[size=35][size=35]How does the government seek to overcome the confrontation between Washington and the factions in Iraq?[/size]
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2024-08-14 | 03:36
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Alsumaria News - Politics
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Following the approach of its predecessors, Al-Sudani’s government has worked to bring viewpoints closer together and reject any aggression by any party against the other in the equation of balance between US forces and armed factions.
Although the pace of confrontations has declined significantly since the beginning of 2024, the Ain al-Assad base, which houses US forces, has been subjected to three attacks in recent days, and the government’s response in all of them was clear about the need for self-restraint and not to be drawn into a direct conflict between all parties.
This was confirmed by the agreement between Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani and US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken, during a phone call on August 4, according to a statement by al-Sudani’s office, which confirmed “Iraq’s greater efforts to maintain calm, whether in relation to Iraq’s interior or the situation in the Middle East and Gaza.”
Amending the strategic framework
The steps taken by al-Sudani’s government to amend the 2007 strategic framework agreement between Washington and Baghdad remain the optimal solution that it believes is the way to end the conflict or use Iraqi territory to settle regional scores between Washington and Tehran.
This was indicated by the spokesman for the Iraqi army, Major General Yahya Rasool, in a statement on February 12, when he confirmed that meetings are held periodically to complete the work of the committee tasked with drafting a new version of the agreement as quickly as possible, “as long as nothing disturbs the talks.”
According to unofficial statistics, the number of US forces in Iraq was about 130,000 at the beginning of the invasion in 2003, and remained fluctuating between 100,000 and 150,000 for years, but it rose again to about 170,000 as the violence intensified in 2007. At the end of 2011, America ended its invasion of Iraq under President Barack Obama, and withdrew its forces from the country, with the exception of a small number of military advisors.
However, with ISIS’s invasion of large parts of Iraq in 2014, Washington doubled its forces to more than 5,000, before reducing them again to 3,000 in 2021, and then to about 2,500 this year. A
close equation
Member of Parliament Alaa Al-Haidari said that after the assassination of Qassem Soleimani and Abu Mahdi Al-Muhandis, there was a political and parliamentary decision to expel foreign forces, stressing that "we do not need advisors or fighters, and our security forces are fully prepared to defend Iraq and protect its security and sovereignty."
According to political affairs researcher Haider Hamid, "US forces are present in various places inside Iraq, including the Victoria base near Baghdad International Airport, the Ain Al-Assad base in Anbar, which is its largest base in Iraq, in addition to the Harir base in Erbil Governorate, and finally the US embassy in Baghdad."
Hamid said that "multiple political and societal tactics and factors and the power of decision-making within the Shiite house gave the resistance factions a clear influence on the presence of US forces in Iraq through missiles or drones," ruling out "Washington's desire to expand the scope of the conflict with those factions during this period."
He stressed that "the factions are capable of targeting US forces at any point where they are located, as they possess accurate maps of the areas where those forces are stationed."
Hamid added, "It is undeniable that there are differences in the size and quality of the military arsenal between the US Army and the resistance factions, but the method and tactics used by the factions make the equation close and the extent of the influence mutual."
Secret truce
Researcher and academic Jalil Al-Lami reveals that Al-Sudani's efforts resulted in extending the truce between the armed factions and the US side secretly to ensure avoiding escalation between the two parties, stressing that Al-Sudani's government succeeded in "holding the stick in the middle," as he described it.
“The armed factions in Iraq have clearly expressed their desire for the withdrawal of US forces at any cost, while Washington wants to reach a new agreement with al-Sudani’s government similar to the Strategic Framework Agreement and guarantee that its forces will remain in Iraq for as long as possible,” al-Lami said.
He added that the government was able to reach a truce between the two sides in October of last year, coinciding with the Gaza war that lasted until mid-May. He continued that the truce “was successfully extended by al-Sudani’s government in secret, in order to continue negotiations and ensure that no party loses.”
