Al-Kazemi’s paper for the second term .. Will the Iraqi mediation between Tehran and Riyadh succeed?

[size=52]Al-Kazemi’s paper for the second term .. Will the Iraqi mediation between Tehran and Riyadh succeed?[/size]

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[size=45]News of the Iraqi mediation between Iran and Saudi Arabia occupies the arena of debate and controversy, in light of the complete secrecy surrounding the talks between the two sides in the Iraqi capital, Baghdad, amid hopes of achieving tangible progress that will positively affect the situation in the region in general.[/size]
[size=45]Reuters quoted a senior Iranian official and two sources in the region as saying that Saudi and Iranian officials held direct talks this month, in an attempt to ease tension between the two countries, as the discussions focused on the Yemen and Lebanon files.[/size]
[size=45]This comes after the British 'Financial Times' said on Sunday that high-ranking officials from Saudi Arabia and Iran held direct talks in an attempt to repair relations after 5 years of diplomatic estrangement, but a Saudi official denied to the newspaper that any talks between the two sides had taken place.[/size]
[size=45]According to Reuters, an Iranian official said that the meeting was held in Baghdad on the ninth of April, and it was at a low level to explore whether there is a way to ease the existing tension in the region.[/size]
[size=45]Meeting at the request of Iraq[/size]
[size=45]The Iranian official indicated that the meeting was held at the request of Iraq, but it did not result in any breakthrough.[/size]
[size=45]Yesterday, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman said that his country's foreign policy is based on Saudi Arabia's interests, indicating that the Kingdom does not accept any pressure or interference in its internal affairs.[/size]
[size=45]With regard to relations with Iran, bin Salman said: " [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] ... We do not want its situation to be difficult ... but rather to be prosperous ... and we have common interests to push the region and the world to growth and prosperity." .[/size]
[size=45]"We want good relations with Iran ... and our problem with it is its negative behavior, its nuclear program and its ballistic missiles ... and we hope that we will overcome the problems and enjoy good relations," he said.[/size]
[size=45]Questions about Iraq's ability[/size]
[size=45]However, Saudi political analyst Abdullah Al-Assaf believes that there are some points of contention that cannot be crossed between Saudi Arabia and Iran, among them Iran's abandonment of its old policies towards the region and the Arab world in particular.[/size]
[size=45]Al-Assaf pointed out in a press statement, that «Iraq is well accepted by both parties in Riyadh and Tehran, especially with the advent of Mustafa Al-Kazemi, who stands in the middle and on the fence between the two parties and is largely away from the policy of the axes», indicating that «the Iranian strategy is based on intervention In the internal affairs and expansion, and all these matters represent a dilemma for any mediation ».[/size]
[size=45]Those talks raised questions about Iraq's ability to find successful mediation that brings the two parties together at the same negotiating table, especially since the Gulf countries look to Iraq through the gateway of Iranian influence, given that the armed groups loyal to Iran constitute a great intrusion in the joints of the state, and complete control over the political decision.[/size]
[size=45]The writer and researcher on Iraqi affairs, Ghaith Al-Tamimi, questioned the ability of Iraq to be a mediator between the Iranians and the Saudis, justifying that because Iraq is an "Iranian sphere of influence", which prevents it from being the "actor" in this file.[/size]
[size=45]Al-Tamimi said in a comment, that "the rules of engagement between Baghdad and Tehran are unclear, unlike the rules of engagement between Riyadh and Tehran, which are clear and make the Saudis know how to negotiate according to them."[/size]
[size=45]Resuscitation of the hopes of the second term[/size]
[size=45]In the event that Al-Kazemi succeeds in making a breakthrough in the relations between Riyadh and Tehran, he will record a great achievement to be reckoned with, especially since several attempts by former heads of government such as Haider al-Abadi and Adel Abdul Mahdi have failed, which reinforces Al-Kazemi’s ambition for a second term.[/size]
[size=45]Political analyst Imad Muhammad believes that “the second term is an ambition for all former heads of government, and some of them aspired to the third term, but this depends on the balances within the parties that will form the government, especially if we know that Al-Kazemi is on agreement or reconciled with the Sadrist movement, which seeks to win the position. This time".[/size]
[size=45]Muhammad added to (Pasnews), that «Iraq, which is mired in its political, economic and social crises, and the proliferation of armed groups, may not be able to carry out mediation of this kind, but what supports him in this is the desire of the parties concerned to sit at the dialogue table and open thorny files, which means that The dialogues are taking place between the two parties directly, without the need for an Iraqi mediator.[/size]
[size=45]Yesterday, Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif's visit to the Iraqi capital, Baghdad, constituted a boost in addition to the track of talks with Saudi Arabia.[/size]
[size=45]And Zarif indicated in a tweet through his personal account, to "the intensive consultations he had conducted with prominent personalities in Iraq, such as Ammar al-Hakim, Nuri al-Maliki, Adel Abdul-Mahdi, Qasim al-Araji and Archbishop Louis Sacco."[/size]
[size=45]The Iranian Foreign Minister expressed his satisfaction with visiting the Kurdistan Region and his meeting with the Kurdish leader, President of the Kurdistan Democratic Party, Massoud Barzani, "Nechirvan Barzani, Masrour Barzani, Qubad Talabani, Pavel Talabani, and many friends in Erbil."[/size]
[size=45]What is the significance of timing?[/size]
[size=45]Observers and specialists believe that the timing of the negotiations came after the arrival of the new American president, Joe Biden, to power in the United States, as Saudi Arabia considers his presence in the White House may threaten security and stability, as the Democrats always give the green light to Iran to expand in the region, as happened in The Obama era, what caused great havoc and mass destruction in it[/size]
[size=45]This situation has pushed the Arab countries - according to these observers - to think about solving their problems with Iran on their own and not relying on an American role that contributes to the stability of the region, because the United States, with Biden, may not be eager to install stability.[/size]
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