore the revenues will be for the region, and Iraq will not benefit from it.
    Part three: the difference between them
    1- The two are similar in that Iraq will be a passage for goods, but silk has promises (and this is not fixed).
    2- Silk means that the direction and alliance is with the new emerging powers inevitably, which is the axis of Shanghai and BRICS led by China and Russia. As for the path of development, it is blocking the path to alliance with the East and replacing it with countries allied with the West, which are Arab countries.
    3- Investment by neighboring countries involves political and security risks, and the path of development is through investment from neighboring countries, which is proposed to be nine countries.
    4- The path of development has something strange in it. The advisory body for the project is an Italian company, and the advisory body for ports is also Italian. It excluded Chinese companies and replaced them with Korean ones that are owned by Western companies. This is suspicious, especially since its competence is far from transportation.


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