An American vision: Al-Sudani is active, cunning, and pragmatic, and he can play the role of mediato

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[size=52]An American vision: Al-Sudani is active, cunning, and pragmatic, and he can play the role of mediator between Tehran and Washington[/size]

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The Arab Center Institute in Washington called on the United States, on Wednesday, to support the “pragmatic balance” followed by Iraqi Prime Minister Muhammad Shia’ al-Sudani, whether in terms of his relations with Tehran, Washington and the Arab countries, or the nature of his internal movement to contain the influence of the forces of the coordination framework, a movement he described as Institute as "energetic, cunning and pragmatic".[/size]
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[size=45]Aspects are being revealed for the first time.. Al-Sudani in the circle of 100 days: a pragmatic, stubborn, liberal, fanatical, who is preparing for a surprise
. An implementer of the framework's policies and decisions.
Sudanese is a “cunning” politician[/size]
[size=45]He pointed out that the leader of the League of the Righteous, Qais Khazali, described him as a “general director” and that the members of the coordination framework are like a “board of directors,” while many Iraqis already believed that the new prime minister would be a tool under the control of the coordination framework.[/size]
[size=45]However, the report pointed out that things did not turn out in this way, and that Al-Sudani, who completed the first 100 days of his term, which is a relatively short period, showed himself as an “active and cunning” politician, balancing between his obligations towards the Iraqi forces friendly to Iran and maintaining at the same time , on good terms with Arab neighbors and the United States.[/size]
[size=45]The report added that Al-Sudani's political survival for the rest of his four-year term will depend on his ability to maintain this balance and deal with the many serious political and economic challenges he is currently facing.[/size]
[size=45]The report stated that during the first days of the new government, “radical” members of the coordination framework, including former Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki and forces in the Popular Mobilization Forces, sought to extend their control over the security services and a comprehensive sweep of the positions of the Ministry of Interior, the National Intelligence Service, the National Security Council and the Anti-Terrorism Agency. .[/size]
[size=45]And he indicated that forces in the Popular Mobilization Forces had accused the intelligence service of complicity in the assassination of the Iranian Quds Force commander, General Qassem Soleimani, and the deputy head of the Popular Mobilization Authority, Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, on January 3, 2020.[/size]
[size=45]Containing the Sadrist rebellion[/size]
[size=45]In addition, Al-Sudani was keen to contain a potential Sadrist rebellion by refusing to respond to the coordination framework’s demand to get rid of the influence of the Sadrist movement in the new government, explaining that Al-Sudani, for example, kept Hamid Al-Ghazi, appointed by the Sadrist movement, in his position as Secretary-General. to the cabinet.[/size]
[size=45]The report added that Al-Sudani also refused to fully comply with other priorities of the coordination framework, adding that Al-Maliki had publicly criticized him for not dismissing the officials appointed by his predecessor, Mustafa Al-Kadhimi, including the governors of the provinces.[/size]
[size=45]Relations with the Arabs and America[/size]
[size=45]And after the report indicated that Al-Sudani's interest in relations with Arab countries, which aroused the popular crowd's resentment, he mentioned that his first foreign trips were to Jordan, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia, in which he participated in the Chinese-Arab summit, in addition to that he had received an invitation to visit the UAE.[/size]
[size=45]He added that although he also traveled to Iran and met Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Al-Sudani's focus was on dealing with Arab neighbors and implementing energy and trade agreements that the Al-Kazemi government had previously negotiated.[/size]
[size=45]The report considered that the establishment of greater economic relations with the Arab countries will lead to reducing Iraq's dependence on Iranian fuel supplies and other products, and contribute to the weakening of the Iraqi factions linked politically and economically with Iran.[/size]
[size=45]In addition, the report pointed out that one of the most prominent developments in the first 100 days of al-Sudani was his repeated meetings with the US ambassador in Baghdad, meetings that raised doubts and criticism among some Shiite factions that continued to demand the complete and immediate withdrawal of all US forces from Iraq.[/size]
