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[size=36]Al-Arab London: Iran fears Sudanese withdrawal from the framework[/size]
Political | 09:49 - 06/08/2024
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Follow-up - Mawazine News
“Recommendations” addressed by Iran to Iraqi Prime Minister Muhammad Shiaa al-Sudani showed the extent of Tehran’s interest in the stability of the regime led by its allies, the leaders of Shiite parties and factions in Iraq, and its keenness on the unity of these allies in order to preserve their authority and prevent the emergence of new decision-making circles competing with them in the country.
Two political sources said that the recommendations that Al-Sudani received “from Iranian parties related to his participation in the upcoming parliamentary elections in Iraq.”
The current Iraqi government is described as the coordination framework government in reference to the coalition formed by the Shiite parties and factions following the last parliamentary elections, through which it was able to wrest the privilege of forming the government from the Sadrist movement (currently the Shiite National Movement), led by the cleric Muqtada al-Sadr, who achieved good results in those elections that made him He aspires to control executive power, which Iran did not want given its lack of confidence in the man who enjoys a great deal of popularity among the Shiite public in Iraq.
Iran was not far from the idea of forming the framework, which appears to have lost much of its internal unity due to the differing interests of its components and the intensification of competition between its leaders with the approaching date of the new elections scheduled for the year 2025.
Iran fears the disintegration of the framework, while the need for it still exists to maintain its influence in Iraq, at a stage Other powers, led by Turkey, entered into the competition for influence in the country.
The two sources, who were quoted on Friday by the Iraqi Shafaq News Agency, explained that Iranian recommendations to Sudanese included urging him “to run in the upcoming House of Representatives elections within the electoral coordination framework lists, with the necessity of maintaining the unity of the decision in the post-election phase.”
Sudanese remaining under the umbrella of the coordination framework means for Iran the presence of a watchdog over his policies and preventing him from conflicting with its interests.
Iran does not want the framework to be divided, just as it does not want to create from within it, as well as from within the Iraqi Shiite political family in general, new decision-making circles that may not exist. It is necessarily committed to the political line that has been followed in Iraq for more than two decades, and what distinguishes that line is its commitment to the alliance with Tehran and serving its interests and influence in the country.
It seems that the Iranian fear does not exclude Al-Sudani himself, whose relative successes in leading the current government, compared to the weak performance of the prime ministers who preceded him, enabled him to expand his popularity, which may make him an extraordinary candidate to win in the upcoming elections.
The Prime Minister showed his keenness to improve the deteriorating level of services in Iraq, and he also showed seriousness in launching many projects aimed at restarting the wheel of development that has almost stopped in the country for two decades.
The Sudanese, who entered the field of politics through his affiliation with the Islamic Dawa Party, cannot in any way be described as an opponent of Iranian influence in Iraq or a rebel against Iran’s policies towards his country. However, one of his most prominent features, which worries the Iranians, is his adoption of a pragmatic policy in searching for partners in development. Iraq is far from ideological biases, which would make the country open to forces competing with Iran such as Turkey and the Gulf countries.
Tehran knows that Sudanese remaining under the umbrella of the coordination framework means the presence of a watchdog over his policies and preventing it from going too far in achieving ambitions that conflict with Iranian interests.
The two sources said that the recommendations came after political parties showed a desire to ally with the Sudanese outside the framework, in exchange for him obtaining a second term at the head of the government.
The Prime Minister, who has been leading the Al-Furatin movement since 2019, has until now been supported by the leader of Asaib Ahl al-Haq, Qais Khazali, but this support is not without problems, as it causes a chill in his relations with other senior leaders in the coordination framework, including Hadi Al-Amiri, the leader of Badr, and former Prime Minister Nouri. Al-Maliki, who still strongly desires to dominate the reins of government in Iraq, whether by returning to the position of Prime Minister or by handing over the position to one of his trusted ones.
Iran also fears that the disintegration of the framework will lead to the formation of new alliances that it does not want, similar to what might happen in an alliance between the two old rivals, Al-Sadr and Al-Maliki, who surprised political circles a while ago by “heralding” the return of the Sadrist movement from its decision to boycott political life and participate in parliamentary elections. Coming.
