By 6%.. A “significant” decline in the number of those eligible to vote in the Kurdistan Parliament elections
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2024-10-06 04:51
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2024-10-06 04:51
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Shafaq News/ In a striking phenomenon, the elections for the sixth session of the Kurdistan Regional Parliament will witness a decrease in the number of those eligible to vote by 6% compared to the fifth session, despite the entry of new age groups that have become eligible to vote.
This decline has raised many questions about the reasons behind it. Is it due to administrative problems in voter registration or deeper demographic and social factors?
Statistics obtained by Shafaq News Agency revealed a decline in the number of eligible voters to vote in the sixth round of the Kurdistan Regional Parliament elections. According to the Independent High Electoral Commission in Iraq, (2,899,578) people are eligible to vote in this round, which represents a decrease of 6% compared to the fifth round, in which the number of voters was (3,085,461) people.
The previous elections witnessed a significant increase in the number of voters, as the number increased in the fifth round by 16% compared to the fourth round, in which the number of voters reached (two million, 653 thousand, and 743) people, an increase of (134 thousand, 970) people over the third round.
In the historical context, the Kurdistan Region elections witnessed successive increases in the number of voters. In the third round, the number of eligible voters increased by about (228 thousand and 37) people compared to the second round, an increase of 10%. While the second round witnessed an increase of 1.06% compared to the first round, as the number increased from (1 million and 112 thousand) to (1 million and 178 thousand and 736) people.
Possible reasons for "migration"
Many analysts believe that migration plays a major role in the decline in the number of registered voters. In recent years, the Kurdistan Region has witnessed “large” waves of migration to other countries, as a result of political and economic tensions.
Hawri Karzan, an observer of the situation in the region, confirmed in his statement to Shafaq News Agency correspondent, that "the demographic changes resulting from migration had a direct impact on the number of voters, as many citizens who migrated were not removed from the voter registers, while the new generation that entered the voting age was not registered in the required manner, which led to a gap in the expected numbers."
Poor updating of electoral records
Arslan Mohammed, an electoral follower, told Shafaq News Agency correspondent, "The decline in the number of those eligible to vote can also be attributed to problems in the process of updating electoral records. There is a shortcoming in deleting old names of people who died or emigrated, and in return, the registration of new ages that have reached voting age has been delayed. These factors have led to a reduction in the actual number of those eligible to vote."
He added that the process of updating voter records faces major challenges in covering all new voters, especially in rural areas, or those witnessing large population movements, and this delay in updating data directly affects the final voter database used in the elections.
Lack of awareness of registration
Another reason that is being put forward is the lack of awareness among new groups about the need to register in advance for the elections. Hawri Karzan said: “Many young people who have reached voting age do not have sufficient awareness about the importance of registering themselves in the electoral lists and the Commission can get this message across to them, especially in remote areas where means of communication and awareness are limited.”
He explained that this lack of awareness particularly affects new groups that have not participated in any previous elections, which reduces the number of actual voters in the registers.
Technical and administrative challenges
The technologies used to register voters and update their data still face technical problems that lead to errors or delays in data processing. Thank you Ahmed, a political analyst, who explained to the agency’s correspondent that “the systems used to update the records face many technical problems. In some cases, the updating of new voters’ data is delayed, and at other times the systems are disrupted due to data pressure. These challenges lead to a reduction in the actual number of registrants.”
New Age Entry and Its Impact
Surprisingly, a new category of voters has become eligible to vote in this election, with a large segment of young people who have reached the age of 18 in recent years entering the field. However, this expected effect has not been seen in increasing the number of those eligible to vote.
Arslan Mohammed, in his statement to our agency’s correspondent, indicated that “the entry of new age groups was supposed to increase the number of voters, but administrative and technical challenges hindered the registration of many of them, and the feeling of frustration among some young people as a result of the political and economic conditions led to their reluctance to register and participate.”
Impact on the political arena
The decline in the number of eligible voters despite the entry of new categories of voters may directly reflect on the election results. Shukr Ahmed, a political analyst, believes that “political parties may be affected by the distribution of votes as a result of this decline, and changes in the voter base may lead to some parties losing their traditional shares in certain areas, especially if those areas suffer from weak registration of new voters.”
These figures come at a time when the Kurdistan Parliament elections are witnessing a decline in the number of those included in the elections, which may affect the results, and with the countdown to the sixth round of elections beginning.
