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Al-Maliki's dream of a third term returns before 3 obstacles .. Can he overcome the "impossible"?
August 30, 2021
It works by former Prime Minister, Nouri al - Maliki, to return to the post of prime minister, after two, first began in 2006 and ended the second with the [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] in 2014, and included this work [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] and the [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] , and the tone is less marginal About what was known about him in the previous period, he even expressed his willingness to reconcile with his opponents, [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] .
The State of Law coalition says that Nuri al-Maliki is the coalition's candidate to head the next government
During the past few weeks, al-Maliki conducted a series of media interviews with the Iranian "Al-Alam" channels, "Al-Ghadir" affiliated with the Badr Organization, the Iraqi "Al-Sumaria", and the Kurdish "Rudaw", during which he spoke openly about his ambition to become prime minister again, as presented in those The interviews predicted that the results of his electoral alliance in the upcoming elections would be better than the results of the 2018 elections.
At a time when observers see the difficulty of the return of the leader of the State of Law coalition, Nuri al-Maliki, to the presidential palace, al-Maliki's coalition expresses the legitimacy of the dream of its leader, whose tenure of power sparked widespread controversy, which ended with the fall of 4 Iraqi provinces in the hands of ISIS.
Bahaa al-Din al-Nouri, a spokesman for the State of Law coalition, says that "Nuri al-Maliki is the coalition's candidate to head the next government if State of Law wins enough seats during the elections."
Al-Nouri added, in his speech to "Ultra Iraq", about Al-Maliki's chances of winning the position, "because he is a strong man with achievements, and no prime minister came after Al-Maliki was able to impose security, provide job opportunities, eliminate unemployment and activate investment, and restore previous initiatives, such as the agricultural and housing initiative. education and others,” noting that “Al-Maliki has the strength, courage and the ability to save Iraq at this stage.”
But the Sadrist movement, which has a bad memory of Maliki's presidency, believes that his return to a third term is "impossible."
The leader of the Sadrist movement, Awwad Al-Awadi , said in [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] , "Al-Maliki's first and second mandates were the worst, and talking about a third term was a figment of the imagination," noting that "the previous governments of Al-Maliki rose with different titles such as the sectarian, national and religious address."
The leader of the State of Law coalition seeks to cool the atmosphere with his opponents, and mobilize the largest possible number of political blocs to support him during the next stage.
A spokesman for al-Maliki's coalition indicates that "we have no differences with al-Sadr, and in many meetings al-Maliki called for communication and that the hand is open to al-Sadr, and now we are still calling on him," explaining that "the rule of law is looking for a safe atmosphere for elections and a strong government that comes out to address the bad situation." in the country.”
Al-Maliki appeared in his recent meetings in a tone less harsh than the previous one, towards his opponents, and indicated that "his hand is open to those who want to open a new page."
During [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] al-Maliki responded to a question about his attempt to reduce tension with al-Sadr, saying: “I do not want to remain in a crisis and dispute with any component, party, any country or any person, and my hands are open to all, yes, and I repeat it again that my hands are open to those who want to We are opening a new page of reconciliation, of reconciliation or of partnership, especially with the parties with which we are partners in belonging and history, such as the Sadrist movement."
Al-Maliki added, "We hope that our relations will be at this level of reconsidering these relations and reaching consensus that preserve cordiality, preserve relations and strengthen the strength of national action."
But it seems that al-Sadr's position is still steadfast towards al-Maliki, and no peace is on the horizon, especially after al-Sadr's [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] . On August 24, 2021, the head of the Kurdistan Democratic Party, Massoud Barzani, and the leader of the State of Law coalition, Nuri al-Maliki , [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] the political situation in Iraq and the region and the challenges facing the political process in Iraq, stressing the importance of holding the elections on their scheduled date, according to the official statement of the two parties.