The former Prime Minister was one of the first to announce the possibility of the leader of the Sadrist movement returning from the decision to boycott the elections.
Al-Maliki, who heads the Islamic Dawa Party and leads a parliamentary coalition called the State of Law Coalition, said that there is information about the Sadrist movement’s tendencies to participate in the upcoming elections, whether they are held on time or early. He pointed out that the Sadrists are the ones most demanding early elections.
According to political observers, Al-Maliki’s talk, known for his political pragmatism and his skill in forming interest-based and circumstantial political alliances, about the return of the Sadrist movement to the political process, is far from providing free propaganda for the movement.
They do not rule out that the leader of the State of Law is preparing to conclude a political agreement with his old rival Al-Sadr to confront other Shiite forces that are remarkably rising through the coordination framework formed by the current government, and at the head of those forces is Asaib Ahl al-Haq, led by Qais Khazali, whom the sources describe as the Prime Minister’s first ally. And his supporter in the face of Al-Maliki’s ambitions to regain the prime minister’s office, the first executive position in the Iraqi state in the post-US invasion period.
In addition to the scenario of Al-Maliki approaching Al-Sadr, there has been strong talk during the recent period about the possibility of reviving the tripartite alliance between the Sadrist movement and the Taqaddum Party led by former Parliament Speaker Muhammad Al-Halbousi and the Kurdistan Democratic Party led by Masoud Barzani, especially since the latter two parties share Muqtada Al-Sadr’s anger at the coordination framework and his policy that has harmed By all three parties.
Both Iran and the United States play roles in choosing who will assume the presidency of the Iraqi government, and this is what the candidates for the position and those who hold it realize and want to remain in it, and who often make great efforts to gain the approval of the two rival countries, in a difficult balancing game.
This applies to the Sudanese who visited the United States last April in light of great pressure exerted on him by Iran’s allies participating in the formation of his government regarding the issue of removing American forces from Iraq. He also visited Tehran during the period that elapsed during his time at the head of the government three times, while Iraqi sources say that His fourth visit to Iran after the latter completed the file of choosing a new president, is imperative in order to arrange matters for the upcoming Iraqi parliamentary elections.
Source: Al Arab London
“Recommendations” addressed by Iran to Iraqi Prime Minister Muhammad Shiaa al-Sudani showed the extent of Tehran’s interest in the stability of the regime led by its allies, the leaders of Shiite parties and factions in Iraq, and its keenness on the unity of these allies in order to preserve their authority and prevent the emergence of new decision-making circles competing with them in the country.
Two political sources said that the recommendations that Al-Sudani received “from Iranian parties related to his participation in the upcoming parliamentary elections in Iraq.”
The current Iraqi government is described as the coordination framework government in reference to the coalition formed by the Shiite parties and factions following the last parliamentary elections, through which it was able to wrest the privilege of forming the government from the Sadrist movement (currently the Shiite National Movement), led by the cleric Muqtada al-Sadr, who achieved good results in those elections that made him He aspires to control executive power, which Iran did not want given its lack of confidence in the man who enjoys a great deal of popularity among the Shiite public in Iraq.
Iran was not far from the idea of forming the framework, which appears to have lost much of its internal unity due to the differing interests of its components and the intensification of competition between its leaders with the approaching date of the new elections scheduled for the year 2025.
Iran fears the disintegration of the framework, while the need for it still exists to maintain its influence in Iraq, at a stage Other powers, led by Turkey, entered into the competition for influence in the country.
The two sources, who were quoted on Friday by the Iraqi Shafaq News Agency, explained that Iranian recommendations to Sudanese included urging him “to run in the upcoming House of Representatives elections within the electoral coordination framework lists, with the necessity of maintaining the unity of the decision in the post-election phase.”
Sudanese remaining under the umbrella of the coordination framework means for Iran the presence of a watchdog over his policies and preventing him from conflicting with its interests.
Iran does not want the framework to be divided, just as it does not want to create from within it, as well as from within the Iraqi Shiite political family in general, new decision-making circles that may not exist. It is necessarily committed to the political line that has been followed in Iraq for more than two decades, and what distinguishes that line is its commitment to the alliance with Tehran and serving its interests and influence in the country.
