Escalation of violence and calm .. Two scenarios in front of Khamenei in the face of demonstrations of the Iranian people
Confirmed observers, that there is in front of the Iranian regime Guide Ali [size=13]Khamenei , only two scenarios to confront the Iranian demonstrations of the people, either calm as agreed Khamenei, to calm down measures regardless of financial compensation to the families of some of the victims who were killed during the crackdown on the protest movement witnessed by Iran 's mid - November.
The second scenario is that the Iranian regime will face the popular escalation of violence and abuse by all possible means, which is happening now, until the next US presidential election and waiting for the change of US President Donald Trump, to ease the sanctions imposed on them.
Hisham al-Baqli, an expert on Iranian affairs, said Iran was at a critical juncture in the current period.
He pointed out that these demonstrations are the first internal protests in Tehran to witness such a large amount of violence, and that the Supreme Leader's attempt is only painkillers because it will not change the situation in Tehran, is still the main reason for the demonstrations is high gasoline prices.
"In addition to internal demonstrations, there is discontent with Iran in several other countries, including demonstrations against Tehran's interference in Iraq and Lebanon, as well as attempts to resolve the Yemeni crisis," he said.
Iranian expert Dr. Hani Suleiman said that the supreme leader's attempt to calm down would not succeed in absorbing the Iranian anger.
He explained that the economic downturn in the country, in addition to high unemployment, led to the fall of 50% of the people below the poverty line.
Suleiman added that under these economic conditions there is a significant increase in expenditures by leaders, pointing out that the Iranian Revolutionary Guards increased the proportion of military spending by 28%, in addition to excess spending to support the Houthis in Yemen, and try to maximize influence in Iraq by increasing spending there.
The economist stressed that the Iranian leadership is facing violent demonstrations to suppress them.In the demonstrations that took place in 2005, 2009 and 2018 were all dealt with by force, in addition to it has several security systems to deal with the protests, including "riot police and Revolutionary Guards.