Iraqi elections to Washington's view of Iraq 3-4
Author: [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] Profile View Forum Posts [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] Message View [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] Entries View [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] 26/4/2018 12:10 AM [rtl] With recent fundamental changes in US President Donald Trump's team and his appointment to new hawkish leaders, there are fears that US relations with the central government in Baghdad may be in crisis, with other changes that will see the removal of some senior bureaucrats from the Washington bureaucracy. Thus, for example, the State Department will lose more influence than the Pentagon and the National Security Council, both of which are more influenced by Iran's central vision of Iraq and the region. The issue of popular mobilization, for example, is expected to become a controversial issue in a relatively short time and could negatively affect US-Iraqi relations on a larger scale, including supporting Iraq on the financial side and urging the IMF and the World Bank to cooperate fully and The Iraqi government in the face of its economic plight . The new appointments (some of which are subject to congressional approval) are likely to increase tensions in the region, with a besieged Israeli state and a besieged Iran. Iraq could once again become a land of regional competition and an important point of balance, and the Saudi-Iraqi rapprochement could suffer as a result. It is important to note here that the importance of the Saudi dimension in the Iraqi equation is also increasing. Washington sees Israel and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman as pivotal and will support the United States in curbing Iran's role in the region. It is very clear to observers that Washington is betting a lot on the new crown prince to change Saudi Arabia and with it the balance of power in the Middle East. Iraq may have to make an additional choice between Tehran and Riyadh. The question here is whether Iraq is prepared for the level of maturity of its institutions, leadership and society to be an international meeting point and a point of balance necessary for the stability of the region. The demands of such a role are not wishful thinking, but need institutional, elitist and societal introductions. As for the new changes in Washington and its impact on its policies in the Middle East, there will be an increase in hatred towards Iran, which has become an untenable enemy, and a strong support for the wing. Right wing in Israel. The integration of these two elements is likely to lead to the formulation of new policy recommendations for the Department in our region, including in Iraq. US efforts to transform the Middle East through the active promotion of democracy are not part of Trump's agenda . Instead, his approach is America's first approach in pursuing shamelessly self-interest and individual US national security goals, and supporting parties that comply with Washington's policy objectives. The historical proverb of understanding is the Cold War hawks' view of the United States to international relations, where they governed the allies primarily in terms of global competition with the former Soviet Union. We may see Washington's position requiring the current (and post-parliamentary) Iraqi governments to take an unequivocal stand against Iran and its allies, not forgetting that Prime Minister Haidar Abadi has so far been able to follow a relatively balanced policy that has made the United States and Iran relatively happy. If Washington forces Baghdad to choose, it is likely to disrupt this delicate balance. Here, the parties (Iraqi and regional) advocating anti-Iran policies are likely to get more heard and heard in the White House . It is also likely to lead to much more intervention by both Washington and Tehran in the upcoming elections and in the process of forming the government that follows the vote. But the end result could be more controversial relations between the Trump administration and any new Iraqi government, especially as a threatening threat appears to have diminished and is no longer a priority. It is important to realize that the role of the next prime minister will be very important in determining the mechanisms of Washington's handling of Baghdad. On the American side, one of the most important indicators will be the extent to which the next prime minister gives priority to strengthening the relationship with Washington. As for the Iraqi side, there is a real and immediate need to strengthen the number and possibilities of the American file. The Washington variables are many and require the Iraqi government (from Baghdad, not just from our embassy in Washington) to follow closely and live in order not to misread the international events. Forced) to be in the heart of the storm. [/rtl] [rtl][You must be registered and logged in to see this link.][/rtl] |
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