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2024-08-14 | 03:36
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Alsumaria News - Politics
The Iraqi government headed by Mohammed Shia al-Sudani faces challenges in managing its relations with Washington, which still maintains military bases and a number of its soldiers inside the country, amid an official decision to expel foreign forces and the outbreak of limited confrontations from time to time between American forces and armed factions.
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Following the approach of its predecessors, Al-Sudani’s government has worked to bring viewpoints closer together and reject any aggression by any party against the other in the equation of balance between US forces and armed factions.
Although the pace of confrontations has declined significantly since the beginning of 2024, the Ain al-Assad base, which houses US forces, has been subjected to three attacks in recent days, and the government’s response in all of them was clear about the need for self-restraint and not to be drawn into a direct conflict between all parties.
This was confirmed by the agreement between Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani and US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken, during a phone call on August 4, according to a statement by al-Sudani’s office, which confirmed “Iraq’s greater efforts to maintain calm, whether in relation to Iraq’s interior or the situation in the Middle East and Gaza.”
Amending the strategic framework
The steps taken by al-Sudani’s government to amend the 2007 strategic framework agreement between Washington and Baghdad remain the optimal solution that it believes is the way to end the conflict or use Iraqi territory to settle regional scores between Washington and Tehran.
This was indicated by the spokesman for the Iraqi army, Major General Yahya Rasool, in a statement on February 12, when he confirmed that meetings are held periodically to complete the work of the committee tasked with drafting a new version of the agreement as quickly as possible, “as long as nothing disturbs the talks.”
According to unofficial statistics, the number of US forces in Iraq was about 130,000 at the beginning of the invasion in 2003, and remained fluctuating between 100,000 and 150,000 for years, but it rose again to about 170,000 as the violence intensified in 2007. At the end of 2011, America ended its invasion of Iraq under President Barack Obama, and withdrew its forces from the country, with the exception of a small number of military advisors.
However, with ISIS’s invasion of large parts of Iraq in 2014, Washington doubled its forces to more than 5,000, before reducing them again to 3,000 in 2021, and then to about 2,500 this year. A
close equation
Member of Parliament Alaa Al-Haidari said that after the assassination of Qassem Soleimani and Abu Mahdi Al-Muhandis, there was a political and parliamentary decision to expel foreign forces, stressing that "we do not need advisors or fighters, and our security forces are fully prepared to defend Iraq and protect its security and sovereignty."
According to political affairs researcher Haider Hamid, "US forces are present in various places inside Iraq, including the Victoria base near Baghdad International Airport, the Ain Al-Assad base in Anbar, which is its largest base in Iraq, in addition to the Harir base in Erbil Governorate, and finally the US embassy in Baghdad."
Hamid said that "multiple political and societal tactics and factors and the power of decision-making within the Shiite house gave the resistance factions a clear influence on the presence of US forces in Iraq through missiles or drones," ruling out "Washington's desire to expand the scope of the conflict with those factions during this period."
He stressed that "the factions are capable of targeting US forces at any point where they are located, as they possess accurate maps of the areas where those forces are stationed."
Hamid added, "It is undeniable that there are differences in the size and quality of the military arsenal between the US Army and the resistance factions, but the method and tactics used by the factions make the equation close and the extent of the influence mutual."
Secret truce
Researcher and academic Jalil Al-Lami reveals that Al-Sudani's efforts resulted in extending the truce between the armed factions and the US side secretly to ensure avoiding escalation between the two parties, stressing that Al-Sudani's government succeeded in "holding the stick in the middle," as he described it.
“The armed factions in Iraq have clearly expressed their desire for the withdrawal of US forces at any cost, while Washington wants to reach a new agreement with al-Sudani’s government similar to the Strategic Framework Agreement and guarantee that its forces will remain in Iraq for as long as possible,” al-Lami said.
He added that the government was able to reach a truce between the two sides in October of last year, coinciding with the Gaza war that lasted until mid-May. He continued that the truce “was successfully extended by al-Sudani’s government in secret, in order to continue negotiations and ensure that no party loses.”
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