It seems that the Iranian fear does not exclude Al-Sudani himself, whose relative successes in leading the current government, compared to the weak performance of the prime ministers who preceded him, enabled him to expand his popularity, which may make him an extraordinary candidate to win in the upcoming elections.
The Prime Minister showed his keenness to improve the deteriorating level of services in Iraq, and he also showed seriousness in launching many projects aimed at restarting the wheel of development that has almost stopped in the country for two decades.
The Sudanese, who entered the field of politics through his affiliation with the Islamic Dawa Party, cannot in any way be described as an opponent of Iranian influence in Iraq or a rebel against Iran’s policies towards his country. However, one of his most prominent features, which worries the Iranians, is his adoption of a pragmatic policy in searching for partners in development. Iraq is far from ideological biases, which would make the country open to forces competing with Iran such as Turkey and the Gulf countries.
Tehran knows that Sudanese remaining under the umbrella of the coordination framework means the presence of a watchdog over his policies and preventing it from going too far in achieving ambitions that conflict with Iranian interests.
The two sources said that the recommendations came after political parties showed a desire to ally with the Sudanese outside the framework, in exchange for him obtaining a second term at the head of the government.
The Prime Minister, who has been leading the Al-Furatin movement since 2019, has until now been supported by the leader of Asaib Ahl al-Haq, Qais Khazali, but this support is not without problems, as it causes a chill in his relations with other senior leaders in the coordination framework, including Hadi Al-Amiri, the leader of Badr, and former Prime Minister Nouri. Al-Maliki, who still strongly desires to dominate the reins of government in Iraq, whether by returning to the position of Prime Minister or by handing over the position to one of his trusted ones.
Iran also fears that the disintegration of the framework will lead to the formation of new alliances that it does not want, similar to what might happen in an alliance between the two old rivals, Al-Sadr and Al-Maliki, who surprised political circles a while ago by “heralding” the return of the Sadrist movement from its decision to boycott political life and participate in parliamentary elections. Coming.
The former Prime Minister was one of the first to announce the possibility of the leader of the Sadrist movement returning from the decision to boycott the elections.
Al-Maliki, who heads the Islamic Dawa Party and leads a parliamentary coalition called the State of Law Coalition, said that there is information about the Sadrist movement’s tendencies to participate in the upcoming elections, whether they are held on time or early. He pointed out that the Sadrists are the ones most demanding early elections.
According to political observers, Al-Maliki’s talk, known for his political pragmatism and his skill in forming interest-based and circumstantial political alliances, about the return of the Sadrist movement to the political process, is far from providing free propaganda for the movement.
They do not rule out that the leader of the State of Law is preparing to conclude a political agreement with his old rival Al-Sadr to confront other Shiite forces that are remarkably rising through the coordination framework formed by the current government, and at the head of those forces is Asaib Ahl al-Haq, led by Qais Khazali, whom the sources describe as the Prime Minister’s first ally. And his supporter in the face of Al-Maliki’s ambitions to regain the prime minister’s office, the first executive position in the Iraqi state in the post-US invasion period.
In addition to the scenario of Al-Maliki approaching Al-Sadr, there has been strong talk during the recent period about the possibility of reviving the tripartite alliance between the Sadrist movement and the Taqaddum Party led by former Parliament Speaker Muhammad Al-Halbousi and the Kurdistan Democratic Party led by Masoud Barzani, especially since the latter two parties share Muqtada Al-Sadr’s anger at the coordination framework and his policy that has harmed By all three parties.
Both Iran and the United States play roles in choosing who will assume the presidency of the Iraqi government, and this is what the candidates for the position and those who hold it realize and want to remain in it, and who often make great efforts to gain the approval of the two rival countries, in a difficult balancing game.
This applies to the Sudanese who visited the United States last April in light of great pressure exerted on him by Iran’s allies participating in the formation of his government regarding the issue of removing American forces from Iraq. He also visited Tehran during the period that elapsed during his time at the head of the government three times, while Iraqi sources say that His fourth visit to Iran after the latter completed the file of choosing a new president, is imperative in order to arrange matters for the upcoming Iraqi parliamentary elections.
Source: Al Arab London
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