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"Three-dimensional" anxiety in Iraq after urgent US warning
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2024-07-19 14:07
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2024-07-19 14:07
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[rtl]Shafaq News/ Amid technical and security meetings between Baghdad and Washington to schedule the US withdrawal, which has been leading the international coalition in Iraq since 2014, the US military issued a warning that ISIS is "trying to reconstitute itself" in Iraq and Syria. While analysts believe that "revitalizing ISIS" comes to find a justification for the foreign forces to remain in Iraq, others confirm that Iraq still needs the coalition and the United States for the three dimensions (security, political and diplomatic).[/rtl]
[rtl]According to Talib al-Yasari, a member of the parliamentary Security and Defense Committee, the continued presence of the international coalition forces in Iraq is related to “the need of the forces of the Ministries of Defense and Interior and other relevant agencies for American forces, but the Iraqi security forces are fully prepared and ready.”[/rtl]
[rtl]According to Al-Yasari, who spoke to the agency, "The Security and Defense Committee directed a question to the Iraqi Minister of Defense, Thabet Al-Abbasi, in this regard, and he confirmed that there is a need for the international coalition as advisors for equipment and armament," Al-Yasari explained, "We are currently working according to need, and this file is currently being studied from all sides, and there are efforts being made to complete the equipment since 2023 and it will continue for the current year 2024."[/rtl]
[rtl]Concerns[/rtl]
[rtl]However, strategic expert Dr. Ahmed Al-Sharifi said, "There are many factors in the field that still raise concerns, including the fragility of the borders, and evidence of that is the Turkish incursion that has reached great lengths and has logistical support lines (land and air), meaning there are border gaps."[/rtl]
[rtl]Al-Sharifi added, during his interview with the agency, saying: “In addition to the political crises and the lack of a unified position, and the failure of the parliamentary role to play an important and direct role in supervising, monitoring and following up on state institutions, especially the security and military establishment, and the absence of supervision, monitoring and following up makes it, in one way or another, outside the framework of the supreme oversight (the constitution), so there are many loopholes that have led, in one way or another, to the growth of terrorist operations and the re-emergence of ISIS.”[/rtl]
[rtl]He continued: “For some time now, there has been talk of a political demand for the withdrawal of foreign forces, namely the international coalition and the United States, in light of the lack of a unified national position. There is no national consensus on the demand for the exit of foreign forces, and even those who adopt this option are subject to regional pressures, specifically Iran, considering that the demands for the departure of the coalition and the United States are an Iranian demand, so all these factors are present in the field.”[/rtl]
[rtl]"Breaking Borders" Conflict[/rtl]
[rtl]According to Al-Sharifi, the complex crises and the field situation in Iraq require the coalition forces and American forces to remain, because the country is facing a regional conflict in which the border-breaking card may be used. [/rtl]
[rtl]Al-Sharifi explained the "border-breaking card" by saying, "When ISIS entered Iraq, the talk was about breaking the borders at the level of terrorist groups, but when they were defeated and some of the border gaps were closed, the border was broken through infiltration and drug smuggling."[/rtl]
[rtl]He added, "There is also an economic border breach in the matter of dollar smuggling, and the rise and fluctuation of its price is only due to the economic border breach, which drains financial resources, just as terrorism drains human resources. It is true that terrorist operations have declined, but they have not ended, and their failure to end indicates that the challenge of terrorism still exists, in addition to the border breach that was mentioned above. Therefore, the supreme national interest requires the US forces to remain until national capabilities are completed."[/rtl]
[rtl]Regarding the importance of the presence of the international coalition, Al-Sharifi gave an example of this by saying, “Today, a mobile group of ISIS was targeted in the Hamrin Mountains, and this group was monitored by the technical effort supporting the international coalition, specifically the United States, where the group was followed electronically, and then after that, Iraqi F-16 aircraft carried out the strike.”[/rtl]
