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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

Welcome to the Neno's Place!

Neno's Place Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality


Neno

I can be reached by phone or text 8am-7pm cst 972-768-9772 or, once joining the board I can be reached by a (PM) Private Message.

Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

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    Events in Iraq and its repercussions on the economic region

    Rocky
    Rocky
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    Events in Iraq and its repercussions on the economic region Empty Events in Iraq and its repercussions on the economic region

    Post by Rocky Thu 19 Jun 2014, 7:08 am

    Events in Iraq and its repercussions on the economic region


    18-06-2014 11:24 AM 

    Al Jazeera Net / 06/18/2014   Come to the events in Iraq over the conflict in the Arab region more than it is, does not represent the situation in Iraq is an internal affair, as his multiple aspects affecting economically for the region and the world.  From the first moments of the worsening situation in Iraq jumped price of a barrel of oil up to $ 110 in the international market, and in the case of the expansion of this conflict and the entry of Iran as a party directly, it is expected to see oil prices rise further, which will help to increasing rates of inflation, regionally and globally.

    But that will depend on the time dimension of the conflict in Iraq, and the ability of one of the conflicting parties to resolve the conflict in their favor, and this does not happen it will increase the price of oil. 

    'Will be to the events in Iraq and its aftermath effects, some positive and one negative on the neighboring countries, as well as on the map of regional and international accounts in the region'  The entry of two states, two oil in a local internal conflict - namely Libya and Iraq - would increase pressure on Saudi Arabia to increase production, thereby helping the occurrence of a further rise in global oil prices. 

    It will be to the events in Iraq and its aftermath effects, some positive and one negative on the neighboring countries, as well as on the map of regional accounts and international region, as it may cause conflict within Iraq to the concentration of the various factions on the oil wells in order to control it, and direct revenues for the benefit of the project each faction, which will create and painful economic reality of Iraq, and access to dismantle the old scheme the existence of three states: one for the year, and again for the Shiites, and a third of the Kurds.  It may also be the outcome of this conflict stop Iraqi oil production, which is based on returns for the conduct of all the affairs of the Iraqi state. 

    According to statistics in 2013 that Iraqi oil production reached about three million barrels per day. It is expected that Iran played a major role in the current events in Iraq, whether this role through direct intervention, which represents Torita of Iran in the internal conflict, and a drain on the army and enter explicitly in the cost of this war is economically after they succeeded in avoiding this trap since the cease- fire between them and Iraq in the early nineties of the last century.

    This may be a potential role for Iran indirectly by supporting pro-Shiite factions and the pro-Iranian role in Iraq, led by al-Maliki government.  Some might think that Iran is taking advantage of the halt of Iraqi oil exports, through higher prices in the international market, and thus increase the value of its oil exports, which saw a breakthrough since talks with the West and known as the '5 +1'.

    Iran does not hide its support declared in favor of the Assad regime in Syria, as the long awaited this role in Iraq toward her man 'weak' al-Maliki, which Saqaibd Iran's economy costs outweigh the benefit of higher oil prices, which is why we get to that implicate Iran in economic support to the Government of Maliki is a dump and the arrival of an agreement with Iran to the west of the economic substance, not to benefit the citizens of Iranian oil revenues anticipated, where accumulate economic and social problems in Iranian society over the years, the rule of Ahmadinejad, was the high rates of inflation and unemployment. 

    On the other hand, the events in Iraq, and the resulting control of forces opposed to owners of large swathes of Iraqi territory, that would affect the size of the informal trade between Iran and Iraq for the benefit of Jordan and Turkey. 

    If we ended the conflict in Iraq in favor of the opposing forces of the Maliki government, Iran will have lost bond economically, was representing her an important outlet for economic activity in light of sanctions against the West and America economically, and Iraq was - next to the United Arab Emirates - represent an outlet economically to treat Iran with the outside economically. 

    Iraqi scene confuses the Gulf States  Although the atmosphere that prevailed in the past two months to improve the climate of economic and political relations between the Gulf states and Iran, and expectations of more to increase the depth of this relationship economically during the next phase, the Gulf states will Arbakha scene in Iraq, to ​​take into account the cost of securing its borders with Iraq, particularly as trends GCC is not satisfied with the performance of the forces opposed to owners, and look at it as a terrorist forces. 