[size=45]The report mentioned Al-Sudani's recent statements to the "Wall Street Journal" when he said that Iraq still needs non-combat support from foreign forces, including US forces, in its war against ISIS, which the report said are contradictory to the extremist positions declared by the powers. In the coordination framework, to the extent that they raised immediate questions about whether al-Sudani was acting against the wishes of the pro-Iranian factions in the coalition, or with their approval and coordination.[/size]
[size=45]However, the report indicated that Al-Sudani proved to be “a skilled politician who knows how to exploit the existing divisions and rivalries within the coordination framework,” explaining that Al-Sudani was apparently able to convince moderates, and at least some extremists, that their security and interests could be better achieved through Maintaining a balance in Iraq's relations with the United States and Iran, and by presenting its government as a channel for dialogue with the United States.[/size]
[size=45]An Iranian-American dialogue through Iraq[/size]
[size=45]After referring to the approach of his predecessor, Al-Kazemi, the report said that Al-Sudani may have also convinced Iran that Iraq is the best channel for talks with Saudi Arabia, and perhaps also indirectly for dialogue with the United States.[/size]
[size=45]He added that in light of Iran's presence in political situations fraught with dangers at the local and international levels, and the decline of its currency, Iranian leaders may resort to the conviction that their goals will be better achieved through the presence of a friend who enjoys good relations with Washington, noting that Al-Sudani, for his part, promotes this balance. Considering that it will be a win-win for all parties.[/size]
[size=45]enhance its internal popularity[/size]
[size=45]The report stated that Al-Sudani also focuses on providing better services to the Iraqi people, especially for the poor and the unemployed, and seeks in this context to try to gain popular support in order to strengthen his position, indicating that Al-Sudani wants to pass his current term and win a second term, while He is strengthening popular support for his newly emerging political party for the upcoming local elections, because voter support for him will be parallel in its political importance to the support he gets from the coordination framework.[/size]
[size=45]Despite this, the report considered that risks still exist in front of him in the future, explaining that al-Maliki and some hard-line Shiite groups look at al-Sudani with distrust and will try to work to undermine his work.[/size]
[size=45]Sudanese pragmatism and Iran[/size]
[size=45]The report added that Al-Sudani's relations with Iran must be handled with caution, and he must ensure that Iran is aware of the benefits of his pragmatism.[/size]
[size=45]He added that the Iraqi prime minister must ensure the preservation of the best balance in relations with the United States, Iran and the Arab countries in order to ensure the credibility of Iraq as an advocate and host for regional dialogues.[/size]
[size=45]Al-Sudani is also “in a difficult position” in front of citizens and parties because of the plight of the dinar, which has lost about 7% of its value since November 2022, especially when the United States is seen as the cause of Iraq’s financial problems.[/size]
[size=45]The report added that the most difficult challenge facing Al-Sudani will be fulfilling his pledges to fight corruption, and he will have to confront the special interests of the Coordinating Framework forces and other political players.[/size]
[size=45]In conclusion, after the report considered that it was too early to judge the results from Al-Sudani’s mandate now, he added, “This is a better start than expected for the prime minister chosen by the coordination framework.”[/size]
[size=45]Therefore, the report called on the United States to support “a pragmatic balancing of the difficult choices made by the Sudanese while strengthening close cooperation,” adding that the strategic framework agreement for the year 2008 represents a great opportunity for the United States to diversify and expand its relationship with Iraq outside the security sector, including environmental issues. Education, support for small businesses, and stabilization, which will benefit the Iraqi people and the government.[/size]
[size=45]The report also calls on Washington to trust Al-Sudani on his words when he pledges to fight corruption, and to work with his government to develop tools and take measures to prevent the bleeding of Iraq's wealth.[/size]
[size=45]The report also concluded by saying that the Arab countries should strengthen the advantage that Iraq gained during the historic Gulf Cup tournament in Basra, in which great popular support for Iraq's role appeared among the brotherly Arab countries, adding that these governments must press for the implementation of energy, industry and trade projects that Al-Kazemi started it, and also promoted the type of popular diplomacy that has proven successful in Basra.[/size]
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