[size=38]Al-Sudani faces the dangers of the KDP's withdrawal from the coalition forming the government[/size]
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February 17, 2023[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
BAGHDAD/Obelisk: After more than a year of political stalemate, Iraq's Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani could face a debilitating new crisis with Kurdish leaders, which risks undermining his efforts to set policies and control the much-needed state budget.
Sudani's government was approved in October, and he has since pledged to reform the economy, fight corruption, improve crumbling public services and combat poverty and unemployment - not easy goals in a country starving for stability and cash since the 2003 US-led invasion.
Without the support of the powerful Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP), which helped bring him to power and has 31 seats in parliament, Al-Sudani will find it difficult to push his agenda forward.
The central government's strained relations with the Kurds, who have been an essential part of the Iraqi political scene since the overthrow of Saddam Hussein in 2003, could undermine Sudani's efforts after a long period of paralysis in the state's affairs.
According to two Iraqi deputies and a Kurdish government official, the KDP may withdraw its support for the federal government if Al-Sudani fails to fulfill his pledges to resolve long-standing disputes between Erbil and Baghdad.
That would leave him in a difficult position to pass bills in parliament and enact reforms.
Deputy Speaker of the Federal Parliament, Shakhwan Abdullah, said that the Federal Court's decision not to pay the dues of the Kurdistan region "caused concern" for the Sudanese.
Before Al-Sudani formed his government, he concluded an agreement with the Kurdistan Democratic Party, which dominates the administration in Erbil, the capital of Iraqi Kurdistan, which enjoys semi-autonomous rule in the north of the country.
Three Kurdish officials said the agreement included ending a long-running dispute over the transfer of the budget to Erbil and the sharing of oil revenues between the central government and Kurdistan.
Under the Iraqi constitution, Kurdistan is entitled to a portion of the country's budget, but that arrangement collapsed in 2014 when the Kurds began selling crude oil from Kurdistan independently.
In 2017, Iraqi forces regained control of disputed areas, including the oil city of Kirkuk, and Baghdad resumed paying some budget allocations, but it was happening sporadically.
According to one Kurdish official, the KDP has made it clear that it will withdraw its support for al-Sudani if he does not live up to his commitments.
Political analyst Muhammad al-Khattab believes that the decision of the Federal Court to prevent sending the sums due to Kurdistan and in this way prevents our people and brothers Kurds from living a decent life and eliminates an important and essential segment of the segments of Iraq and starves them.
Al-Sudani took power after more than a year of political stalemate, as internal disputes in Shiite and Kurdish groups prevented the formation of the government, which hindered efforts to rebuild the country, which has been suffering due to a conflict that has been going on for decades.
This state of paralysis has left the country without a budget for 2022, withholding spending on much-needed infrastructure and economic reform projects, and denying the Kurdish authorities the revenues needed to pay international oil companies and the salaries of thousands of workers in Kurdistan.
An official in the Kurdistan Democratic Party said after the formation of the government last year that the Kurds wanted to end the stalemate and that is why they supported the Sudanese government, but if the other side failed to provide what was required of it, they would withdraw this support.
"There are some political forces that are trying to break our will, and we reject that and we will not allow it," said Shwan Taha, a spokesman for the Kurdistan Democratic Party.
In January, Iraq's Federal Supreme Court ruled that orders by the Baghdad government to transfer funds to the Kurdistan Regional Government to pay salaries for 2021 and 2022 were illegal because they violated Iraq's budget law.
Masoud Barzani, the leader of the ruling Kurdistan Democratic Party in the region, said, "It is surprising that whenever a positive atmosphere prevails between the region and Baghdad and the opportunity arises to address problems, the Federal Court immediately destabilizes this opportunity and aborts the opportunity to issue a hostile decision and has become a reason for complicating disputes, and it seems that it is being implemented." suspicious agenda and replaces the Revolutionary Court in the previous regime.”
Jutiar Adel, a spokesman for the Kurdistan government, said that the "politically motivated" court is trying to spoil the agreement between Erbil and Baghdad.
A delegation from the Kurdistan Regional Government visited Baghdad on Monday to discuss the budget as well as hydrocarbon laws. A source familiar with the meetings said there was still a big divergence between Erbil and Baghdad over the hydrocarbon law.
Other politicians in al-Sudani's camp in Baghdad consider escalation with the Kurds through the use of such court rulings as a necessary political tactic to give him a stronger negotiating position, according to members of parliament.
But Adel, the KRG spokesman, is still hoping for a compromise. He said that the delegation of the regional government will visit Baghdad again on Sunday, and denied that the KDP is threatening to withdraw its support for the government in Baghdad.
He said that there are obstacles in the way of reaching an agreement with Baghdad, but there is a serious and real intention to reach an agreement on the part of the Kurdistan Regional Government, and that the regional government also feels the Sudanese's seriousness in efforts to solve these obstacles.
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