    'The events in Iraq and the resulting control of forces opposed to owners of large swathes of Iraqi territory, that would affect the size of the informal trade between Iran and Iraq, for the benefit of Jordan and Turkey'  If the map of the Gulf states has crystallized in the framework of the support of some Arab regimes to ensure that there is a strong regional her, through the support of the military coup in Egypt, and support the Lebanese army government about five billion dollars through a deal arming the French during the last few months, it in front of an important variable threatens security directly, through the change expected in Iraq, or at least a continuation of this internal conflict, which might upset the Gulf states, and makes them busy on their own, this may affect support programs Gulf Arab states such as Egypt, Lebanon and Jordan, as well as the unclear role in Syria by supporting armed opposition there.  In light of the events of combat in Iraq, will continue to stream migration from Iraq to neighboring countries, Syria has emerged from the circle of Iraqis went to immigrants, because of experiencing armed conflict over the past three years. 

    But Iraqi immigrants in front of other outlets, including: Turkey, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Iran, and Saudi Arabia is earmarked as a destination for immigrants Iraqis, and that Iran will go to a minor on Iraqi Shiites, because of the nature of the conflict in Iraq from a sectarian dimension.  It remains to Iraqis wishing to immigrate fear of war in Iraq to go to Jordan or Turkey.  Jordan suffers from continuing Iraqi immigrants since the second Gulf crisis in 1990, also added to the Iraqi immigrants, Syrian immigrants, which is a big burden on the economy is weak, such as the Jordanian economy, dependent on international aid and a weak performance in the service economy. 

    The productive base of the Jordanian economy does not make it the flexibility to take advantage of this feature of providing goods for Iraqi refugees, new, or export of goods to the Iraqi market, will not be in front of Jordan, but to act as trade 'transit', to convert goods from outside to inside Iraq. 

    But may benefit Jordan transfers Iraqis to their relatives immigrants, who reside outside of Iraq, but this feature does not compare to what posed by immigrants from the pressure on utilities and service institutions, especially the Iraqis - unlike the Syrians - not staying in refugee camps, but they rent or buy homes, a what affects inflation in the real estate sector, as a result of the sudden increase in demand for housing. 

    As for Turkey, they live a position close to Jordan, from where absorbed Syrian migrants, and those who receive them Turkey in refugee camps on the border with Syria, and prevents many Syrians live in the cities of Turkey, the rising costs of living, as well as the difficulty of providing stable employment.

    Thus, it may be the presence of more Iraqi immigrants to Turkey as a result of current events in Iraq, an additional burden for what ails Turkey of providing services to the refugees.  Return double to Turkey  Thus befall Turkey some adverse effects as a result of use by some Iraqi immigrants it, but on the other side may benefit Turkey - unlike the situation in Jordan - to convert part of the trade, which was won by Iran, which helps to increase the movement of trade between Iraq and Turkey, especially as The Turkish economy has an industrial base that enables it to productivity, Turkey's economy depends on exports dramatically. 

    On the other hand, may move to this new reality in Iraq, the situation and your frozen Turkey to import oil from the Kurdistan region, which froze the agreement on it before it starts over the past month. 

    'There is an important party in the equation must be taken into account, the role of international forces, they are concerned with the need for the continued flow of oil from Iraq'  Under the liquidity political experienced by Iraq, it may be easy to move this agreement once again, to make it easier for Turkey access to Iraqi oil through the Kurdistan region, where Turkey is a net importer of oil, with about 90% of the needs of Turkey's oil is imported from abroad. 

    Turkey is of the countries that maintains good relations with both sides of the conflict - either Iran or Iraq or some Gulf states - has arrived in the volume of trade between Iran and Turkey to about thirty billion dollars, and will help the crisis in Iraq that is increasing the volume of trade between Iran and Turkey on one side, as well as the Turkish-Iraqi relations on the other. 

    Mentioned through the lines last for regional countries involved in the conflict in Iraq, but there is an important party in the equation must be taken into account, the role of international forces, they are concerned with the need for continued flow of oil on the one hand, as well as what was raised in the Western media to describe opposition forces the owners terrorism.

    Will determine the interests of these forces lengthen or Palace of the conflict, whether through direct intervention, as published on the desire of the Maliki government, under the guidance of America strike of his opponents, or by directing the role of regional countries to achieve this result through the mechanisms of economic and humanitarian, either by preventing or open trade and reception of refugees, or through direct military intervention, which means more of the ignition position and hold its aspects and consequences of economic development.  Starter Egyptian journalist Source: Al Jazeera -


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