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3 priorities impose themselves on Abadi: reform of security and justice and the settlement with the Kurdistan
With the approach of the ratification of the Haider Abadi, the prime minister, to Washington to encourage commitment to decentralization and security reform toward the Sunnis and share revenue with the Kurds. Although the bargains on bags on the fourteenth of August withdraw Prime Minister outgoing Nuri al-Maliki officially his candidacy for a third term in order to "protect the unity and stability of Iraq."
This hint paved the way for Prime Minister-designate Haider Abadi to start forming a government must have the approval of an absolute majority in parliament (165 seats out of 328) by the tenth of September. Ministerial will cause some of the obstacles, the central issue - the nomination of al-Abadi - has not been resolved, allowing the United States and other parties to intensify their support for the next leader.
Abadi nomination is one of the recent developments which can improve the strategic position of the Iraqi state and its people, these developments include:
- War on the Kurds Daash: I have been involved KRG fully in Daash fighter. Before a permit regional president Massoud Barzani on the fourth of August war "until the last breath", was sitting on the side of the Kurds, even stayed there for strained relations with Baghdad more, because the federal Iraq is fighting for his life against Daash. Today everyone is facing a common enemy and cooperate against terrorists.
- Foreign intervention as of August 19, 2014: increased participation United States and the international community in the fight against Daash through the provision of humanitarian and military support for the Kurdistan region and Iraqi minorities in the north. American selective air strikes were critical to the protection of minorities and increase the chances of attacks interview Iraqi and Kurdish.
- Peaceful transition of power: the world has received assurances that al-Maliki will be replaced by a new candidate has the support of local and international. The promise of a peaceful transition of power and fast should open the door to an internal contract deals and wider international support if they need the country to do so. If the next government has been able to perpetuate Aalzachm, this series of developments that could be a turning point in the Iraq crisis. Leadership provided by the new prime minister will be vital, and there are encouraging signs that the United States will find a partner in Abadi mighty.
The main differences from the Maliki:
Without raising again the biography Abadi, it is clear that this engineer who was born in Baghdad and veteran politician of the Dawa Party, is very different from al-Maliki, the main differences between them are:
1 limited contacts with Iran: Unlike al-Maliki and other top opponents in the Dawa Party, spent years Abadi exile in the United Kingdom and not exclusively in Iran or Syria or Lebanon.
While many of the dissidents fled to Shiite Iran at the beginning of the years 1980, Abadi went directly to Britain in 1977 and is rumored that relations with Iran are very limited and he did not visit the Islamic Republic during the years since the American invasion of Iraq in 2003.
2 opening to the year: despite the fact that al-Abadi has two of his brothers at the hands of Saddam's regime, it showed relatively open towards the Sunnis of Iraq. After that tested the harsh aspects of the policy of the opposition, it has the look today is less stringent and brutality of al-Maliki, where he shared a common ideological ground with a lot of Sunni Arab nationalists, but he also understands the tolerance levels of the Shiites and the Kurds in order to rehabilitate the former Baathist elements.
3 broader focus on things that are not security: Abadi spent more than twenty years in the private sector, which manages the British consulting and engineering projects. It cares virtually all aspects of economic and human development but does not have a proven track record in the field of security makes him the antithesis of the owners who was not interested in most of aspects of governance, and myopically was spending most of his time focusing on security affairs.
Under the rule of al-Abadi, security will shift from a review of one man to the collective effort with all the pros and cons involved in it.
4 speaker can communicate with him in English: Eight years ago he was driving Iraq's Prime Minister (Iyad Allawi) is able to speak in English. The al-Maliki was speaking in Arabic and was known for his love to talk, so he kept him out of the language barrier for the leaders of the United States and make it a non-concept differs from Abadi. Maybe Iraq was now the Prime Minister can form relationships with senior leaders of the United States and the world.
Although Abadi will be surrounded by powerful factions leaders and executives have influence and control over their partners, in which case it would be his personal qualities and professional encouraging widely. If it is approved by Parliament and received the support of international partners, may have the potential leadership capabilities as the best prime minister in post-Saddam Iraq.
Precedence for the United States Post:
Given the likelihood of ratification of the al-Abadi, the United States as much as possible to do a lot of diplomatic work preparatory to him. Concrete initiatives need to move in order to indicate the goodwill of the government towards the Kurds and Sunni Arabs. Of these initiatives:
1 the formation of the new government: no ruler, Prime Minister al-Abadi tasks yet, so the support now could help avoid the political pitfalls. For example, can fail in his efforts to get 165 votes (allowing for the conduct of business owners to indefinitely), or it may take a long time what helps Daash to tighten its grip on northern Iraq.
