Open Sources-22FEB16 - Venezuela Burning Venezuela on the brink
On February 22, 2016 By ncscoutIn Intelligence
On February 22, 2016 By ncscoutIn Intelligence
The conditions are right…for a coup. Large scale political unrest, severe economic problems based upon a mismanaged socialist economy(as per the standard) and brought even closer by plunging oil values. Coupled with violence unchecked, it won’t be long before a change is forced in.
The socialist government was voted out not that long ago; but what replaced it? The numbers of criminal vigilantes roaming the streets is nothing new either; for over a year now they’ve had endemic street crimes revolving around dirt bikers with machetes and sub machine guns- and it looks to be ramping up further.
Whenever there is economic strife, coupled with a large mass of disenfranchised and unemployed youth, and a government that fails to deliver, you have a coup; and almost 100% of the time, they’re sponsored from an outside source.
MLCOA
Conditions will worsen for the remainder of the month; the government teeters on default. Expect a bailout from Russia soon, even if Putin takes a loss. China will likely intervene as well. Like all forms of welfare, the money won’t last long. Expect something from the BRICS nations in the economics news.
MDCOA
Conditions will stay on track, and the government will collapse, resulting in a new military junta, backed even more closely by Cuba. It is unknown how this will work with “normalized” Cuban relations with the Obama administration, however an overthrow of the counter-marxist elected government is likely the plan all along. This will prompt a reaction from Russia, as they have several investments in Venezuela, including oil and weapons(Izhmash has a factory in Caracas) which they cannot take a loss upon.
Why any of this matters
As I stated, it is very likely that this is a coup in the making; with the already frosty relations between Russia and the US, this has very, very deep implications prompting an almost guaranteed response. With a proxy war on two fronts already, and high activity from HM01(a Cuban Numbers Station…examples here and here), it’s worthy to note that a potential third front is opening up just to our south. It is this third area which little attention is being paid by the media(and why I’m writing about it) that you should be looking to.
Be informed. It matters; it’s a predictor of things to come.
https://brushbeater.wordpress.com/2016/02/22/open-sources-22feb16/
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