Political observers saw that al-Maliki's visit to Erbil and Barzani's meeting was a step for obtaining the position of prime minister during the next stage, which we hate, coalition spokesman Baha al-Nuri, explaining that "these visits are in order to coordinate on the date of the elections, and how to be transparent and away from fraud, in order to We will come out with a sound political process and a strong government that addresses all of these problems."
The Sunni forces reject Maliki's candidacy for prime minister because they accuse him of sectarian incitement during his tenure in office and the main accused of handing over the western provinces to ISIS
Writer and journalist Saman Noah separates the challenges facing al-Maliki's dream of winning the position into three categories, the first related to "Shiite rejectionism", the second to "Sunni vetoes", and the third to "Kurdish sensitivity."
Noah told Ultra Iraq, "If the State of Law coalition nominates its president, Nuri al-Maliki, for the position of prime minister, with the help of small Shiite blocs, he will be one of the candidates, but he is not the most fortunate, even if he possesses many keys to previous political work and the ability to negotiate with parties, He is a pragmatic man who can negotiate by making concessions to other forces in order to win them, explaining that "there are many obstacles to this candidacy within the Shiite forces, such as the Al-Fateh Alliance will have other candidates, and they will not be satisfied easily conceding this position to the Dawa Party, as for the Sadrists. They have a veto on al-Maliki, and they constitute the largest Shiite group in the political scene, and therefore this task will make it difficult for al-Maliki to reach the impossible."
Regarding the position of the Sunni blocs, Noah adds that “the Sunni forces refuse to nominate al-Maliki for this position because they accuse him of sectarian strife during his tenure in office, and the main suspect is that he handed over the Sunni provinces to ISIS, or that he did not defend them as required, and therefore there is a veto by most of the Sunni blocs on al-Maliki. ".
Despite al-Maliki's meeting with Barzani, writer Saman Noah believes that "the Kurds are sensitive to al-Maliki, and they consider him the first reason for creating crises with Baghdad during the previous years.
However, Noah added: "But therefore he is an uncomfortable candidate for the Kurds because he obstructed the application of Article 140 and handing over the region's share of the budget, and he entered into conflicts with the Kurdish forces, and therefore I do not think that the Kurdish blocs will accept Maliki's candidacy for a new term, and if that happens, they will ask him for concessions. It's very big, and I don't think the Shiite blocs are ready to give it up."
According to the Kurdish writer and journalist, al-Maliki's candidacy faces 3 challenges, divided between a Sunni veto, Kurdish sensitivity, and Shiite rejection.
For his part, the writer and political analyst, Hamza Mustafa, sees al-Maliki's visit to Erbil as "important until after the elections or in terms of holding the elections on their scheduled date."
Mustafa indicated in his speech to "Ultra Iraq", that "the upcoming political alliances will witness a review, in the event that al-Maliki agrees with Barzani on a bilateral alliance, this will be reflected in the blocs and other components."
The leader of the State of Law coalition and Secretary-General of the Islamic Dawa Party, Nuri al-Maliki, managed for the first time to power in 2006 amid sectarian violence that was threatening the country, and he continued in his position until 2014, after his support declined by Sunnis, Kurds and a number of Shiite blocs.
During the 2018 elections, al-Maliki's coalition won only 25 seats out of 329 total parliament seats, while the "Sairoon" coalition, the political wing of the leader of the Sadrist movement, Muqtada al-Sadr, won 54 seats.
In a surprising step, the leader of the Sadrist movement, Muqtada al-Sadr, announced his return to participate in the early elections scheduled for October 10.
Al-Maliki's candidacy faces 3 challenges, according to observers, divided between a Sunni veto, Kurdish sensitivity, and Shiite rejection
Al-Sadr said in [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] , that he "received a reform paper from the political forces, and this paper came in accordance with our aspirations," adding that "returning to the electoral project has become an acceptable matter, and we will contest the elections with determination to save Iraq from corruption, occupation, dependence and normalization," explaining that "the interest necessitated To run a million elections."