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Who will rule Iraq?Despite the claims to form the next government in accordance with the principle of the political majority, but the desire of the political blocs may be heading towards the formation of thegovernment in accordance with the consensus and party quotas, to the satisfaction of all parties and components to participate in the political process.
According to the Iraqi constitution, the parliamentary bloc, which holds half-plus seats in parliament, is entitled to submit a candidate for prime minister to the president of the republic for the cost of forming a government that will enjoy the confidence of the majority of the House of Representatives.
It is expected that all the political blocs nominated for the parliamentary elections scheduled for the second of May next did not get enough votes to form the next government, which calls for the formation of new alliances after the elections to be a parliamentary bloc holds half seats plus one to be able to submit a candidate for prime minister.
And hours after the closure of the Iraqi Electoral Commission registration of candidates wishing to run in the general legislative elections, the differences and problems of political alliances formed by the parties to contest the elections, which led to disintegration before the start of the marathon election.
The Shiite forces, which have the prime minister's share of the five lists in the upcoming elections (Nasr, Fatah, Wisdom, State of Law, etc.), making it difficult to form new alliances after the elections, but may be formed after making concessions to resolve the file Presidency of the next government.
The prime minister (leader of the coalition of victory) Haider al-Abadi aspires to win a second term, especially after he received local, regional and international support and the recent victory over a booster of his balance to be the most acceptable candidate of all to take over the next prime minister. However, these ambitions may collide with obstacles. Led by Hadi al-Amiri presented its candidate early for prime minister, but that may be resolved after the satisfaction of the alliance conquest of a sovereign position to be waived the prime minister.
Abadi began his moves to get the second state, where observers believe that Abbadi made concessions to the Kurds in return for the second mandate, the most important of which is the return of the Peshmerga to the disputed areas and lift the air embargo on the airports of the Kurdistan region.
Political sources revealed a secret agreement between Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi and the Kurdish blocs to lift the ban on Erbil and Sulaymaniyah airports and to pay the salaries of the regional employees in exchange for Kurdish support for a second term.
Iraqi Prime Minister Haidar al-Abadi decided earlier to lift the air embargo on international flights from the airports of Kurdistan and reopen the airports of Erbil and Sulaymaniyah and submit them to the Ministry of the Interior.
Iraqi Prime Minister Haidar al-Abadi decided earlier to lift the air embargo on international flights from the airports of Kurdistan and reopen the airports of Erbil and Sulaymaniyah and submit them to the Ministry of the Interior.
The Iraqi government banned international flights at Erbil and Sulaymaniyah airports in a punitive move that came in response to a referendum held by the Kurdistan region in September and won overwhelming support for independence.
It seems that the closest to Abadi coalition of the rule of law led by Nuri al-Maliki and the alliance led by Hadi al-Amiri may be the alliance between them to form a bloc may qualify them to form the next government headed by Abadi and this does not happen without making concessions by the latter to the rule of law and conquest and this is by granting some Sovereign ministries and important positions.
"If we note that the recent statements of the leaders of the political blocs Abadi, Maliki and Amiri are agreed on one phrase and we are open to all the political blocs and we have no red lines of any block and this indicates that the coalition of victory and the alliance Fatah and the coalition rule of law may be understanding In visions and could form an alliance that would be a substitute for the National Alliance in the near future. "
"Nothing will change radically in the way Iraq is governed," the Washington Journal of Iraq's National Policy Center at the National University of Singapore quoted Fener Al-Haddad as saying. "The election will probably produce another coalition government headed by Abbadi."
The newspaper said that Iraqis will go to the polls for the first time since the defeat of the organization, "Daash" to the heart of the map of Iraqi politics upside down.
"The multiplicity of political forces in Iraq means that post-election bargaining, not elections itself, will determine the course of the country," the paper said.
According to this, Abadi may have a second term after the formation of a large coalition in parliament and make some concessions to other political blocs.
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