[rtl]He pointed out that "if there was no electronic monitoring of these groups, these groups would have been able to infiltrate and reach Diyala and perhaps even reach the Baghdad belt, and they might carry out operations targeting the security and military sectors. Therefore, in terms of assessment, Iraq still needs the international coalition and the United States, in addition to linking with them in a guarantor alliance to secure the requirements for managing a regional conflict."[/rtl]
[rtl]Dimensions of American cooperation[/rtl]
[rtl]The strategic expert added: "When there is talk about the Turkish invasion and Iraq is an ally of the United States, it is possible to go to the Security Council and in a few hours Iraq can issue a decision in its favor, but if there is a dispute with the United States and Iraq expels the international and American coalition, Iraq's voice will not be heard in the United Nations and the Security Council."[/rtl]
[rtl]He explained that "cooperation with the United States is not limited to military issues, but also to the political and diplomatic dimension and investing in international relations, especially with major countries, in the matter of finding balance, even at the level of the Russian role in Syria and the American role in Iraq. It is effective and may be controlled by the political decision-maker in Iraq if he possesses the wisdom to achieve the higher interests of the Iraqi state in extracting privileges from either Russia or the United States in a way that contributes to sustainable development and building national capabilities, even at the level of armament capabilities."[/rtl]
[rtl]Al-Sharifi concluded by saying: “Based on all of the above, Iraq still needs the international coalition and the United States for the three dimensions: security and military, political and diplomatic.”[/rtl]
[rtl]In turn, security expert Haitham Al-Khazaali said, “The Iraqi military and technical side announced in the negotiations between the Iraqi and American governments that there is no need for the presence of American forces, but the United States says that its presence in Iraq is linked to the presence of its forces in Syria and its need for logistical support.”[/rtl]
[rtl]Al-Khazaali said, during his interview with Shafaq News Agency, that "the activation of ISIS comes to find a justification for the presence of foreign forces in Iraq in a clear process of cooperation," as he put it.[/rtl]
[rtl]ISIS is trying to renew[/rtl]
[rtl]The day before yesterday, Wednesday, the US Central Command announced that ISIS is “trying to reconstitute itself” in Syria and Iraq “after several years of declining capabilities.”[/rtl]
[rtl]The Central Command said in a statement that the extremist organization claimed 153 attacks in Iraq and Syria during the first half of 2024. At this rate, ISIS is on track to double the total number of attacks it claimed responsibility for in 2023.[/rtl]
[rtl]She added that "along with our partners in defeating this organization, the Iraqi Security Forces and the Syrian Democratic Forces, we carried out 196 missions to defeat ISIS, which resulted in the killing of 44 ISIS elements and 166 others who were detained in the first half of 2024."[/rtl]
[rtl]The command also noted that the above operations resulted in the killing of 8 senior ISIS leaders and the capture of 32 others in both Iraq and Syria. These leaders include those responsible for planning operations outside the two countries, recruiting, training, and smuggling weapons.[/rtl]
[rtl]The command statement stressed that neutralizing these individuals from their leadership positions would further deteriorate the organization's ability to carry out external operations in the United States and allied countries.[/rtl]
[rtl]The extremist group was behind 121 attacks in Syria and Iraq in 2023, according to a US defense official who spoke on the matter.[/rtl]
[rtl]It is noteworthy that the first round of talks between Baghdad and Washington began last January, while the first round of bilateral dialogue held in Baghdad led to an agreement to form a joint military committee to review and end the mission of the international coalition and move to bilateral security relations.[/rtl]
[rtl]Negotiations between Baghdad and Washington resumed last February, with the adoption of a deliberate and gradual reduction, leading to the end of the mission of the international coalition forces to combat ISIS, according to official Iraqi statements, to be followed by two other rounds in March and April.[/rtl]