Even if approved quickly, it could permeate the new government imperfections make them weak performance or collapsing. So the United States to assist in the Abadi seize the opportunity of forming a government and a quick carry the spirit of national effort against Daash.
- Revenue sharing deal between Baghdad and Kurdistan: The Ebadi was the weak point as a candidate, is that its relations with the Kurds had been strained over the issue of post revenues. This is troubling because the first priority for the new government will be this particular issue, which is to reach agreement on re-monthly payments from Baghdad to the Kurdistan region, which stopped for more than a year because of disagreements over the management of the Kurdistan oil export revenues.
In March, the two sides approached the implementation of revenue sharing deal brokered by the United States, it could reduce tensions between them. The deal is still on the table, which represents a gain for all parties - Baghdad and the Kurdistan region and the oil companies and the international community. The formation of a unity government and military effort in the joint is not possible while depriving the Kurds of Baghdad and the charging of money to buy their oil, so the deal is considered an obligation and necessary. Washington should press on the Abadi effectively in order to revive the post revenue first priority.
2 security reforms: The United States openly supports the reorganization of the security sector in Iraq in order to give local participants priority in recruitment and operational control of the security forces, that the federal government provide financial resources and support when needed. This version - directed by the Iraqi army from the Sunni Arab areas - provide the best opportunities to repel Daash, it also paves the way for federal support of Iraqi and international forces for greater Kurdistan region. Furthermore, it should be encouraged in order to Abadi depends on the lessons learned from security reforms during the last years of the American military presence; example, can support the restructuring of the military command of high and medium level, in addition to the integration of the year in the local security structures.
3 judicial reform: judicial reforms and various security demanded by the year and will take time to implement, so the on-Abadi that sends signals early on that his government would not repeat the political targeting practiced by the previous government in Baghdad against them.
Perhaps the worst example of such a policy is accusing Finance Minister Rafie al-Issawi in K 12 012 terrorism-related charges. At the time the United States declared its opposition to these charges and they must do it again. In addition to being one of the most popular Sunni politicians in Iraq and a prominent victims of the Maliki government, the al-Issawi has strong support from Turkey, Jordan and the Gulf states. Through the abolition of the charges against him and returned to the top post in the new government, the Baghdad sends a strong signal of the Year in Iraq and in the other, and this in turn helps in rebuilding the confidence of the government and increase their participation in the fight Daash.
an: The Washington Institute
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
With the approach of the ratification of the Haider Abadi, the prime minister, to Washington to encourage commitment to decentralization and security reform toward the Sunnis and share revenue with the Kurds. Although the bargains on bags on the fourteenth of August withdraw Prime Minister outgoing Nuri al-Maliki officially his candidacy for a third term in order to "protect the unity and stability of Iraq."
This hint paved the way for Prime Minister-designate Haider Abadi to start forming a government must have the approval of an absolute majority in parliament (165 seats out of 328) by the tenth of September. Ministerial will cause some of the obstacles, the central issue - the nomination of al-Abadi - has not been resolved, allowing the United States and other parties to intensify their support for the next leader.
Abadi nomination is one of the recent developments which can improve the strategic position of the Iraqi state and its people, these developments include:
- War on the Kurds Daash: I have been involved KRG fully in Daash fighter. Before a permit regional president Massoud Barzani on the fourth of August war "until the last breath", was sitting on the side of the Kurds, even stayed there for strained relations with Baghdad more, because the federal Iraq is fighting for his life against Daash. Today everyone is facing a common enemy and cooperate against terrorists.
- Foreign intervention as of August 19, 2014: increased participation United States and the international community in the fight against Daash through the provision of humanitarian and military support for the Kurdistan region and Iraqi minorities in the north. American selective air strikes were critical to the protection of minorities and increase the chances of attacks interview Iraqi and Kurdish.
- Peaceful transition of power: the world has received assurances that al-Maliki will be replaced by a new candidate has the support of local and international. The promise of a peaceful transition of power and fast should open the door to an internal contract deals and wider international support if they need the country to do so. If the next government has been able to perpetuate Aalzachm, this series of developments that could be a turning point in the Iraq crisis. Leadership provided by the new prime minister will be vital, and there are encouraging signs that the United States will find a partner in Abadi mighty.
The main differences from the Maliki:
Without raising again the biography Abadi, it is clear that this engineer who was born in Baghdad and veteran politician of the Dawa Party, is very different from al-Maliki, the main differences between them are:
1 limited contacts with Iran: Unlike al-Maliki and other top opponents in the Dawa Party, spent years Abadi exile in the United Kingdom and not exclusively in Iran or Syria or Lebanon.