The decline in the number of eligible voters compared to previous rounds is a significant factor that may be reflected in the voting participation rates, as the parliamentary elections in the Kurdistan Region represent a prominent political event, and it is expected that changes in the number of voters will have an impact on the upcoming electoral and political map.
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This decline has raised many questions about the reasons behind it. Is it due to administrative problems in voter registration or deeper demographic and social factors?
Statistics obtained by Shafaq News Agency revealed a decline in the number of eligible voters to vote in the sixth round of the Kurdistan Regional Parliament elections. According to the Independent High Electoral Commission in Iraq, (2,899,578) people are eligible to vote in this round, which represents a decrease of 6% compared to the fifth round, in which the number of voters was (3,085,461) people.
The previous elections witnessed a significant increase in the number of voters, as the number increased in the fifth round by 16% compared to the fourth round, in which the number of voters reached (two million, 653 thousand, and 743) people, an increase of (134 thousand, 970) people over the third round.
In the historical context, the Kurdistan Region elections witnessed successive increases in the number of voters. In the third round, the number of eligible voters increased by about (228 thousand and 37) people compared to the second round, an increase of 10%. While the second round witnessed an increase of 1.06% compared to the first round, as the number increased from (1 million and 112 thousand) to (1 million and 178 thousand and 736) people.
Possible reasons for "migration"
Many analysts believe that migration plays a major role in the decline in the number of registered voters. In recent years, the Kurdistan Region has witnessed “large” waves of migration to other countries, as a result of political and economic tensions.
Hawri Karzan, an observer of the situation in the region, confirmed in his statement to Shafaq News Agency correspondent, that "the demographic changes resulting from migration had a direct impact on the number of voters, as many citizens who migrated were not removed from the voter registers, while the new generation that entered the voting age was not registered in the required manner, which led to a gap in the expected numbers."
Poor updating of electoral records
Arslan Mohammed, an electoral follower, told Shafaq News Agency correspondent, "The decline in the number of those eligible to vote can also be attributed to problems in the process of updating electoral records. There is a shortcoming in deleting old names of people who died or emigrated, and in return, the registration of new ages that have reached voting age has been delayed. These factors have led to a reduction in the actual number of those eligible to vote."
He added that the process of updating voter records faces major challenges in covering all new voters, especially in rural areas, or those witnessing large population movements, and this delay in updating data directly affects the final voter database used in the elections.
Lack of awareness of registration
Another reason that is being put forward is the lack of awareness among new groups about the need to register in advance for the elections. Hawri Karzan said: “Many young people who have reached voting age do not have sufficient awareness about the importance of registering themselves in the electoral lists and the Commission can get this message across to them, especially in remote areas where means of communication and awareness are limited.”
He explained that this lack of awareness particularly affects new groups that have not participated in any previous elections, which reduces the number of actual voters in the registers.
Technical and administrative challenges
The technologies used to register voters and update their data still face technical problems that lead to errors or delays in data processing. Thank you Ahmed, a political analyst, who explained to the agency’s correspondent that “the systems used to update the records face many technical problems. In some cases, the updating of new voters’ data is delayed, and at other times the systems are disrupted due to data pressure. These challenges lead to a reduction in the actual number of registrants.”
New Age Entry and Its Impact
Surprisingly, a new category of voters has become eligible to vote in this election, with a large segment of young people who have reached the age of 18 in recent years entering the field. However, this expected effect has not been seen in increasing the number of those eligible to vote.
Arslan Mohammed, in his statement to our agency’s correspondent, indicated that “the entry of new age groups was supposed to increase the number of voters, but administrative and technical challenges hindered the registration of many of them, and the feeling of frustration among some young people as a result of the political and economic conditions led to their reluctance to register and participate.”
Impact on the political arena
The decline in the number of eligible voters despite the entry of new categories of voters may directly reflect on the election results. Shukr Ahmed, a political analyst, believes that “political parties may be affected by the distribution of votes as a result of this decline, and changes in the voter base may lead to some parties losing their traditional shares in certain areas, especially if those areas suffer from weak registration of new voters.”
These figures come at a time when the Kurdistan Parliament elections are witnessing a decline in the number of those included in the elections, which may affect the results, and with the countdown to the sixth round of elections beginning.
The decline in the number of eligible voters compared to previous rounds is a significant factor that may be reflected in the voting participation rates, as the parliamentary elections in the Kurdistan Region represent a prominent political event, and it is expected that changes in the number of voters will have an impact on the upcoming electoral and political map.
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
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