[rtl]There are about 2,500 American soldiers in Iraq, as part of the international coalition led by Washington since September 2014. The soldiers are distributed across three main sites in Iraq: Ain al-Assad base in Anbar, Harir base in Erbil, and Camp Victoria adjacent to Baghdad International Airport. In addition to the American forces, there are French, Australian, and British forces operating within the coalition forces, and others within NATO in Iraq.[/rtl]
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[/rtl]
[rtl]According to Talib al-Yasari, a member of the parliamentary Security and Defense Committee, the continued presence of the international coalition forces in Iraq is related to “the need of the forces of the Ministries of Defense and Interior and other relevant agencies for American forces, but the Iraqi security forces are fully prepared and ready.”[/rtl]
[rtl]According to Al-Yasari, who spoke to the agency, "The Security and Defense Committee directed a question to the Iraqi Minister of Defense, Thabet Al-Abbasi, in this regard, and he confirmed that there is a need for the international coalition as advisors for equipment and armament," Al-Yasari explained, "We are currently working according to need, and this file is currently being studied from all sides, and there are efforts being made to complete the equipment since 2023 and it will continue for the current year 2024."[/rtl]
[rtl]Concerns[/rtl]
[rtl]However, strategic expert Dr. Ahmed Al-Sharifi said, "There are many factors in the field that still raise concerns, including the fragility of the borders, and evidence of that is the Turkish incursion that has reached great lengths and has logistical support lines (land and air), meaning there are border gaps."[/rtl]
[rtl]Al-Sharifi added, during his interview with the agency, saying: “In addition to the political crises and the lack of a unified position, and the failure of the parliamentary role to play an important and direct role in supervising, monitoring and following up on state institutions, especially the security and military establishment, and the absence of supervision, monitoring and following up makes it, in one way or another, outside the framework of the supreme oversight (the constitution), so there are many loopholes that have led, in one way or another, to the growth of terrorist operations and the re-emergence of ISIS.”[/rtl]
[rtl]He continued: “For some time now, there has been talk of a political demand for the withdrawal of foreign forces, namely the international coalition and the United States, in light of the lack of a unified national position. There is no national consensus on the demand for the exit of foreign forces, and even those who adopt this option are subject to regional pressures, specifically Iran, considering that the demands for the departure of the coalition and the United States are an Iranian demand, so all these factors are present in the field.”[/rtl]
[rtl]"Breaking Borders" Conflict[/rtl]
[rtl]According to Al-Sharifi, the complex crises and the field situation in Iraq require the coalition forces and American forces to remain, because the country is facing a regional conflict in which the border-breaking card may be used. [/rtl]
[rtl]Al-Sharifi explained the "border-breaking card" by saying, "When ISIS entered Iraq, the talk was about breaking the borders at the level of terrorist groups, but when they were defeated and some of the border gaps were closed, the border was broken through infiltration and drug smuggling."[/rtl]
[rtl]He added, "There is also an economic border breach in the matter of dollar smuggling, and the rise and fluctuation of its price is only due to the economic border breach, which drains financial resources, just as terrorism drains human resources. It is true that terrorist operations have declined, but they have not ended, and their failure to end indicates that the challenge of terrorism still exists, in addition to the border breach that was mentioned above. Therefore, the supreme national interest requires the US forces to remain until national capabilities are completed."[/rtl]
[rtl]Regarding the importance of the presence of the international coalition, Al-Sharifi gave an example of this by saying, “Today, a mobile group of ISIS was targeted in the Hamrin Mountains, and this group was monitored by the technical effort supporting the international coalition, specifically the United States, where the group was followed electronically, and then after that, Iraqi F-16 aircraft carried out the strike.”[/rtl]
[rtl]He pointed out that "if there was no electronic monitoring of these groups, these groups would have been able to infiltrate and reach Diyala and perhaps even reach the Baghdad belt, and they might carry out operations targeting the security and military sectors. Therefore, in terms of assessment, Iraq still needs the international coalition and the United States, in addition to linking with them in a guarantor alliance to secure the requirements for managing a regional conflict."[/rtl]