While many of the dissidents fled to Shiite Iran at the beginning of the years 1980, Abadi went directly to Britain in 1977 and is rumored that relations with Iran are very limited and he did not visit the Islamic Republic during the years since the American invasion of Iraq in 2003.
2 opening to the year: despite the fact that al-Abadi has two of his brothers at the hands of Saddam's regime, it showed relatively open towards the Sunnis of Iraq. After that tested the harsh aspects of the policy of the opposition, it has the look today is less stringent and brutality of al-Maliki, where he shared a common ideological ground with a lot of Sunni Arab nationalists, but he also understands the tolerance levels of the Shiites and the Kurds in order to rehabilitate the former Baathist elements.
3 broader focus on things that are not security: Abadi spent more than twenty years in the private sector, which manages the British consulting and engineering projects. It cares virtually all aspects of economic and human development but does not have a proven track record in the field of security makes him the antithesis of the owners who was not interested in most of aspects of governance, and myopically was spending most of his time focusing on security affairs.
Under the rule of al-Abadi, security will shift from a review of one man to the collective effort with all the pros and cons involved in it.
4 speaker can communicate with him in English: Eight years ago he was driving Iraq's Prime Minister (Iyad Allawi) is able to speak in English. The al-Maliki was speaking in Arabic and was known for his love to talk, so he kept him out of the language barrier for the leaders of the United States and make it a non-concept differs from Abadi. Maybe Iraq was now the Prime Minister can form relationships with senior leaders of the United States and the world.
Although Abadi will be surrounded by powerful factions leaders and executives have influence and control over their partners, in which case it would be his personal qualities and professional encouraging widely. If it is approved by Parliament and received the support of international partners, may have the potential leadership capabilities as the best prime minister in post-Saddam Iraq.
Precedence for the United States Post:
Given the likelihood of ratification of the al-Abadi, the United States as much as possible to do a lot of diplomatic work preparatory to him. Concrete initiatives need to move in order to indicate the goodwill of the government towards the Kurds and Sunni Arabs. Of these initiatives:
1 the formation of the new government: no ruler, Prime Minister al-Abadi tasks yet, so the support now could help avoid the political pitfalls. For example, can fail in his efforts to get 165 votes (allowing for the conduct of business owners to indefinitely), or it may take a long time what helps Daash to tighten its grip on northern Iraq.
Even if approved quickly, it could permeate the new government imperfections make them weak performance or collapsing. So the United States to assist in the Abadi seize the opportunity of forming a government and a quick carry the spirit of national effort against Daash.
- Revenue sharing deal between Baghdad and Kurdistan: The Ebadi was the weak point as a candidate, is that its relations with the Kurds had been strained over the issue of post revenues. This is troubling because the first priority for the new government will be this particular issue, which is to reach agreement on re-monthly payments from Baghdad to the Kurdistan region, which stopped for more than a year because of disagreements over the management of the Kurdistan oil export revenues.
In March, the two sides approached the implementation of revenue sharing deal brokered by the United States, it could reduce tensions between them. The deal is still on the table, which represents a gain for all parties - Baghdad and the Kurdistan region and the oil companies and the international community. The formation of a unity government and military effort in the joint is not possible while depriving the Kurds of Baghdad and the charging of money to buy their oil, so the deal is considered an obligation and necessary. Washington should press on the Abadi effectively in order to revive the post revenue first priority.
2 security reforms: The United States openly supports the reorganization of the security sector in Iraq in order to give local participants priority in recruitment and operational control of the security forces, that the federal government provide financial resources and support when needed. This version - directed by the Iraqi army from the Sunni Arab areas - provide the best opportunities to repel Daash, it also paves the way for federal support of Iraqi and international forces for greater Kurdistan region. Furthermore, it should be encouraged in order to Abadi depends on the lessons learned from security reforms during the last years of the American military presence; example, can support the restructuring of the military command of high and medium level, in addition to the integration of the year in the local security structures.
3 judicial reform: judicial reforms and various security demanded by the year and will take time to implement, so the on-Abadi that sends signals early on that his government would not repeat the political targeting practiced by the previous government in Baghdad against them.
Perhaps the worst example of such a policy is accusing Finance Minister Rafie al-Issawi in K 12 012 terrorism-related charges. At the time the United States declared its opposition to these charges and they must do it again. In addition to being one of the most popular Sunni politicians in Iraq and a prominent victims of the Maliki government, the al-Issawi has strong support from Turkey, Jordan and the Gulf states. Through the abolition of the charges against him and returned to the top post in the new government, the Baghdad sends a strong signal of the Year in Iraq and in the other, and this in turn helps in rebuilding the confidence of the government and increase their participation in the fight Daash.
an: The Washington Institute
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
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