[rtl]Dimensions of American cooperation[/rtl]
[rtl]The strategic expert added: "When there is talk about the Turkish invasion and Iraq is an ally of the United States, it is possible to go to the Security Council and in a few hours Iraq can issue a decision in its favor, but if there is a dispute with the United States and Iraq expels the international and American coalition, Iraq's voice will not be heard in the United Nations and the Security Council."[/rtl]
[rtl]He explained that "cooperation with the United States is not limited to military issues, but also to the political and diplomatic dimension and investing in international relations, especially with major countries, in the matter of finding balance, even at the level of the Russian role in Syria and the American role in Iraq. It is effective and may be controlled by the political decision-maker in Iraq if he possesses the wisdom to achieve the higher interests of the Iraqi state in extracting privileges from either Russia or the United States in a way that contributes to sustainable development and building national capabilities, even at the level of armament capabilities."[/rtl]
[rtl]Al-Sharifi concluded by saying: “Based on all of the above, Iraq still needs the international coalition and the United States for the three dimensions: security and military, political and diplomatic.”[/rtl]
[rtl]In turn, security expert Haitham Al-Khazaali said, “The Iraqi military and technical side announced in the negotiations between the Iraqi and American governments that there is no need for the presence of American forces, but the United States says that its presence in Iraq is linked to the presence of its forces in Syria and its need for logistical support.”[/rtl]
[rtl]Al-Khazaali said, during his interview with Shafaq News Agency, that "the activation of ISIS comes to find a justification for the presence of foreign forces in Iraq in a clear process of cooperation," as he put it.[/rtl]
[rtl]ISIS is trying to renew[/rtl]
[rtl]The day before yesterday, Wednesday, the US Central Command announced that ISIS is “trying to reconstitute itself” in Syria and Iraq “after several years of declining capabilities.”[/rtl]
[rtl]The Central Command said in a statement that the extremist organization claimed 153 attacks in Iraq and Syria during the first half of 2024. At this rate, ISIS is on track to double the total number of attacks it claimed responsibility for in 2023.[/rtl]
[rtl]She added that "along with our partners in defeating this organization, the Iraqi Security Forces and the Syrian Democratic Forces, we carried out 196 missions to defeat ISIS, which resulted in the killing of 44 ISIS elements and 166 others who were detained in the first half of 2024."[/rtl]
[rtl]The command also noted that the above operations resulted in the killing of 8 senior ISIS leaders and the capture of 32 others in both Iraq and Syria. These leaders include those responsible for planning operations outside the two countries, recruiting, training, and smuggling weapons.[/rtl]
[rtl]The command statement stressed that neutralizing these individuals from their leadership positions would further deteriorate the organization's ability to carry out external operations in the United States and allied countries.[/rtl]
[rtl]The extremist group was behind 121 attacks in Syria and Iraq in 2023, according to a US defense official who spoke on the matter.[/rtl]
[rtl]It is noteworthy that the first round of talks between Baghdad and Washington began last January, while the first round of bilateral dialogue held in Baghdad led to an agreement to form a joint military committee to review and end the mission of the international coalition and move to bilateral security relations.[/rtl]
[rtl]Negotiations between Baghdad and Washington resumed last February, with the adoption of a deliberate and gradual reduction, leading to the end of the mission of the international coalition forces to combat ISIS, according to official Iraqi statements, to be followed by two other rounds in March and April.[/rtl]
[rtl]There are about 2,500 American soldiers in Iraq, as part of the international coalition led by Washington since September 2014. The soldiers are distributed across three main sites in Iraq: Ain al-Assad base in Anbar, Harir base in Erbil, and Camp Victoria adjacent to Baghdad International Airport. In addition to the American forces, there are French, Australian, and British forces operating within the coalition forces, and others within NATO in Iraq.[/rtl]
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